Football · Hungary NB III · 15/11, 13:00

Prediction: Szekszardi vs Ivancsa

Team pages: Szekszardi · Ivancsa

Prediction summary

Expected goals

4.27Total

Szekszardi1.13

Ivancsa3.13

1X2

7% 12% 81%

Szekszardi Draw Ivancsa

Markets

Under 4.5 goals 58% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

1-3 8%

Recent form · 10 last

Szekszardi 0-0-10 (W-D-L)

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Ivancsa 7-0-3 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Szekszardi 1–3 Ivancsa (4 last)

Ivancsa4-0Szekszardi
Szekszardi6-0Ivancsa
Ivancsa4-0Szekszardi
Ivancsa6-2Szekszardi

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Szekszardi 1372 · Ivancsa 1538

	Szekszardi	Draw	Ivancsa
Our model	10%	14%	76%
Market	5%	10%	85%

Estimated total (ours) 4.27 goals · Bet365 line 4.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 77%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Ivancsa (rating 1372 vs 1538).
H2H favours Ivancsa: 3-0-1.
Cards-heavy: 7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Szekszardi	Ivancsa
Goals for / against (FT)	0.6 / 3.7	2.5 / 1.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0.2 / 1.8	0.9 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	0/20/80%	40/30/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 2.9	2.8 / 7.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.4 / 0.1	3.6 / 0.6

Odds Bet365

117.00

X9.50

21.10

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+3)1.85

2 (-3)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 4.251.95

Under 4.251.85

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 4.3

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 09:12

	Bet365	Best now
1	17.00 → 17.00	Bet365 17.00
X	9.50 → 9.50	Bet365 9.50
2	1.10 → 1.10	Bet365 1.10

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 7.3%

Time*	1	X	2
08:38 +34’	17.00	9.50	1.10

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Szekszardi 1–0–3 Ivancsa

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Date	Home	Score	Away
25/07/26 Hungary NB III	Ivancsa	4-0 HT 2-0	Szekszardi
08/03/26 Hungary NB III	Szekszardi	6-0 HT 3-0	Ivancsa
17/08/25 Hungary NB III	Ivancsa	4-0 HT 2-0	Szekszardi
14/01/23 Club Friendly List	Ivancsa	6-2 HT 3-0	Szekszardi

Standings · Hungary NB III · NB III 26/27, South West

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Pecsi MFC	14	12	1	1	40	6	37
2	Kaposvari Rakoczi	14	10	1	3	38	17	31
3	Ivancsa	14	9	0	5	33	24	27
4	Ferencvarosi TC II	14	7	4	3	34	20	25
5	Erdi VSE	15	7	4	4	32	29	25
6	Majosi SE	13	7	3	3	30	27	24
7	Dunaharaszti MTK	14	7	2	5	26	23	23
8	PEAC FC	14	5	4	5	20	22	19
9	MTK Budapest II	13	6	0	7	32	28	18
10	Budafoki MTE	14	5	3	6	24	23	18
11	BFC Siofok	14	5	2	7	22	20	17
12	Paksi SE II	14	4	4	6	30	24	16
13	Budaorsi SC	15	3	4	8	23	44	13
14	Sarbogard SE	14	1	2	11	11	41	5
15	Szekszardi	14	0	0	14	6	53	0

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Szekszardi	Ivancsa
Erdi VSE	0-1 L	4-1 W
Ferencvarosi TC II	0-5 L	3-2 W
Majosi SE	1-2 L	2-3 L
Pecsi MFC	0-3 L	0-7 L
Sarbogard SE	1-2 L	4-1 W
BFC Siofok	1-3 L	2-0 W
Budafoki MTE	0-4 L	2-1 W
Record vs common	0 W 0 D 7 L	5 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Ivancsa (5 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Szekszardi

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
07/11	Erdi VSE Hungary NB III	0-0	0-1	–	–	L
31/10	Ferencvarosi TC II Hungary NB III	0-3	0-5	1	1	L
24/10	Majosi SE Hungary NB III	0-1	1-2	–	–	L
17/10	Pecsi MFC Hungary NB III	0-1	0-3	1	5	L
10/10	Dunaharaszti MTK Hungary NB III	0-2	1-4	1	0	L
03/10	Paksi SE II Hungary NB III	0-4	1-8	6	2	L
19/09	Budaorsi SC Hungary NB III	1-2	1-5	5	7	L
05/09	Sarbogard SE Hungary NB III	1-1	1-2	–	–	L
29/08	BFC Siofok Hungary NB III	0-2	1-3	2	7	L
26/08	Budafoki MTE Hungary NB III	0-2	0-4	4	3	L

Ivancsa

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/11	BFC Siofok Hungary NB III	0-0	2-0	12	7	W
31/10	Budafoki MTE Hungary NB III	1-0	2-1	–	–	W
24/10	PEAC FC Hungary NB III	1-0	3-0	7	4	W
17/10	MTK Budapest II Hungary NB III	4-2	5-2	3	1	W
10/10	Kaposvari Rakoczi Hungary NB III	0-0	0-1	–	–	L
03/10	Sarbogard SE Hungary NB III	2-0	4-1	8	4	W
26/09	Erdi VSE Hungary NB III	0-0	4-1	–	–	W
19/09	Ferencvarosi TC II Hungary NB III	0-1	3-2	–	–	W
05/09	Majosi SE Hungary NB III	1-3	2-3	–	–	L
30/08	Pecsi MFC Hungary NB III	0-4	0-7	6	5	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Szekszardi vs Ivancsa?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Ivancsa win (81%). Probabilities: Szekszardi 7%, draw 12%, Ivancsa 81%.

How many goals are expected in Szekszardi vs Ivancsa?

The model expects 4.27 goals (Szekszardi 1.13 · Ivancsa 3.13), with a 52% chance of under 4.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Szekszardi vs Ivancsa?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-3.