Football · Brazil Campeonato Mineiro 2 · 26/07, 15:30

Prediction: Boa vs SC Aymores

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.27Total

Boa1.33

SC Aymores0.94

1X2

45% 30% 25%

Boa Draw SC Aymores

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 60% Both teams to score 50%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Boa 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

LWWLDDLWWL

SC Aymores 5-4-1 (W-D-L)

WWDWDLWDDW

Head-to-head

Boa 2–3 SC Aymores (5 last)

SC Aymores2-0Boa
SC Aymores4-0Boa
Boa1-0SC Aymores

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Boa 1507 · SC Aymores 1547

	Boa	Draw	SC Aymores
Our model	44%	30%	25%
Market	45%	29%	26%

Estimated total (ours) 2.27 goals · Bet365 line 2 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 51%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours SC Aymores (rating 1507 vs 1547).
H2H favours SC Aymores: 3-0-2.
Cards-heavy: 9.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Boa	SC Aymores
Goals for / against (FT)	1.1 / 1.1	1.8 / 0.7
Goals for / against (HT)	1.1 / 0.9	0.9 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	38/13/50%	50/25/25%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.9 / 5.6	2.3 / 4.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.3 / 0	5.3 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.00

X3.10

23.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)2.00

2 (+0.5)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 21.80

Under 22.00

Diff.: 0.35 · xG: 2.35

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 16:37

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.00 → 2.00	Bet365 2.00
X	3.10 → 3.10	Bet365 3.10
2	3.50 → 3.50	Bet365 3.50

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 10.8%

Time*	1	X	2
16:19 +18’	2.00	3.10	3.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Boa 2–0–3 SC Aymores

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Date	Home	Score	Away
18/07/26 Brazil Campeonato Mineiro 2	SC Aymores	2-0 HT 2-0	Boa
03/08/23 Brazil Campeonato Mineiro 2	SC Aymores	4-0 HT 1-0	Boa
08/07/23 Brazil Campeonato Mineiro 2	Boa	1-0 HT 1-0	SC Aymores
11/05/23 Brazil Campeonato Mineiro 2	SC Aymores	2-1	Boa
03/05/22 Brazil Campeonato Mineiro 2	Boa	1-0 HT 0-0	SC Aymores

Standings · Brazil Campeonato Mineiro 2 · Mineiro, Modulo II 2026, Group B

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Valeriodoce EC	10	5	5	0	9	4	20
2	Democrata SL	10	5	2	3	19	10	17
3	SC Aymores	10	4	4	2	17	9	16
4	Villa Nova	10	4	2	4	17	12	14
5	Coimbra	10	2	4	4	12	12	10
6	Ipatinga	10	1	1	8	6	33	-2

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Boa

LWWLDDLWWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/07	SC Aymores Brazil Campeonato Mineiro 2	0-2	0-2	9	4	L
12/07	Guarani MG Brazil Campeonato Mineiro 2	4-0	4-2	3	4	W
05/07	Caldense MG Brazil Campeonato Mineiro 2	2-1	3-1	6	8	W
02/07	Uberaba Brazil Campeonato Mineiro 2	1-2	1-3	4	4	L
28/06	Mamore Brazil Campeonato Mineiro 2	–	0-0	–	–	D
25/06	CA Patrocinense Brazil Campeonato Mineiro 2	0-0	0-0	2	2	D
21/06	CA Patrocinense Brazil Campeonato Mineiro 2	0-1	0-2	9	2	L
18/06	Mamore Brazil Campeonato Mineiro 2	–	1-0	–	–	W
14/06	Uberaba Brazil Campeonato Mineiro 2	2-0	2-0	5	5	W
07/06	Caldense MG Brazil Campeonato Mineiro 2	0-1	0-1	7	5	L

SC Aymores

WWDWDLWDDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/07	Boa Brazil Campeonato Mineiro 2	2-0	2-0	5	4	W
12/07	Democrata SL Brazil Campeonato Mineiro 2	1-2	2-2	3	7	D
04/07	Villa Nova Brazil Campeonato Mineiro 2	1-0	1-1	6	9	D
01/07	Ipatinga Brazil Campeonato Mineiro 2	–	4-1	–	–	W
28/06	Valeriodoce EC Brazil Campeonato Mineiro 2	0-1	0-1	6	3	L
24/06	Coimbra Brazil Campeonato Mineiro 2	0-0	0-0	2	7	D
20/06	Coimbra Brazil Campeonato Mineiro 2	1-0	3-1	9	5	W
18/06	Valeriodoce EC Brazil Campeonato Mineiro 2	0-0	0-0	2	2	D
13/06	Ipatinga Brazil Campeonato Mineiro 2	2-0	4-0	–	–	W
06/06	Villa Nova Brazil Campeonato Mineiro 2	–	2-1	–	–	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Boa vs SC Aymores?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Boa win (45%). Probabilities: Boa 45%, draw 30%, SC Aymores 25%.

How many goals are expected in Boa vs SC Aymores?

The model expects 2.27 goals (Boa 1.33 · SC Aymores 0.94), with a 54% chance of over 2 goals.

Will both teams score in Boa vs SC Aymores?

The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.