Football · Germany Regionalliga South West · 11/09, 19:00

Prediction: Freiburg II vs Sandhausen

Team pages: Freiburg II · Sandhausen

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.68Total

Freiburg II2.22

Sandhausen1.46

1X2

54% 22% 24%

Freiburg II Draw Sandhausen

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 60%

Most likely score

2-1 9%

Recent form · 10 last

Freiburg II 4-4-2 (W-D-L)

WLLWDWDDWD

Sandhausen 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

WLWLDWLLLD

Head-to-head

Freiburg II 0–2–2 Sandhausen (4 last)

Freiburg II2-2Sandhausen
Sandhausen2-2Freiburg II
Sandhausen1-0Freiburg II
Freiburg II0-2Sandhausen

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 73%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Freiburg II (rating 1531 vs 1472).
H2H favours Sandhausen: 2-2-0.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Freiburg II	Sandhausen
Goals for / against (FT)	2.1 / 1.5	1.4 / 2.1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.8	1 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/40/30%	30/30/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	– / –	– / –
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	– / –	– / –

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 3.51.94

Under 3.51.85

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 3.55

Market movement

Match winner · 4 moves · last 16:59

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	2.23 → 2.32▲	Pinn 2.32
X	3.65 → 3.72▲	Pinn 3.72
2	2.70 → 2.55▼	Pinn 2.55

See the full journey (4)

Pinnacle margin 9.2%

Time*	1	X	2
19:23 +30’	2.23	3.65	2.70
09:44 +34’	2.45▲	3.65	2.44▼
12:46 +4’	2.43▼	3.66▲	2.45▲
16:42 +17’	2.32▼	3.72▲	2.55▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Freiburg II 0–2–2 Sandhausen

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Date	Home	Score	Away
01/03/26 Germany Regionalliga South West	Freiburg II	2-2 HT 2-1	Sandhausen
31/08/25 Germany Regionalliga South West	Sandhausen	2-2 HT 1-2	Freiburg II
01/03/24 Germany 3. Liga	Sandhausen	1-0 HT 0-0	Freiburg II
03/10/23 Germany 3. Liga	Freiburg II	0-2 HT 0-1	Sandhausen

Standings · Germany Regionalliga South West

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Kickers Offenbach	6	5	1	0	15	5	16
2	SGV Freiberg	6	3	3	0	14	5	12
3	VfR Aalen	6	3	2	1	9	6	11
4	Freiburg II	6	2	4	0	12	7	10
5	Stuttgarter Kickers	6	3	1	2	12	10	10
6	Eintracht Trier	6	3	1	2	5	4	10
7	FC 08 Homburg	6	3	1	2	8	8	10
8	FSV Frankfurt	6	2	3	1	11	7	9
9	VfR Mannheim	6	1	4	1	6	6	7
10	Eintracht Frankfurt II	6	2	1	3	9	10	7
11	TSV Steinbach	6	1	3	2	10	11	6
12	Hessen Kassel	6	2	0	4	10	12	6
13	FC Astoria Walldorf	6	1	3	2	7	10	6
14	Mainz II	6	2	0	4	8	12	6
15	SG Barockstadt	6	1	2	3	9	11	5
16	Sandhausen	6	1	2	3	9	15	5
17	Kaiserslautern II	6	1	2	3	5	14	5
18	SSV Ulm 1846	6	0	3	3	8	14	3

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Freiburg II	Sandhausen
Eintracht Trier	0-0 D	0-2 L
TSV Steinbach	4-3 W	2-2 D
Hessen Kassel	5-1 W	2-5 L
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 0 L	0 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Freiburg II (3 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Freiburg II

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/09	Eintracht Trier Germany Regionalliga South West	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
05/09	TSV Steinbach Germany Regionalliga South West	2-1	4-3	–	–	W
30/08	VfR Mannheim Germany Regionalliga South West	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
22/08	Stuttgarter Kickers Germany Regionalliga South West	0-1	2-2	–	–	D
16/08	Hessen Kassel Germany Regionalliga South West	2-1	5-1	–	–	W
09/08	VfR Aalen Germany Regionalliga South West	0-1	1-1	–	–	D
16/05	Mainz II Germany Regionalliga South West	1-0	4-0	–	–	W
09/05	Kickers Offenbach Germany Regionalliga South West	1-1	1-3	–	–	L
02/05	TSV Steinbach Germany Regionalliga South West	0-1	1-3	–	–	L
25/04	FC Astoria Walldorf Germany Regionalliga South West	2-2	3-2	–	–	W

Sandhausen

WLWLDWLLLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/09	SGV Freiberg Germany Regionalliga South West	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
05/09	Hessen Kassel Germany Regionalliga South West	1-2	2-5	–	–	L
29/08	Eintracht Trier Germany Regionalliga South West	0-2	0-2	–	–	L
22/08	FC 08 Homburg Germany Regionalliga South West	0-1	1-3	–	–	L
15/08	SG Barockstadt Germany Regionalliga South West	4-1	4-3	–	–	W
08/08	TSV Steinbach Germany Regionalliga South West	1-1	2-2	–	–	D
16/05	FC 08 Homburg Germany Regionalliga South West	0-2	1-3	–	–	L
09/05	SGV Freiberg Germany Regionalliga South West	2-1	2-1	–	–	W
02/05	TSV Schott Mainz Germany Regionalliga South West	0-0	0-1	–	–	L
25/04	Alzenau Germany Regionalliga South West	2-0	2-1	–	–	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Freiburg II vs Sandhausen?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Freiburg II win (54%). Probabilities: Freiburg II 54%, draw 22%, Sandhausen 24%.

How many goals are expected in Freiburg II vs Sandhausen?

The model expects 3.68 goals (Freiburg II 2.22 · Sandhausen 1.46), with a 51% chance of under 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Freiburg II vs Sandhausen?

The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.