Football · Australia Victoria Cup Women · 15/07, 11:45
Prediction: Bulleen Lions (W) vs Essendon Royals (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.08Total
Bulleen Lions (W)1.7
Essendon Royals (W)1.38
1X2
Bulleen Lions (W)
Draw
Essendon Royals (W)
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 63%
Both teams to score 57%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Bulleen Lions (W)
6-3-1 (W-D-L)
Essendon Royals (W)
6-2-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Bulleen Lions (W)
2–4
Essendon Royals (W)
(6 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Bulleen Lions (W) 1584 · Essendon Royals (W) 1540
| Bulleen Lions (W) | Draw | Essendon Royals (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 44% | 26% | 30% |
| Market | 47% | 20% | 33% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.08 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · -0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 59%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Bulleen Lions (W) (rating 1584 vs 1540).
- H2H favours Essendon Royals (W): 4-0-2.
- High corners: 10.9 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Bulleen Lions (W) | Essendon Royals (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2 / 1 | 2.7 / 1.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.5 | 1.3 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/50/20% | 50/30/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.4 / 5.2 | 2.7 / 5.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.2 / 0 | 2.2 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Bulleen Lions (W) 2–0–4 Essendon Royals (W)
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27/06/26 Australia NPL Victoria Women | Essendon Royals (W) | 1-2 HT 0-1 | Bulleen Lions (W) |
| 14/03/26 Australia NPL Victoria Women | Bulleen Lions (W) | 3-1 HT 2-0 | Essendon Royals (W) |
| 12/07/25 Australia NPL Victoria Women | Bulleen Lions (W) | 3-5 HT 2-1 | Essendon Royals (W) |
| 12/04/25 Australia NPL Victoria Women | Essendon Royals (W) | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Bulleen Lions (W) |
| 08/06/24 Australia NPL Victoria Women | Essendon Royals (W) | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Bulleen Lions (W) |
| 18/03/24 Australia NPL Victoria Women | Bulleen Lions (W) | 1-2 HT 0-1 | Essendon Royals (W) |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Bulleen Lions (W) | Essendon Royals (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Preston Lions (W) | 2-2 D | 1-1 D |
| Box Hill (W) | 2-2 D | 7-1 W |
| Keilor Park (W) | 0-1 L | 3-0 W |
| Spring Hills FC (W) | 1-0 W | 2-1 W |
| Avondale FC (W) | 3-3 D | 2-4 L |
| Alamein FC (W) | 2-1 W | 2-0 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 3 D 1 L | 4 W 1 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Essendon Royals (W) (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Bulleen Lions (W)
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/07 | Preston Lions (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women |
1-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 03/07 | Bentleigh Greens (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 11 | 1 | W |
| 30/06 | Box Hill (W) Australia Victoria Cup Women |
1-1 | 2-2 | 7 | 5 | D |
| 27/06 | Essendon Royals (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women |
1-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 20/06 | Melbourne City NPL (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women |
1-0 | 5-0 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 06/06 | Keilor Park (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women |
0-1 | 0-1 | 0 | 5 | L |
| 02/06 | Spring Hills FC (W) Australia Victoria Cup Women |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 0 | W |
| 30/05 | Avondale FC (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women |
1-1 | 3-3 | 4 | 0 | D |
| 23/05 | Melbourne Victory NPL (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women |
0-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 16/05 | Alamein FC (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women |
0-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 2 | W |
Essendon Royals (W)
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07 | Keilor Park (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women |
2-0 | 3-0 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 04/07 | Avondale FC (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women |
0-2 | 2-4 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 27/06 | Bulleen Lions (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women |
0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 20/06 | Alamein FC (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women |
0-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 06/06 | Spring Hills FC (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women |
1-1 | 2-1 | 9 | 1 | W |
| 31/05 | Boroondara Eagles (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women |
1-0 | 4-0 | 9 | 0 | W |
| 23/05 | Box Hill (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women |
4-0 | 7-1 | 8 | 2 | W |
| 16/05 | South Melbourne (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women |
3-0 | 4-1 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 09/05 | Heidelberg United (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women |
1-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 1 | D |
| 02/05 | Preston Lions (W) Australia NPL Victoria Women |
1-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 3 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Bulleen Lions (W) vs Essendon Royals (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Bulleen Lions (W) win (46%). Probabilities: Bulleen Lions (W) 46%, draw 23%, Essendon Royals (W) 32%.
How many goals are expected in Bulleen Lions (W) vs Essendon Royals (W)?
The model expects 3.08 goals (Bulleen Lions (W) 1.7 · Essendon Royals (W) 1.38), with a 53% chance of under 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Bulleen Lions (W) vs Essendon Royals (W)?
The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.