Football · Türkiye 2 Lig Beyaz · 01/11, 11:00
Prediction: Kastamonuspor vs Elazigspor
Team pages: Kastamonuspor
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.2Total
Kastamonuspor0.76
Elazigspor2.44
1X2
Kastamonuspor
Draw
Elazigspor
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 60%
Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
0-2 12%
Recent form · 10 last
Kastamonuspor
2-1-7 (W-D-L)
Elazigspor
7-2-1 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Kastamonuspor
4–1–1
Elazigspor
(6 last)
- Kastamonuspor0-0Elazigspor
- Elazigspor1-2Kastamonuspor
- Kastamonuspor2-0Elazigspor
- Elazigspor3-2Kastamonuspor
- Kastamonuspor3-0Elazigspor
- Elazigspor0-2Kastamonuspor
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Kastamonuspor 1416 · Elazigspor 1573
| Kastamonuspor | Draw | Elazigspor | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 9% | 17% | 74% |
| Market | 10% | 16% | 75% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.2 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 62%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Elazigspor (rating 1416 vs 1573).
- H2H favours Kastamonuspor: 4-1-1.
- Cards-heavy: 13 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Kastamonuspor | Elazigspor | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.9 / 2.9 | 2.4 / 0.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.2 / 1.5 | 1.1 / 0.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 0/20/80% | 50/50/0% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2 / 4 | 1.5 / 3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 8 / 0 | 5 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Kastamonuspor 4–1–1 Elazigspor
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07/03/26 Türkiye 2 Lig Beyaz | Kastamonuspor | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Elazigspor |
| 26/10/25 Türkiye 2 Lig Beyaz | Elazigspor | 1-2 HT 0-0 | Kastamonuspor |
| 24/02/21 Türkiye 2 Lig Kirmizi | Kastamonuspor | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Elazigspor |
| 20/10/20 Türkiye 2 Lig Kirmizi | Elazigspor | 3-2 HT 0-1 | Kastamonuspor |
| 25/04/20 Türkiye 2 Lig Kirmizi | Kastamonuspor | 3-0 | Elazigspor |
| 15/12/19 Türkiye 2 Lig Kirmizi | Elazigspor | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Kastamonuspor |
Standings · Türkiye 2 Lig Beyaz · 2. Lig 26/27, Beyaz Grup
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aliaga Futbol AS | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 11 | 21 |
| 2 | Elazigspor | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 22 | 7 | 19 |
| 3 | Mus Spor FC | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 22 | 12 | 19 |
| 4 | Guzide Gebzespor | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 14 | 6 | 18 |
| 5 | Inegol Kafkasspor | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 9 | 16 |
| 6 | Sanliurfaspor | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 16 | 11 | 15 |
| 7 | Corluspor 1947 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 9 | 14 |
| 8 | Isparta 32 Spor | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 16 | 11 |
| 9 | Erbaaspor | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 15 | 10 |
| 10 | Menemen | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 10 | 10 |
| 11 | 68 Yeni Aksarayspor | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 11 | 9 |
| 12 | Ankaraspor | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 11 | 13 | 9 |
| 13 | Somaspor | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 16 | 7 |
| 14 | Sebat Genclikspor | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 15 | 5 |
| 15 | Kastamonuspor | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 21 | 4 |
| 16 | Arnavutkoy Belediyesi | 8 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 4 | 19 | -3 |
| 17 | Hatayspor | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 14 | -5 |
| 18 | Adana Demirspor | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 12 | -44 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Kastamonuspor | Elazigspor |
|---|---|---|
| Isparta 32 Spor | 2-2 D | 4-3 W |
| Arnavutkoy Belediyesi | 2-1 W | 3-0 W |
| Hatayspor | 1-0 W | 3-0 W |
| Corluspor 1947 | 0-5 L | 2-3 L |
| Muglaspor | 0-3 L | 0-0 D |
| Record vs common | 2 W 1 D 2 L | 3 W 1 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Elazigspor (5 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Kastamonuspor
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/10 | Ankaraspor Türkiye 2 Lig Beyaz |
1-3 | 1-5 | 4 | 8 | L |
| 18/10 | Isparta 32 Spor Türkiye 2 Lig Beyaz |
0-2 | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 10/10 | Mus Spor FC Türkiye 2 Lig Beyaz |
0-1 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 04/10 | Arnavutkoy Belediyesi Türkiye 2 Lig Beyaz |
1-1 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 26/09 | Inegol Kafkasspor Türkiye 2 Lig Beyaz |
0-1 | 1-4 | – | – | L |
| 20/09 | Hatayspor Türkiye 2 Lig Beyaz |
0-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 13/09 | 68 Yeni Aksarayspor Türkiye 2 Lig Beyaz |
0-1 | 0-3 | – | – | L |
| 06/09 | Corluspor 1947 Türkiye 2 Lig Beyaz |
0-2 | 0-5 | – | – | L |
| 25/04 | Muglaspor Türkiye 2 Lig Beyaz |
0-1 | 0-3 | – | – | L |
| 12/04 | Sanliurfaspor Türkiye 2 Lig Beyaz |
0-3 | 2-5 | – | – | L |
Elazigspor
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/10 | Isparta 32 Spor Türkiye 2 Lig Beyaz |
2-1 | 4-3 | – | – | W |
| 17/10 | Arnavutkoy Belediyesi Türkiye 2 Lig Beyaz |
2-0 | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 11/10 | Hatayspor Türkiye 2 Lig Beyaz |
0-0 | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 04/10 | Corluspor 1947 Türkiye 2 Lig Beyaz |
1-1 | 2-3 | – | – | L |
| 27/09 | Guzide Gebzespor Türkiye 2 Lig Beyaz |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 7 | D |
| 19/09 | Aliaga Futbol AS Türkiye 2 Lig Beyaz |
3-0 | 5-0 | – | – | W |
| 12/09 | Adana Demirspor Türkiye 2 Lig Beyaz |
0-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 06/09 | Sebat Genclikspor Türkiye 2 Lig Beyaz |
2-0 | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 10/05 | Muglaspor Türkiye 2 Lig Beyaz |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 25/04 | 24 Erzincanspor Türkiye 2 Lig Beyaz |
1-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Kastamonuspor vs Elazigspor?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Elazigspor win (74%). Probabilities: Kastamonuspor 9%, draw 16%, Elazigspor 74%.
How many goals are expected in Kastamonuspor vs Elazigspor?
The model expects 3.2 goals (Kastamonuspor 0.76 · Elazigspor 2.44), with a 52% chance of over 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Kastamonuspor vs Elazigspor?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-2.