Football · Hungary NB III · 15/11, 13:00
Prediction: FC Tatabanya vs Györi ETO II
Team pages: FC Tatabanya · Györi ETO II
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.34Total
FC Tatabanya2.55
Györi ETO II0.8
1X2
FC Tatabanya
Draw
Györi ETO II
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 57%
Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
2-0 11%
Recent form · 10 last
FC Tatabanya
7-3-0 (W-D-L)
Györi ETO II
2-2-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
FC Tatabanya
4–1–1
Györi ETO II
(6 last)
- Györi ETO II2-1FC Tatabanya
- FC Tatabanya4-0Györi ETO II
- Györi ETO II1-2FC Tatabanya
- FC Tatabanya1-0Györi ETO II
- Györi ETO II1-3FC Tatabanya
- Györi ETO II1-1FC Tatabanya
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · FC Tatabanya 1579 · Györi ETO II 1450
| FC Tatabanya | Draw | Györi ETO II | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 75% | 17% | 9% |
| Market | 75% | 16% | 9% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.34 goals · Bet365 line 3.25
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 60%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FC Tatabanya (rating 1579 vs 1450).
- H2H favours FC Tatabanya: 4-1-1.
- High corners: 13.7 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 8.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| FC Tatabanya | Györi ETO II | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.2 / 0.7 | 1 / 1.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.9 / 0.1 | 0.2 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 60/40/0% | 10/50/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 4 / 7.6 | 2.6 / 6.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.8 / 0.4 | 2.6 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Tatabanya 4–1–1 Györi ETO II
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26/07/26 Hungary NB III | Györi ETO II | 2-1 HT 0-0 | FC Tatabanya |
| 03/05/26 Hungary NB III | FC Tatabanya | 4-0 HT 2-0 | Györi ETO II |
| 19/10/25 Hungary NB III | Györi ETO II | 1-2 HT 1-1 | FC Tatabanya |
| 18/11/23 Hungary NB III | FC Tatabanya | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Györi ETO II |
| 30/07/23 Hungary NB III | Györi ETO II | 1-3 HT 0-1 | FC Tatabanya |
| 04/12/21 Hungary NB III | Györi ETO II | 1-1 HT 1-1 | FC Tatabanya |
Standings · Hungary NB III · NB III 26/27, North West
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dorogi FC | 15 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 41 | 12 | 36 |
| 2 | FC Tatabanya | 15 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 34 | 11 | 34 |
| 3 | Szombathelyi Mav Haladas VSE | 15 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 37 | 15 | 32 |
| 4 | Puskas Academy II | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 34 | 25 | 26 |
| 5 | Komarom VSE | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 24 | 19 | 25 |
| 6 | Sarisapi BSE | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 22 | 22 | 24 |
| 7 | SC Sopron | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 24 | 22 | 22 |
| 8 | MTE 1904 | 15 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 22 | 16 | 22 |
| 9 | Zalaegerszegi TE II | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 30 | 27 | 21 |
| 10 | Bicskei TC | 15 | 6 | 1 | 8 | 28 | 29 | 19 |
| 11 | Györi ETO II | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 18 | 22 | 17 |
| 12 | Veszprem FC | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 28 | 29 | 17 |
| 13 | Kiraly SZE | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 18 | 29 | 14 |
| 14 | Papai Perutz | 15 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 11 | 29 | 11 |
| 15 | Balatonalmadi SE | 15 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 15 | 43 | 11 |
| 16 | 1908 SZAC Budapest | 15 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 6 | 42 | 2 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | FC Tatabanya | Györi ETO II |
|---|---|---|
| Szombathelyi Mav Haladas VSE | 2-0 W | 0-2 L |
| MTE 1904 | 1-1 D | 0-3 L |
| Dorogi FC | 2-2 D | 1-2 L |
| Papai Perutz | 1-0 W | 1-2 L |
| Zalaegerszegi TE II | 3-0 W | 3-1 W |
| Komarom VSE | 2-0 W | 1-1 D |
| 1908 SZAC Budapest | 3-1 W | 0-0 D |
| Veszprem FC | 2-1 W | 2-3 L |
| Record vs common | 6 W 2 D 0 L | 1 W 2 D 5 L |
Better against common opponents: FC Tatabanya (8 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
FC Tatabanya
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/11 | Szombathelyi Mav Haladas VSE Hungary NB III |
1-0 | 2-0 | 8 | 5 | W |
| 31/10 | MTE 1904 Hungary NB III |
1-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 7 | D |
| 24/10 | Dorogi FC Hungary NB III |
1-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 17/10 | Papai Perutz Hungary NB III |
0-0 | 1-0 | 12 | 5 | W |
| 10/10 | Zalaegerszegi TE II Hungary NB III |
1-0 | 3-0 | 7 | 7 | W |
| 03/10 | Komarom VSE Hungary NB III |
0-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 13 | W |
| 26/09 | 1908 SZAC Budapest Hungary NB III |
3-0 | 3-1 | 9 | 4 | W |
| 19/09 | Veszprem FC Hungary NB III |
0-0 | 2-1 | 11 | 3 | W |
| 05/09 | Kiraly SZE Hungary NB III |
1-1 | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 30/08 | Balatonalmadi SE Hungary NB III |
1-0 | 4-0 | 6 | 7 | W |
Györi ETO II
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/11 | Bicskei TC Hungary NB III |
0-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 3 | W |
| 01/11 | Puskas Academy II Hungary NB III |
0-2 | 1-3 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 25/10 | Szombathelyi Mav Haladas VSE Hungary NB III |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 17/10 | MTE 1904 Hungary NB III |
0-2 | 0-3 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 11/10 | Dorogi FC Hungary NB III |
1-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 03/10 | Papai Perutz Hungary NB III |
0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 26/09 | Zalaegerszegi TE II Hungary NB III |
0-0 | 3-1 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 19/09 | Komarom VSE Hungary NB III |
1-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 2 | D |
| 06/09 | 1908 SZAC Budapest Hungary NB III |
0-0 | 0-0 | 13 | 2 | D |
| 29/08 | Veszprem FC Hungary NB III |
0-1 | 2-3 | 9 | 4 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in FC Tatabanya vs Györi ETO II?
According to our model, the most likely result is a FC Tatabanya win (75%). Probabilities: FC Tatabanya 75%, draw 16%, Györi ETO II 9%.
How many goals are expected in FC Tatabanya vs Györi ETO II?
The model expects 3.34 goals (FC Tatabanya 2.55 · Györi ETO II 0.8), with a 51% chance of under 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in FC Tatabanya vs Györi ETO II?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.