Football · Hungary NB III · 15/11, 11:00

Prediction: Paksi SE II vs Majosi SE

Team pages: Paksi SE II · Majosi SE

Prediction summary

Expected goals

4.23Total

Paksi SE II2.17

Majosi SE2.06

1X2

41% 22% 37%

Paksi SE II Draw Majosi SE

Markets

Under 4.5 goals 58% Both teams to score 63%

Most likely score

2-2 7%

Recent form · 10 last

Paksi SE II 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

LLDLLWDWWW

Majosi SE 7-2-1 (W-D-L)

WLWWWDDWWW

Head-to-head

Paksi SE II 3–1–1 Majosi SE (5 last)

Majosi SE2-2Paksi SE II
Paksi SE II3-1Majosi SE
Majosi SE2-1Paksi SE II
Paksi SE II1-0Majosi SE
Paksi SE II1-0Majosi SE

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Paksi SE II 1539 · Majosi SE 1533

	Paksi SE II	Draw	Majosi SE
Our model	41%	21%	37%
Market	41%	23%	36%

Estimated total (ours) 4.23 goals · Bet365 line 3.75 · +0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 77%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Paksi SE II: 3-1-1.
High corners: 10.9 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 7.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Paksi SE II	Majosi SE
Goals for / against (FT)	2.5 / 1.5	2.6 / 2
Goals for / against (HT)	1 / 0.6	1.2 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/20/30%	50/20/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.5 / 5.3	2.2 / 5.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.8 / 0.4	3.8 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

12.20

X3.90

22.45

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.80

2 (0)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 3.752.00

Under 3.751.80

Diff.: 0.55 · xG: 4.3

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 11:20

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.20 → 2.20	Bet365 2.20
X	3.90 → 3.90	Bet365 3.90
2	2.45 → 2.45	Bet365 2.45

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.9%

Time*	1	X	2
11:16 +4’	2.20	3.90	2.45

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Paksi SE II 3–1–1 Majosi SE

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Date	Home	Score	Away
26/07/26 Hungary NB III	Majosi SE	2-2 HT 1-1	Paksi SE II
17/05/26 Hungary NB III	Paksi SE II	3-1 HT 3-0	Majosi SE
02/11/25 Hungary NB III	Majosi SE	2-1 HT 1-1	Paksi SE II
19/02/23 Hungary NB III	Paksi SE II	1-0 HT 1-0	Majosi SE
23/08/20 Hungary NB III	Paksi SE II	1-0 HT 0-0	Majosi SE

Standings · Hungary NB III · NB III 26/27, South West

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Pecsi MFC	14	12	1	1	40	6	37
2	Kaposvari Rakoczi	14	10	1	3	38	17	31
3	Ivancsa	14	9	0	5	33	24	27
4	Ferencvarosi TC II	14	7	4	3	34	20	25
5	Erdi VSE	15	7	4	4	32	29	25
6	Majosi SE	13	7	3	3	30	27	24
7	Dunaharaszti MTK	14	7	2	5	26	23	23
8	PEAC FC	14	5	4	5	20	22	19
9	MTK Budapest II	13	6	0	7	32	28	18
10	Budafoki MTE	14	5	3	6	24	23	18
11	BFC Siofok	14	5	2	7	22	20	17
12	Paksi SE II	14	4	4	6	30	24	16
13	Budaorsi SC	15	3	4	8	23	44	13
14	Sarbogard SE	14	1	2	11	11	41	5
15	Szekszardi	14	0	0	14	6	53	0

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Paksi SE II	Majosi SE
Sarbogard SE	6-0 W	3-0 W
Budaorsi SC	1-1 D	4-3 W
Szekszardi	8-1 W	2-1 W
BFC Siofok	1-3 L	3-2 W
Budafoki MTE	1-2 L	3-3 D
PEAC FC	1-1 D	1-1 D
Kaposvari Rakoczi	1-3 L	4-1 W
Record vs common	2 W 2 D 3 L	5 W 2 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Majosi SE (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Paksi SE II

LLDLLWDWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/11	Pecsi MFC Hungary NB III	1-0	2-0	5	4	W
31/10	Dunaharaszti MTK Hungary NB III	1-0	2-0	6	4	W
24/10	Sarbogard SE Hungary NB III	1-0	6-0	–	–	W
10/10	Budaorsi SC Hungary NB III	0-0	1-1	1	4	D
03/10	Szekszardi Hungary NB III	4-0	8-1	9	2	W
27/09	BFC Siofok Hungary NB III	0-2	1-3	6	7	L
19/09	Budafoki MTE Hungary NB III	1-1	1-2	5	5	L
05/09	PEAC FC Hungary NB III	1-0	1-1	–	–	D
29/08	MTK Budapest II Hungary NB III	1-2	2-4	5	3	L
26/08	Kaposvari Rakoczi Hungary NB III	0-1	1-3	5	4	L

Majosi SE

WLWWWDDWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	Budaorsi SC Hungary NB III	1-2	4-3	–	–	W
24/10	Szekszardi Hungary NB III	1-0	2-1	–	–	W
17/10	BFC Siofok Hungary NB III	1-0	3-2	9	3	W
10/10	Budafoki MTE Hungary NB III	0-3	3-3	5	4	D
03/10	PEAC FC Hungary NB III	0-0	1-1	9	4	D
19/09	Kaposvari Rakoczi Hungary NB III	2-1	4-1	3	7	W
05/09	Ivancsa Hungary NB III	3-1	3-2	–	–	W
30/08	Erdi VSE Hungary NB III	1-1	3-2	3	5	W
26/08	Ferencvarosi TC II Hungary NB III	0-1	0-5	5	1	L
16/08	Sarbogard SE Hungary NB III	3-0	3-0	–	–	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Paksi SE II vs Majosi SE?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Paksi SE II win (41%). Probabilities: Paksi SE II 41%, draw 22%, Majosi SE 37%.

How many goals are expected in Paksi SE II vs Majosi SE?

The model expects 4.23 goals (Paksi SE II 2.17 · Majosi SE 2.06), with a 51% chance of over 3.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Paksi SE II vs Majosi SE?

The model gives a 63% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-2.