Football · Hungary NB III · 15/11, 13:00

Prediction: Dunaharaszti MTK vs Pecsi MFC

Team pages: Dunaharaszti MTK · Pecsi MFC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.29Total

Dunaharaszti MTK0.95

Pecsi MFC2.33

1X2

13% 20% 67%

Dunaharaszti MTK Draw Pecsi MFC

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 58% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

0-2 10%

Recent form · 10 last

Dunaharaszti MTK 6-1-3 (W-D-L)

WLLDWWWWLW

Pecsi MFC 8-1-1 (W-D-L)

WWWWDWWWWL

Head-to-head

Dunaharaszti MTK 0–2 Pecsi MFC (2 last)

Pecsi MFC2-0Dunaharaszti MTK
Pecsi MFC2-0Dunaharaszti MTK

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Dunaharaszti MTK 1516 · Pecsi MFC 1610

	Dunaharaszti MTK	Draw	Pecsi MFC
Our model	13%	20%	67%
Market	13%	20%	67%

Estimated total (ours) 3.29 goals · Bet365 line 3.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 67%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Pecsi MFC (rating 1516 vs 1610).
H2H favours Pecsi MFC: 2-0-0.
High corners: 11.8 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 6.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Dunaharaszti MTK	Pecsi MFC
Goals for / against (FT)	2.3 / 1.7	2.6 / 0.5
Goals for / against (HT)	1 / 0.8	1.2 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/50/20%	50/30/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.3 / 4.9	2.9 / 6.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.1 / 0.1	3.7 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

17.00

X4.50

21.33

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+1.5)1.88

2 (-1.5)1.93

Line ⓘ

Over 3.252.00

Under 3.251.80

Diff.: 0.3 · xG: 3.55

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 09:12

	Bet365	Best now
1	7.00 → 7.00	Bet365 7.00
X	4.50 → 4.50	Bet365 4.50
2	1.33 → 1.33	Bet365 1.33

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.5%

Time*	1	X	2
08:46 +27’	7.00	4.50	1.33

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Dunaharaszti MTK 0–0–2 Pecsi MFC

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Date	Home	Score	Away
25/07/26 Hungary NB III	Pecsi MFC	2-0 HT 1-0	Dunaharaszti MTK
01/09/24 Hungary NB III	Pecsi MFC	2-0 HT 1-0	Dunaharaszti MTK

Standings · Hungary NB III · NB III 26/27, South West

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Pecsi MFC	14	12	1	1	40	6	37
2	Kaposvari Rakoczi	14	10	1	3	38	17	31
3	Ivancsa	14	9	0	5	33	24	27
4	Ferencvarosi TC II	14	7	4	3	34	20	25
5	Erdi VSE	15	7	4	4	32	29	25
6	Majosi SE	13	7	3	3	30	27	24
7	Dunaharaszti MTK	14	7	2	5	26	23	23
8	PEAC FC	14	5	4	5	20	22	19
9	MTK Budapest II	13	6	0	7	32	28	18
10	Budafoki MTE	14	5	3	6	24	23	18
11	BFC Siofok	14	5	2	7	22	20	17
12	Paksi SE II	14	4	4	6	30	24	16
13	Budaorsi SC	15	3	4	8	23	44	13
14	Sarbogard SE	14	1	2	11	11	41	5
15	Szekszardi	14	0	0	14	6	53	0

Common opponents 9 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Dunaharaszti MTK	Pecsi MFC
Paksi SE II	0-2 L	0-2 L
Budaorsi SC	3-0 W	6-0 W
Szekszardi	4-1 W	3-0 W
BFC Siofok	2-1 W	1-0 W
Budafoki MTE	4-2 W	2-1 W
PEAC FC	1-1 D	1-1 D
MTK Budapest II	2-4 L	3-0 W
Kaposvari Rakoczi	2-4 L	1-0 W
Ivancsa	3-1 W	7-0 W
Record vs common	5 W 1 D 3 L	7 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Pecsi MFC (4 of 9 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Dunaharaszti MTK

WLLDWWWWLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
07/11	Sarbogard SE Hungary NB III	1-1	2-1	–	–	W
31/10	Paksi SE II Hungary NB III	0-1	0-2	4	4	L
17/10	Budaorsi SC Hungary NB III	1-0	3-0	5	7	W
10/10	Szekszardi Hungary NB III	2-0	4-1	6	0	W
03/10	BFC Siofok Hungary NB III	0-0	2-1	–	–	W
26/09	Budafoki MTE Hungary NB III	0-1	4-2	8	2	W
19/09	PEAC FC Hungary NB III	1-1	1-1	6	3	D
06/09	MTK Budapest II Hungary NB III	2-1	2-4	1	4	L
29/08	Kaposvari Rakoczi Hungary NB III	2-2	2-4	4	3	L
26/08	Ivancsa Hungary NB III	1-1	3-1	–	–	W

Pecsi MFC

WWWWDWWWWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/11	Paksi SE II Hungary NB III	0-1	0-2	7	4	L
24/10	Budaorsi SC Hungary NB III	4-0	6-0	3	7	W
17/10	Szekszardi Hungary NB III	1-0	3-0	13	5	W
11/10	BFC Siofok Hungary NB III	1-0	1-0	7	4	W
03/10	Budafoki MTE Hungary NB III	1-0	2-1	11	1	W
26/09	PEAC FC Hungary NB III	0-1	1-1	4	3	D
19/09	MTK Budapest II Hungary NB III	0-0	3-0	6	4	W
05/09	Kaposvari Rakoczi Hungary NB III	0-0	1-0	–	–	W
30/08	Ivancsa Hungary NB III	4-0	7-0	4	5	W
26/08	Erdi VSE Hungary NB III	1-1	2-1	7	3	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Dunaharaszti MTK vs Pecsi MFC?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Pecsi MFC win (67%). Probabilities: Dunaharaszti MTK 13%, draw 20%, Pecsi MFC 67%.

How many goals are expected in Dunaharaszti MTK vs Pecsi MFC?

The model expects 3.29 goals (Dunaharaszti MTK 0.95 · Pecsi MFC 2.33), with a 53% chance of under 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Dunaharaszti MTK vs Pecsi MFC?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-2.