Football · Hungary NB III · 25/07, 15:00
Prediction: Ferencvarosi TC II vs Dunaujvaros FC
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.64Total
Ferencvarosi TC II2.01
Dunaujvaros FC1.63
1X2
Ferencvarosi TC II
Draw
Dunaujvaros FC
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 51%
Both teams to score 60%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Ferencvarosi TC II
5-2-3 (W-D-L)
Dunaujvaros FC
3-2-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Ferencvarosi TC II
3–1–1
Dunaujvaros FC
(5 last)
- Dunaujvaros FC2-3Ferencvarosi TC II
- Ferencvarosi TC II4-2Dunaujvaros FC
- Ferencvarosi TC II0-3Dunaujvaros FC
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Ferencvarosi TC II 1532 · Dunaujvaros FC 1456
| Ferencvarosi TC II | Draw | Dunaujvaros FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 46% | 23% | 31% |
| Market | 45% | 25% | 30% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.64 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.6
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 66%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Ferencvarosi TC II (rating 1532 vs 1456).
- H2H favours Ferencvarosi TC II: 3-1-1.
- Cards-heavy: 8.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Ferencvarosi TC II | Dunaujvaros FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.1 / 1.9 | 1.2 / 1.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.7 | 0.6 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/40/30% | 30/40/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.3 / 4 | 1.8 / 3.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.7 / 0.1 | 4 / 0.5 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Ferencvarosi TC II 3–1–1 Dunaujvaros FC
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24/05/26 Hungary NB III | Dunaujvaros FC | 2-3 HT 2-0 | Ferencvarosi TC II |
| 09/11/25 Hungary NB III | Ferencvarosi TC II | 4-2 HT 1-2 | Dunaujvaros FC |
| 26/09/21 Hungary NB III | Ferencvarosi TC II | 0-3 HT 0-2 | Dunaujvaros FC |
| 30/08/20 Hungary NB III | Ferencvarosi TC II | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Dunaujvaros FC |
| 25/07/15 Club Friendly List | Ferencvarosi TC II | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Dunaujvaros FC |
Standings · Hungary NB III · NB III 26/27, South West
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | BFC Siofok | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Budafoki MTE | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Budaorsi SC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Dunaharaszti MTK | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Dunaujvaros FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Erdi VSE | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Ferencvarosi TC II | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Ivancsa | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Kaposvari Rakoczi | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Majosi SE | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | MTK Budapest II | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Paksi SE II | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Pecsi MFC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | PEAC FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Sarbogard SE | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Szekszardi | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Ferencvarosi TC II | Dunaujvaros FC |
|---|---|---|
| Pecsi MFC | 3-4 L | 0-2 L |
| Szekszardi | 3-2 W | 3-1 W |
| Majosi SE | 2-3 L | 2-7 L |
| Kaposvari Rakoczi | 1-0 W | 0-2 L |
| BFC Siofok | 1-1 D | 1-1 D |
| Balatonlelle SE | 3-1 W | 2-0 W |
| FC Nagykanizsa | 1-1 D | 1-1 D |
| Ivancsa | 0-4 L | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 3 W 2 D 3 L | 3 W 2 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Ferencvarosi TC II (3 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ferencvarosi TC II
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/05 | Dunaujvaros FC Hungary NB III |
0-2 | 3-2 | – | – | W |
| 17/05 | Pecsi MFC Hungary NB III |
3-2 | 3-4 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 10/05 | Szekszardi Hungary NB III |
0-0 | 3-2 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 03/05 | Majosi SE Hungary NB III |
0-1 | 2-3 | 1 | 7 | L |
| 26/04 | Kaposvari Rakoczi Hungary NB III |
1-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 19/04 | BFC Siofok Hungary NB III |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 11/04 | Balatonlelle SE Hungary NB III |
1-1 | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 05/04 | FC Nagykanizsa Hungary NB III |
0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 7 | D |
| 29/03 | Ivancsa Hungary NB III |
0-1 | 0-4 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 22/03 | PEAC FC Hungary NB III |
1-0 | 4-1 | 4 | 4 | W |
Dunaujvaros FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/05 | Ferencvarosi TC II Hungary NB III |
2-0 | 2-3 | – | – | L |
| 17/05 | MTK Budapest II Hungary NB III |
0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 10/05 | Pecsi MFC Hungary NB III |
0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 03/05 | Szekszardi Hungary NB III |
2-0 | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 26/04 | Majosi SE Hungary NB III |
0-5 | 2-7 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 19/04 | Kaposvari Rakoczi Hungary NB III |
0-2 | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 11/04 | BFC Siofok Hungary NB III |
0-1 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 05/04 | Balatonlelle SE Hungary NB III |
2-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 29/03 | FC Nagykanizsa Hungary NB III |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 7 | D |
| 22/03 | Ivancsa Hungary NB III |
0-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ferencvarosi TC II vs Dunaujvaros FC?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Ferencvarosi TC II win (45%). Probabilities: Ferencvarosi TC II 45%, draw 24%, Dunaujvaros FC 30%.
How many goals are expected in Ferencvarosi TC II vs Dunaujvaros FC?
The model expects 3.64 goals (Ferencvarosi TC II 2.01 · Dunaujvaros FC 1.63), with a 56% chance of over 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Ferencvarosi TC II vs Dunaujvaros FC?
The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.