Football · Germany Regionalliga South West · 07/11, 14:00

Prediction: FSV Frankfurt vs SGV Freiberg

Team pages: FSV Frankfurt · SGV Freiberg

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.43Total

FSV Frankfurt1.53

SGV Freiberg1.9

1X2

30% 24% 46%

FSV Frankfurt Draw SGV Freiberg

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 59%

Most likely score

1-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

FSV Frankfurt 2-3-5 (W-D-L)

DWWLLLDLLD

SGV Freiberg 4-6-0 (W-D-L)

DDWWDDWWDD

Head-to-head

FSV Frankfurt 1–2–3 SGV Freiberg (6 last)

SGV Freiberg3-1FSV Frankfurt
FSV Frankfurt1-3SGV Freiberg
SGV Freiberg1-1FSV Frankfurt
FSV Frankfurt2-1SGV Freiberg
SGV Freiberg0-0FSV Frankfurt
FSV Frankfurt2-3SGV Freiberg

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 65%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours SGV Freiberg (rating 1449 vs 1559).
H2H favours SGV Freiberg: 3-2-1.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FSV Frankfurt	SGV Freiberg
Goals for / against (FT)	1.4 / 1.9	2.2 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.9	0.5 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/20/50%	20/50/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	– / –	– / –
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	– / –	– / –

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 31.77

Under 32.00

Diff.: 0.35 · xG: 3.35

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 17:16

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	3.51 → 3.63▲	Pinn 3.63
X	3.70 → 3.74▲	Pinn 3.74
2	1.88 → 1.84▼	Pinn 1.84

See the full journey (2)

Pinnacle margin 8.6%

Time*	1	X	2
14:11 +28’	3.51	3.70	1.88
16:42 +34’	3.63▲	3.74▲	1.84▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · FSV Frankfurt 1–2–3 SGV Freiberg

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Date	Home	Score	Away
29/11/25 Germany Regionalliga South West	SGV Freiberg	3-1 HT 2-0	FSV Frankfurt
09/08/25 Germany Regionalliga South West	FSV Frankfurt	1-3 HT 1-1	SGV Freiberg
22/02/25 Germany Regionalliga South West	SGV Freiberg	1-1 HT 0-0	FSV Frankfurt
17/08/24 Germany Regionalliga South West	FSV Frankfurt	2-1 HT 0-0	SGV Freiberg
09/03/24 Germany Regionalliga South West	SGV Freiberg	0-0 HT 0-0	FSV Frankfurt
02/09/23 Germany Regionalliga South West	FSV Frankfurt	2-3 HT 0-2	SGV Freiberg

Standings · Germany Regionalliga South West

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	VfR Aalen	14	9	3	2	24	11	30
2	VfR Mannheim	14	8	5	1	25	11	29
3	SGV Freiberg	14	7	7	0	32	13	28
4	Kickers Offenbach	14	7	3	4	27	19	24
5	Stuttgarter Kickers	14	7	2	5	22	19	23
6	Eintracht Trier	14	7	2	5	16	17	23
7	Freiburg II	14	5	6	3	25	19	21
8	FC 08 Homburg	14	5	6	3	18	17	21
9	Sandhausen	14	5	4	5	21	24	19
10	TSV Steinbach	14	4	5	5	22	22	17
11	Eintracht Frankfurt II	14	5	1	8	18	22	16
12	FC Astoria Walldorf	14	3	5	6	20	22	14
13	FSV Frankfurt	14	3	5	6	22	25	14
14	Hessen Kassel	14	4	2	8	21	29	14
15	Mainz II	14	4	2	8	15	27	14
16	SG Barockstadt	14	3	3	8	18	28	12
17	SSV Ulm 1846	14	1	8	5	17	24	11
18	Kaiserslautern II	14	2	5	7	16	30	11

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FSV Frankfurt	SGV Freiberg
TSV Steinbach	2-2 D	2-2 D
Sandhausen	1-3 L	0-0 D
VfR Aalen	1-4 L	3-2 W
Stuttgarter Kickers	0-1 L	2-2 D
SSV Ulm 1846	2-1 W	4-4 D
Kickers Offenbach	1-1 D	1-1 D
Record vs common	1 W 2 D 3 L	1 W 5 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: SGV Freiberg (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FSV Frankfurt

DWWLLLDLLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
30/10	TSV Steinbach Germany Regionalliga South West	2-1	2-2	–	–	D
24/10	Eintracht Frankfurt II Germany Regionalliga South West	0-1	1-2	–	–	L
18/10	Eintracht Trier Germany Regionalliga South West	1-0	2-3	–	–	L
14/10	Kaiserslautern II Germany Regionalliga South West	2-2	2-2	–	–	D
10/10	Sandhausen Germany Regionalliga South West	1-2	1-3	–	–	L
03/10	VfR Aalen Germany Regionalliga South West	0-1	1-4	–	–	L
18/09	Stuttgarter Kickers Germany Regionalliga South West	0-1	0-1	–	–	L
12/09	SSV Ulm 1846 Germany Regionalliga South West	0-0	2-1	–	–	W
08/09	Hessen Kassel Germany Regionalliga South West	1-0	2-0	–	–	W
05/09	Kickers Offenbach Germany Regionalliga South West	0-1	1-1	–	–	D

SGV Freiberg

DDWWDDWWDD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	FC Astoria Walldorf Germany Regionalliga South West	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
23/10	Kickers Offenbach Germany Regionalliga South West	0-1	1-1	–	–	D
17/10	SG Barockstadt Germany Regionalliga South West	1-0	3-0	–	–	W
11/10	Freiburg II Germany Regionalliga South West	1-1	2-1	–	–	W
03/10	TSV Steinbach Germany Regionalliga South West	0-1	2-2	–	–	D
26/09	Stuttgarter Kickers Germany Regionalliga South West	1-1	2-2	–	–	D
19/09	VfR Aalen Germany Regionalliga South West	0-1	3-2	–	–	W
12/09	Mainz II Germany Regionalliga South West	0-0	5-0	–	–	W
08/09	Sandhausen Germany Regionalliga South West	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
04/09	SSV Ulm 1846 Germany Regionalliga South West	2-1	4-4	–	–	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FSV Frankfurt vs SGV Freiberg?

According to our model, the most likely result is an SGV Freiberg win (46%). Probabilities: FSV Frankfurt 30%, draw 24%, SGV Freiberg 46%.

How many goals are expected in FSV Frankfurt vs SGV Freiberg?

The model expects 3.43 goals (FSV Frankfurt 1.53 · SGV Freiberg 1.9), with a 55% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in FSV Frankfurt vs SGV Freiberg?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.