Football · Brazil Campeonato Mineiro 2 · 25/07, 23:00

Prediction: Uberaba vs Mamore

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.1Total

Uberaba1.37

Mamore0.73

1X2

52% 29% 19%

Uberaba Draw Mamore

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 65% Not both to score 52%

Most likely score

1-0

Recent form · 10 last

Uberaba 6-2-2 (W-D-L)

WLDDWWWWWL

Mamore 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

LLLDWDDLWW

Head-to-head

Uberaba 3–3 Mamore (6 last)

Mamore2-1Uberaba
Uberaba1-0Mamore
Mamore0-2Uberaba

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Uberaba 1549 · Mamore 1493

	Uberaba	Draw	Mamore
Our model	51%	30%	19%
Market	52%	28%	20%

Estimated total (ours) 2.1 goals · Bet365 line 2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 67%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Uberaba (rating 1549 vs 1493).
Cards-heavy: 12.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Uberaba	Mamore
Goals for / against (FT)	1.6 / 1.1	0.7 / 0.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.6	0.2 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	33/44/22%	0/83/17%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 4.6	3.3 / 4.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.7 / 0.1	6.7 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

11.73

X3.25

24.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)2.02

2 (+0.75)1.77

Line ⓘ

Over 21.95

Under 21.85

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 2.15

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 20:44

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.73 → 1.73	Pinn 1.76 ★
X	3.25 → 3.25	Bet365 3.25
2	4.50 → 4.50	Bet365 4.50

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 10.9% Pinnacle margin 12.6%

Time*	1	X	2
20:30 +14’	1.73	3.25	4.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
11:29 +2’	1.81	2.95	4.30
12:40 +2’	1.76▼	3.00▲	4.47▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Uberaba 3–0–3 Mamore

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Date	Home	Score	Away
18/07/26 Brazil Campeonato Mineiro 2	Mamore	2-1 HT 0-0	Uberaba
05/07/26 Brazil Campeonato Mineiro 2	Uberaba	1-0 HT 0-0	Mamore
09/06/26 Brazil Campeonato Mineiro 2	Mamore	0-2 HT 0-0	Uberaba
21/06/25 Brazil Campeonato Mineiro 2	Uberaba	3-0 HT 1-0	Mamore
06/05/25 Brazil Campeonato Mineiro 2	Mamore	2-0 HT 1-0	Uberaba
26/09/23 Brazil Campeonato Mineiro 2	Mamore	2-1 HT 1-1	Uberaba

Standings · Brazil Campeonato Mineiro 2 · Mineiro, Modulo II 2026, Group A

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Uberaba	10	7	2	1	17	9	23
2	Boa	10	5	2	3	12	9	17
3	CA Patrocinense	10	3	3	4	9	9	12
4	Mamore	10	3	3	4	8	9	12
5	Guarani MG	10	3	3	4	12	14	12
6	Caldense MG	10	1	3	6	6	14	6

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Uberaba	Mamore
Caldense MG	3-2 W	1-0 W
Boa	3-1 W	0-0 D
CA Patrocinense	1-0 W	1-0 W
Guarani MG	2-1 W	2-2 D
Record vs common	4 W 0 D 0 L	2 W 2 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Uberaba (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Uberaba

WLDDWWWWWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/07	Mamore Brazil Campeonato Mineiro 2	0-0	1-2	5	8	L
12/07	Caldense MG Brazil Campeonato Mineiro 2	1-0	3-2	2	5	W
05/07	Mamore Brazil Campeonato Mineiro 2	0-0	1-0	6	7	W
02/07	Boa Brazil Campeonato Mineiro 2	2-1	3-1	2	4	W
28/06	CA Patrocinense Brazil Campeonato Mineiro 2	0-0	1-0	6	4	W
24/06	Guarani MG Brazil Campeonato Mineiro 2	2-1	2-1	6	6	W
20/06	Guarani MG Brazil Campeonato Mineiro 2	–	2-2	–	–	D
18/06	CA Patrocinense Brazil Campeonato Mineiro 2	0-1	1-1	2	7	D
14/06	Boa Brazil Campeonato Mineiro 2	0-2	0-2	8	5	L
09/06	Mamore Brazil Campeonato Mineiro 2	0-0	2-0	4	6	W

Mamore

LLLDWDDLWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/07	Uberaba Brazil Campeonato Mineiro 2	0-0	2-1	3	8	W
12/07	CA Patrocinense Brazil Campeonato Mineiro 2	–	1-0	–	–	W
05/07	Uberaba Brazil Campeonato Mineiro 2	0-0	0-1	5	7	L
02/07	Guarani MG Brazil Campeonato Mineiro 2	1-1	2-2	8	7	D
28/06	Boa Brazil Campeonato Mineiro 2	–	0-0	–	–	D
24/06	Caldense MG Brazil Campeonato Mineiro 2	0-0	1-0	5	6	W
20/06	Caldense MG Brazil Campeonato Mineiro 2	–	0-0	–	–	D
18/06	Boa Brazil Campeonato Mineiro 2	–	0-1	–	–	L
13/06	Guarani MG Brazil Campeonato Mineiro 2	0-1	1-2	2	7	L
09/06	Uberaba Brazil Campeonato Mineiro 2	0-0	0-2	4	6	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Uberaba vs Mamore?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Uberaba win (52%). Probabilities: Uberaba 52%, draw 29%, Mamore 19%.

How many goals are expected in Uberaba vs Mamore?

The model expects 2.1 goals (Uberaba 1.37 · Mamore 0.73), with a 51% chance of under 2 goals.

Will both teams score in Uberaba vs Mamore?

The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.