Football · Uruguay Torneo Intermedio · 26/07, 20:00
Prediction: Albion FC vs Danubio
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.18Total
Albion FC1.47
Danubio0.71
1X2
Albion FC
Draw
Danubio
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 63%
Not both to score 52%
Most likely score
1-0
Recent form · 10 last
Albion FC
5-2-3 (W-D-L)
Danubio
1-5-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Albion FC
3–2
Danubio
(5 last)
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 60%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Albion FC (rating 1520 vs 1462).
- H2H favours Albion FC: 3-0-2.
- Cards-heavy: 10.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Albion FC | Danubio | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.6 / 1 | 0.8 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.6 | 0.4 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/40/30% | 30/50/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.3 / 3.5 | 1.9 / 4.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.5 / 0.6 | 5 / 0.6 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Albion FC 3–0–2 Danubio
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 09/05/26 Uruguay Apertura | Danubio | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Albion FC |
| 16/10/22 Uruguay Clausura | Danubio | 3-0 HT 0-0 | Albion FC |
| 27/05/22 Uruguay Apertura | Albion FC | 1-2 HT 1-2 | Danubio |
| 01/11/21 Uruguay Segunda | Albion FC | 2-1 HT 0-0 | Danubio |
| 22/07/21 Uruguay Segunda | Danubio | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Albion FC |
Standings · Uruguay Torneo Intermedio · Primera Division 2026, Torneo Intermedio, Group B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Montevideo Wanderers | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 10 | 4 | 12 |
| 2 | Deportivo Maldonado | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 6 | 11 |
| 3 | Nacional De Football | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 10 |
| 4 | Torque | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 9 | 9 |
| 5 | Juventud De Las Piedras | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 11 | 7 |
| 6 | Club Atletico Progreso | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 6 |
| 7 | Albion FC | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 5 |
| 8 | Danubio | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 3 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Albion FC | Danubio |
|---|---|---|
| Juventud De Las Piedras | 0-1 L | 1-1 D |
| Deportivo Maldonado | 1-1 D | 1-3 L |
| Club Atletico Progreso | 2-1 W | 1-2 L |
| Nacional De Football | 0-1 L | 0-0 D |
| Montevideo Wanderers | 0-0 D | 0-0 D |
| Central Espanol | 6-1 W | 2-2 D |
| Record vs common | 2 W 2 D 2 L | 0 W 4 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Albion FC (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Albion FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/07 | Juventud De Las Piedras Uruguay Torneo Intermedio |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 11/07 | Deportivo Maldonado Uruguay Torneo Intermedio |
0-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 07/06 | Club Atletico Progreso Uruguay Torneo Intermedio |
2-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 31/05 | Torque Uruguay Torneo Intermedio |
1-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 9 | L |
| 23/05 | Nacional De Football Uruguay Torneo Intermedio |
0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 12 | L |
| 17/05 | Montevideo Wanderers Uruguay Torneo Intermedio |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 09/05 | Danubio Uruguay Apertura |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 7 | W |
| 04/05 | Nacional De Football Uruguay Apertura |
3-1 | 3-2 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 25/04 | Deportivo Maldonado Uruguay Apertura |
1-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 18/04 | Central Espanol Uruguay Apertura |
0-1 | 6-1 | 7 | 4 | W |
Danubio
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07 | Nacional De Football Uruguay Torneo Intermedio |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 6 | D |
| 05/07 | Juventud De Las Piedras Uruguay Torneo Intermedio |
1-1 | 1-1 | 10 | 5 | D |
| 06/06 | Montevideo Wanderers Uruguay Torneo Intermedio |
0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | D |
| 30/05 | Club Atletico Progreso Uruguay Torneo Intermedio |
1-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 18/05 | Deportivo Maldonado Uruguay Torneo Intermedio |
0-2 | 1-3 | 1 | 9 | L |
| 09/05 | Albion FC Uruguay Apertura |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 7 | L |
| 02/05 | Liverpool Montevideo Uruguay Apertura |
0-0 | 0-3 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 26/04 | Nacional De Football Uruguay Apertura |
0-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 8 | W |
| 19/04 | Deportivo Maldonado Uruguay Apertura |
1-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 5 | D |
| 12/04 | Central Espanol Uruguay Apertura |
1-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 8 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Albion FC vs Danubio?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Albion FC win (54%). Probabilities: Albion FC 54%, draw 29%, Danubio 17%.
How many goals are expected in Albion FC vs Danubio?
The model expects 2.18 goals (Albion FC 1.47 · Danubio 0.71), with a 52% chance of over 2 goals.
Will both teams score in Albion FC vs Danubio?
The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.