Football · Austria Amateur Cup · 17/07, 19:30

Prediction: Oberwart vs Mattersburger Sportverein 2020

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.69Total
Oberwart2.36
Mattersburger Sportverein 20201.32
1X2
60% 20% 20%
Oberwart Draw Mattersburger Sportverein 2020
Markets
Over 3.5 goals 50% Both teams to score 59%
Most likely score
2-1
Recent form · 10 last
Oberwart 7-1-2 (W-D-L)
LWWWWWDWLW
Mattersburger Sportverein 2020 4-2-4 (W-D-L)
DWLWLDWLWL
Head-to-head
Oberwart 1–0 Mattersburger Sportverein 2020 (1 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Oberwart 1581 · Mattersburger Sportverein 2020 1489
OberwartDrawMattersburger Sportverein 2020
Our model60%21%20%
Market60%20%20%
Estimated total (ours) 3.69 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 72%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Oberwart (rating 1581 vs 1489).

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

OberwartMattersburger Sportverein 2020
Goals for / against (FT)3.9 / 1.31.5 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)2.1 / 0.60.6 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)70/10/20%20/50/30%
Corners (HT / FT)2.3 / 3.42.5 / 4.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)1.9 / 01.3 / 0.5

Head-to-head (H2H) · Oberwart 100 Mattersburger Sportverein 2020

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DateHomeScoreAway
25/05/26
Austria Amateur Cup
Mattersburger Sportverein 20200-4
HT 0-1
Oberwart

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Oberwart

LWWWWWDWLW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
26/06 Sturm Graz II
Europe Friendlies
3-0 4-0 20 W
19/06 Rapid Vienna II
Europe Friendlies
1-1 2-3 50 L
05/06 Kremser SC
Austria Regionalliga Ost
3-1 5-2 72 W
30/05 SC Wiener Viktoria
Austria Regionalliga Ost
0-1 2-2 24 D
25/05 Mattersburger Sportverein 2020
Austria Amateur Cup
1-0 4-0 41 W
22/05 FCM Traiskirchen
Austria Regionalliga Ost
2-0 3-0 04 W
15/05 Wiener Sportclub
Austria Regionalliga Ost
2-0 2-0 25 W
08/05 Favoritner AC
Austria Regionalliga Ost
2-0 4-1 51 W
05/05 SV Muhlgraben
Austria Amateur Cup
5-0 10-0 40 W
01/05 Sportunion Mauer
Austria Regionalliga Ost
2-3 3-5 L

Mattersburger Sportverein 2020

DWLWLDWLWL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
10/07 Besiktas
Club Friendly List
0-0 0-1 L
03/07 FK Austria Vienna II
Europe Friendlies
1-1 3-1 40 W
26/06 SV Kapfenberg
Europe Friendlies
0-1 0-2 30 L
06/06 Jennersdorf
Austria Landesliga
1-0 2-0 W
29/05 St Margarethen/Bur
Austria Landesliga
0-0 1-1 D
25/05 Oberwart
Austria Amateur Cup
0-1 0-4 31 L
23/05 ASV Neudorf/Parndorf II
Austria Landesliga
1-1 2-1 W
16/05 ASK Kohfidisch
Austria Landesliga
0-0 0-1 L
08/05 ASV Siegendorf
Austria Landesliga
3-0 6-0 W
02/05 SC Bad Sauerbrunn
Austria Landesliga
0-1 1-1 96 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Oberwart vs Mattersburger Sportverein 2020?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Oberwart win (60%). Probabilities: Oberwart 60%, draw 20%, Mattersburger Sportverein 2020 20%.

How many goals are expected in Oberwart vs Mattersburger Sportverein 2020?

The model expects 3.69 goals (Oberwart 2.36 · Mattersburger Sportverein 2020 1.32), with a 54% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Oberwart vs Mattersburger Sportverein 2020?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.