Football · Germany Regionalliga West · 19/09, 14:00

Prediction: Schalke II vs Sportfreunde Lotte

Team pages: Schalke II · Sportfreunde Lotte

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.72Total

Schalke II2.31

Sportfreunde Lotte1.41

1X2

57% 21% 22%

Schalke II Draw Sportfreunde Lotte

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 59%

Most likely score

2-1 9%

Recent form · 10 last

Schalke II 5-0-5 (W-D-L)

WWLWWLWLLL

Sportfreunde Lotte 1-4-5 (W-D-L)

WDLDDLDLLL

Head-to-head

Schalke II 4–2 Sportfreunde Lotte (6 last)

Sportfreunde Lotte2-5Schalke II
Schalke II3-0Sportfreunde Lotte
Schalke II1-2Sportfreunde Lotte
Sportfreunde Lotte4-1Schalke II
Schalke II7-1Sportfreunde Lotte
Schalke II4-1Sportfreunde Lotte

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 67%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Schalke II (rating 1484 vs 1403).
H2H favours Schalke II: 4-0-2.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Schalke II	Sportfreunde Lotte
Goals for / against (FT)	2.3 / 2.1	1 / 1.7
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.9	0.4 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/60/20%	10/50/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	– / –	– / –
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	– / –	– / –

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.83

Under 3.251.95

Diff.: 0.3 · xG: 3.55

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 16:39

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	1.54 → 1.54	Pinn 1.54
X	4.27 → 4.27	Pinn 4.27
2	4.82 → 4.82	Pinn 4.82

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 9.2%

Time*	1	X	2
15:30 +69’	1.54	4.27	4.82

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Schalke II 4–0–2 Sportfreunde Lotte

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Date	Home	Score	Away
15/04/26 Germany Regionalliga West	Sportfreunde Lotte	2-5 HT 1-2	Schalke II
20/08/25 Germany Regionalliga West	Schalke II	3-0 HT 2-0	Sportfreunde Lotte
29/03/25 Germany Regionalliga West	Schalke II	1-2 HT 1-1	Sportfreunde Lotte
05/10/24 Germany Regionalliga West	Sportfreunde Lotte	4-1 HT 4-0	Schalke II
07/07/22 Europe Friendlies	Schalke II	7-1 HT 3-1	Sportfreunde Lotte
29/01/22 Germany Regionalliga West	Schalke II	4-1 HT 2-1	Sportfreunde Lotte

Standings · Germany Regionalliga West

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Gutersloh 2000	8	6	1	1	20	6	19
2	Rot-Weiss Oberhausen	8	6	1	1	19	7	19
3	Borussia Dortmund II	8	5	3	0	15	7	18
4	Borussia M'gladbach II	8	5	2	1	17	7	17
5	Westfalia Rhynern	8	4	2	2	14	14	14
6	Bergisch Gladbach 09	8	4	1	3	11	13	13
7	Cologne II	8	3	2	3	13	12	11
8	1. FC Bocholt	8	2	4	2	17	17	10
9	Sportfreunde Siegen	8	2	4	2	13	13	10
10	SC Paderborn 07 II	8	2	3	3	15	16	9
11	Schalke II	8	3	0	5	17	20	9
12	VfB Hilden	8	2	3	3	7	13	9
13	Bonner SC	8	1	5	2	15	16	8
14	Wattenscheid 09	8	2	2	4	11	16	8
15	SC Wiedenbruck	8	2	2	4	11	18	8
16	SV Rodinghausen	8	1	2	5	11	16	5
17	Bochum II	8	1	2	5	7	14	5
18	Sportfreunde Lotte	8	0	3	5	6	14	3

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Schalke II	Sportfreunde Lotte
Rot-Weiss Oberhausen	2-3 L	0-0 D
Gutersloh 2000	1-3 L	0-1 L
Cologne II	5-1 W	2-2 D
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 2 L	0 W 2 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Sportfreunde Lotte (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Schalke II

WWLWWLWLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
11/09	Rot-Weiss Oberhausen Germany Regionalliga West	1-1	2-3	–	–	L
06/09	Gutersloh 2000 Germany Regionalliga West	1-1	1-3	–	–	L
01/09	Borussia Dortmund II Germany Regionalliga West	0-2	1-3	–	–	L
29/08	SC Wiedenbruck Germany Regionalliga West	1-1	4-1	–	–	W
21/08	Wattenscheid 09 Germany Regionalliga West	0-0	0-3	–	–	L
14/08	Sportfreunde Siegen Germany Regionalliga West	2-0	2-0	–	–	W
08/08	1. FC Bocholt Germany Regionalliga West	1-4	5-4	–	–	W
01/08	SC Paderborn 07 II Germany Regionalliga West	0-0	2-3	–	–	L
16/05	Cologne II Germany Regionalliga West	1-0	5-1	–	–	W
09/05	1. FC Bocholt Germany Regionalliga West	0-0	1-0	–	–	W

Sportfreunde Lotte

WDLDDLDLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
12/09	VfB Hilden Germany Regionalliga West	0-2	0-3	–	–	L
05/09	Westfalia Rhynern Germany Regionalliga West	0-0	2-3	–	–	L
02/09	Bergisch Gladbach 09 Germany Regionalliga West	0-1	0-2	–	–	L
29/08	Cologne II Germany Regionalliga West	1-1	2-2	–	–	D
23/08	Bochum II Germany Regionalliga West	0-1	0-1	–	–	L
14/08	Bonner SC Germany Regionalliga West	0-0	2-2	–	–	D
09/08	Rot-Weiss Oberhausen Germany Regionalliga West	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
01/08	Gutersloh 2000 Germany Regionalliga West	0-1	0-1	–	–	L
16/05	SC Fortuna Köln Germany Regionalliga West	1-1	2-2	–	–	D
09/05	Bonner SC Germany Regionalliga West	2-0	2-1	–	–	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Schalke II vs Sportfreunde Lotte?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Schalke II win (57%). Probabilities: Schalke II 57%, draw 21%, Sportfreunde Lotte 22%.

How many goals are expected in Schalke II vs Sportfreunde Lotte?

The model expects 3.72 goals (Schalke II 2.31 · Sportfreunde Lotte 1.41), with a 54% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Schalke II vs Sportfreunde Lotte?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.