Football · Hungary NB III · 15/11, 11:00

Prediction: Diosgyori VTK II vs Nyiregyhaza II

Team pages: Diosgyori VTK II · Nyiregyhaza II

Prediction summary

Expected goals

4.42Total

Diosgyori VTK II2.87

Nyiregyhaza II1.55

1X2

64% 18% 18%

Diosgyori VTK II Draw Nyiregyhaza II

Markets

Under 4.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 62%

Most likely score

2-1 8%

Recent form · 10 last

Diosgyori VTK II 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

DWWWLLWLLW

Nyiregyhaza II 0-1-9 (W-D-L)

LLLLLLDLLL

Head-to-head

Diosgyori VTK II 1–1–2 Nyiregyhaza II (4 last)

Nyiregyhaza II3-1Diosgyori VTK II
Diosgyori VTK II1-4Nyiregyhaza II
Nyiregyhaza II0-1Diosgyori VTK II
Diosgyori VTK II2-2Nyiregyhaza II

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Diosgyori VTK II 1496 · Nyiregyhaza II 1408

	Diosgyori VTK II	Draw	Nyiregyhaza II
Our model	64%	18%	18%
Market	64%	18%	18%

Estimated total (ours) 4.42 goals · Bet365 line 4.25 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 83%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Diosgyori VTK II (rating 1496 vs 1408).
H2H favours Nyiregyhaza II: 2-1-1.
High corners: 12.3 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Diosgyori VTK II	Nyiregyhaza II
Goals for / against (FT)	2.5 / 1.6	0.8 / 3.1
Goals for / against (HT)	1 / 1	0.5 / 1.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/20/50%	0/40/60%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.6 / 6.5	3.4 / 5.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.6 / 0.1	2.4 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.40

X5.00

25.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.25)1.82

2 (+1.25)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 4.251.98

Under 4.251.82

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 4

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 08:09

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.40 → 1.40	Bet365 1.40
X	5.00 → 5.00	Bet365 5.00
2	5.00 → 5.00	Bet365 5.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.4%

Time*	1	X	2
08:02 +7’	1.40	5.00	5.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Diosgyori VTK II 1–1–2 Nyiregyhaza II

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Date	Home	Score	Away
25/07/26 Hungary NB III	Nyiregyhaza II	3-1 HT 1-0	Diosgyori VTK II
26/04/26 Hungary NB III	Diosgyori VTK II	1-4 HT 0-0	Nyiregyhaza II
12/10/25 Hungary NB III	Nyiregyhaza II	0-1 HT 0-1	Diosgyori VTK II
18/05/25 Hungary NB III	Diosgyori VTK II	2-2 HT 2-1	Nyiregyhaza II

Standings · Hungary NB III · NB III 26/27, North East

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Ozd Sajovolgye	15	12	1	2	46	12	37
2	Cigand SE	15	11	3	1	37	11	36
3	Debreceni II	15	10	1	4	36	24	31
4	DEAC	15	9	3	3	34	19	30
5	Godolloi SK	15	8	1	6	25	16	25
6	Mateszalkai MTK	15	6	5	4	25	18	23
7	Diosgyori VTK II	15	6	4	5	31	23	22
8	Kisvarda II	15	5	7	3	21	17	22
9	FC Tiszaujvaros	15	6	2	7	20	22	20
10	Fuzesabonyi SC	15	5	2	8	16	22	17
11	Hajdunanas FK	15	5	2	8	27	40	17
12	Egri FC	15	5	2	8	15	32	17
13	Tiszafured VSE	15	5	1	9	11	21	16
14	Salgotarjani BTC	15	4	2	9	12	23	14
15	Tarpa SC	15	3	1	11	13	39	10
16	Nyiregyhaza II	15	1	1	13	14	44	4

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Diosgyori VTK II	Nyiregyhaza II
Tarpa SC	7-1 W	0-2 L
Tiszafured VSE	1-2 L	1-2 L
Cigand SE	0-3 L	1-5 L
FC Tiszaujvaros	4-0 W	2-3 L
Salgotarjani BTC	1-0 W	0-1 L
Hajdunanas FK	2-2 D	1-5 L
Record vs common	3 W 1 D 2 L	0 W 0 D 6 L

Better against common opponents: Diosgyori VTK II (5 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Diosgyori VTK II

DWWWLLWLLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/11	Tarpa SC Hungary NB III	5-0	7-1	9	5	W
31/10	Tiszafured VSE Hungary NB III	0-2	1-2	6	3	L
24/10	Cigand SE Hungary NB III	0-1	0-3	7	6	L
17/10	FC Tiszaujvaros Hungary NB III	1-0	4-0	5	0	W
11/10	Ozd Sajovolgye Hungary NB III	1-2	1-3	2	6	L
03/10	Egri FC Hungary NB III	0-2	1-2	8	3	L
26/09	DEAC Hungary NB III	2-1	5-2	5	6	W
19/09	Fuzesabonyi SC Hungary NB III	0-0	3-1	–	–	W
05/09	Salgotarjani BTC Hungary NB III	0-0	1-0	–	–	W
30/08	Hajdunanas FK Hungary NB III	1-2	2-2	10	1	D

Nyiregyhaza II

LLLLLLDLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/11	Hajdunanas FK Hungary NB III	1-4	1-5	8	2	L
01/11	Mateszalkai MTK Hungary NB III	1-1	1-3	5	3	L
24/10	Godolloi SK Hungary NB III	0-2	0-4	5	1	L
18/10	Kisvarda II Hungary NB III	1-1	2-2	–	–	D
11/10	Debreceni II Hungary NB III	0-3	0-4	–	–	L
03/10	Salgotarjani BTC Hungary NB III	0-0	0-1	5	2	L
26/09	Tarpa SC Hungary NB III	0-0	0-2	–	–	L
19/09	Tiszafured VSE Hungary NB III	0-2	1-2	–	–	L
06/09	Cigand SE Hungary NB III	1-2	1-5	6	4	L
29/08	FC Tiszaujvaros Hungary NB III	1-2	2-3	–	–	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Diosgyori VTK II vs Nyiregyhaza II?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Diosgyori VTK II win (64%). Probabilities: Diosgyori VTK II 64%, draw 18%, Nyiregyhaza II 18%.

How many goals are expected in Diosgyori VTK II vs Nyiregyhaza II?

The model expects 4.42 goals (Diosgyori VTK II 2.87 · Nyiregyhaza II 1.55), with a 51% chance of under 4.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Diosgyori VTK II vs Nyiregyhaza II?

The model gives a 62% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.