Football · Türkiye 2 Lig Beyaz · 14/11, 11:00
Prediction: Sebat Genclikspor vs Adana Demirspor
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.81Total
Sebat Genclikspor2.91
Adana Demirspor0.91
1X2
Sebat Genclikspor
Draw
Adana Demirspor
Markets
Over 3.5 goals 53%
Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
2-0 9%
Recent form · 10 last
Sebat Genclikspor
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
Adana Demirspor
2-1-7 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Sebat Genclikspor
0–1–0
Adana Demirspor
(1 last)
- Adana Demirspor3-3Sebat Genclikspor
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Sebat Genclikspor 1520 · Adana Demirspor 1422
| Sebat Genclikspor | Draw | Adana Demirspor | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 77% | 14% | 8% |
| Market | 85% | 10% | 5% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.81 goals · Bet365 line 3.75
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 74%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Sebat Genclikspor (rating 1520 vs 1422).
- Cards-heavy: 9.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Sebat Genclikspor | Adana Demirspor | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2 / 1.5 | 0.9 / 2.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1 / 0.8 | 0.5 / 0.9 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/30/30% | 10/40/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3 / 6.4 | 1.8 / 3.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.6 / 0.4 | 3.8 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Sebat Genclikspor 0–1–0 Adana Demirspor
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 03/12/24 Türkiye Cup | Adana Demirspor | 3-3 HT 0-2 | Sebat Genclikspor |
Standings · Türkiye 2 Lig Beyaz · 2. Lig 26/27, Beyaz Grup
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Elazigspor | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 28 | 7 | 25 |
| 2 | Guzide Gebzespor | 10 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 21 | 11 | 24 |
| 3 | Mus Spor FC | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 29 | 13 | 23 |
| 4 | Aliaga Futbol AS | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 19 | 14 | 22 |
| 5 | Corluspor 1947 | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 19 | 10 | 20 |
| 6 | Inegol Kafkasspor | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 20 | 15 | 19 |
| 7 | Sanliurfaspor | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 20 | 12 | 18 |
| 8 | Erbaaspor | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 20 | 15 | 16 |
| 9 | Menemen | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 11 | 14 |
| 10 | Sebat Genclikspor | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 20 | 15 | 12 |
| 11 | Ankaraspor | 10 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 14 | 18 | 12 |
| 12 | Isparta 32 Spor | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 16 | 21 | 11 |
| 13 | Somaspor | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 18 | 11 |
| 14 | 68 Yeni Aksarayspor | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 16 | 16 | 9 |
| 15 | Kastamonuspor | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 32 | 4 |
| 16 | Arnavutkoy Belediyesi | 10 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 5 | 22 | -2 |
| 17 | Hatayspor | 10 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 18 | -5 |
| 18 | Adana Demirspor | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 9 | 22 | -50 |
Common opponents 9 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Sebat Genclikspor | Adana Demirspor |
|---|---|---|
| Somaspor | 0-0 D | 3-0 W |
| Ankaraspor | 3-0 W | 2-3 L |
| Mus Spor FC | 3-2 W | 1-7 L |
| Inegol Kafkasspor | 1-2 L | 0-1 L |
| 68 Yeni Aksarayspor | 1-1 D | 0-2 L |
| Menemen | 0-1 L | 0-2 L |
| Erbaaspor | 2-3 L | 0-3 L |
| Sanliurfaspor | 3-3 D | 1-1 D |
| Elazigspor | 1-3 L | 0-2 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 3 D 4 L | 1 W 1 D 7 L |
Better against common opponents: Sebat Genclikspor (5 of 9 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sebat Genclikspor
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/11 | Kastamonuspor Türkiye 2 Lig Beyaz |
3-0 | 6-0 | 8 | 5 | W |
| 04/11 | Somaspor Türkiye 2 Lig Beyaz |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 6 | D |
| 01/11 | Ankaraspor Türkiye 2 Lig Beyaz |
1-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 24/10 | Mus Spor FC Türkiye 2 Lig Beyaz |
2-1 | 3-2 | 3 | 10 | W |
| 18/10 | Inegol Kafkasspor Türkiye 2 Lig Beyaz |
0-1 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 10/10 | 68 Yeni Aksarayspor Türkiye 2 Lig Beyaz |
1-1 | 1-1 | 8 | 8 | D |
| 27/09 | Menemen Türkiye 2 Lig Beyaz |
0-1 | 0-1 | 13 | 7 | L |
| 20/09 | Erbaaspor Türkiye 2 Lig Beyaz |
1-0 | 2-3 | – | – | L |
| 13/09 | Sanliurfaspor Türkiye 2 Lig Beyaz |
2-2 | 3-3 | 3 | 1 | D |
| 06/09 | Elazigspor Türkiye 2 Lig Beyaz |
0-2 | 1-3 | – | – | L |
Adana Demirspor
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/11 | Ankaraspor Türkiye 2 Lig Beyaz |
1-2 | 2-3 | 1 | 6 | L |
| 31/10 | Mus Spor FC Türkiye 2 Lig Beyaz |
1-2 | 1-7 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 24/10 | Inegol Kafkasspor Türkiye 2 Lig Beyaz |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 18/10 | 68 Yeni Aksarayspor Türkiye 2 Lig Beyaz |
0-1 | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 11/10 | Somaspor Türkiye 2 Lig Beyaz |
1-0 | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 03/10 | Menemen Türkiye 2 Lig Beyaz |
0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 27/09 | Erbaaspor Türkiye 2 Lig Beyaz |
0-1 | 0-3 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 19/09 | Sanliurfaspor Türkiye 2 Lig Beyaz |
1-1 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 12/09 | Elazigspor Türkiye 2 Lig Beyaz |
0-0 | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 06/09 | Isparta 32 Spor Türkiye 2 Lig Beyaz |
1-1 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sebat Genclikspor vs Adana Demirspor?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Sebat Genclikspor win (81%). Probabilities: Sebat Genclikspor 81%, draw 12%, Adana Demirspor 7%.
How many goals are expected in Sebat Genclikspor vs Adana Demirspor?
The model expects 3.81 goals (Sebat Genclikspor 2.91 · Adana Demirspor 0.91), with a 50% chance of over 3.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Sebat Genclikspor vs Adana Demirspor?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.