Prediction: Sacramento Republic vs Tulsa
Team pages: Sacramento Republic · Tulsa
- Sacramento Republic2-0Tulsa
- Sacramento Republic0-1Tulsa
- Tulsa1-0Sacramento Republic
- Tulsa0-0Sacramento Republic
- Sacramento Republic1-1Tulsa
- Tulsa1-1Sacramento Republic
| Sacramento Republic | Draw | Tulsa | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 36% | 31% | 34% |
| Market | 36% | 29% | 35% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- H2H favours Tulsa: 2-3-1.
- Cards-heavy: 9.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Sacramento Republic | Tulsa | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.4 / 1.1 | 1 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.7 | 0.8 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/50/30% | 60/30/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.1 / 5.5 | 1.7 / 3.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.4 / 0.2 | 5.1 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Sacramento Republic 1–3–2 Tulsa
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/03/26 USA USL Championship | Sacramento Republic | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Tulsa |
| 08/06/25 USA USL Championship | Sacramento Republic | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Tulsa |
| 29/03/25 USA USL Championship | Tulsa | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Sacramento Republic |
| 23/06/24 USA USL Championship | Tulsa | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Sacramento Republic |
| 14/04/24 USA USL Championship | Sacramento Republic | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Tulsa |
| 30/04/23 USA USL Championship | Tulsa | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Sacramento Republic |
Standings · USA USL Championship · USL Championship 2026, Western Conference
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Orange County SC | 18 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 29 | 19 | 34 |
| 2 | San Antonio FC | 18 | 8 | 7 | 3 | 25 | 20 | 31 |
| 3 | New Mexico United | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 20 | 15 | 27 |
| 4 | Sacramento Republic | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 24 | 15 | 26 |
| 5 | Tulsa | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 19 | 16 | 26 |
| 6 | Lexington SC | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 27 | 22 | 25 |
| 7 | Colorado Switchbacks FC | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 28 | 24 | 25 |
| 8 | El Paso Locomotive FC | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 27 | 27 | 22 |
| 9 | Phoenix Rising FC | 18 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 24 | 25 | 22 |
| 10 | Las Vegas Lights FC | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 25 | 27 | 22 |
| 11 | Oakland Roots | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 25 | 28 | 21 |
| 12 | Monterey Bay FC | 18 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 19 | 30 | 15 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Sacramento Republic | Tulsa |
|---|---|---|
| Charleston Battery | 1-1 D | 1-5 L |
| Colorado Switchbacks FC | 1-0 W | 1-2 L |
| Monterey Bay FC | 1-1 D | 2-0 W |
| San Antonio FC | 1-2 L | 1-2 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 2 D 1 L | 1 W 0 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Sacramento Republic (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sacramento Republic
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/08 | Sporting JAX USA USL Championship |
4-0 | 5-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 26/07 | Oakland Roots USA USL Championship |
1-1 | 3-1 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 19/07 | Charleston Battery USA USL Championship |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 6 | D |
| 12/07 | AC Boise USA USL Cup |
0-1 | 0-2 | 8 | 1 | L |
| 09/07 | Rhode Island FC USA USL Championship |
2-1 | 2-1 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 21/06 | New Mexico United USA USL Championship |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 14/06 | Colorado Switchbacks FC USA USL Championship |
0-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 8 | W |
| 07/06 | Monterey Bay FC USA USL Cup |
0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 31/05 | Phoenix Rising FC USA USL Championship |
0-2 | 0-2 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 24/05 | San Antonio FC USA USL Championship |
0-2 | 1-2 | 7 | 9 | L |
Tulsa
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/07 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds USA USL Championship |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 26/07 | Lexington SC USA USL Championship |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 10 | D |
| 19/07 | El Paso Locomotive FC USA USL Championship |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 12/07 | Birmingham Legion FC USA USL Cup |
1-1 | 1-3 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 21/06 | Colorado Switchbacks FC USA USL Championship |
1-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 4 | L |
| 18/06 | Monterey Bay FC USA USL Championship |
1-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 14/06 | Charleston Battery USA USL Championship |
1-3 | 1-5 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 07/06 | San Antonio FC USA USL Cup |
1-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 9 | L |
| 31/05 | Las Vegas Lights FC USA USL Championship |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | D |
| 23/05 | Hartford Athletic USA USL Championship |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 9 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sacramento Republic vs Tulsa?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Sacramento Republic win (36%). Probabilities: Sacramento Republic 36%, draw 30%, Tulsa 34%.
How many goals are expected in Sacramento Republic vs Tulsa?
The model expects 2.36 goals (Sacramento Republic 1.2 · Tulsa 1.16), with a 51% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Sacramento Republic vs Tulsa?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.