Football · Uruguay Torneo Intermedio · 25/07, 20:00
Prediction: Defensor Sporting vs Cerro
Prediction summary
Expected goals
1.9Total
Defensor Sporting1.07
Cerro0.83
1X2
Defensor Sporting
Draw
Cerro
Markets
Over 1.5 goals 58%
Not both to score 53%
Most likely score
0-0
Recent form · 10 last
Defensor Sporting
1-5-4 (W-D-L)
Cerro
2-2-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Defensor Sporting
3–1–2
Cerro
(6 last)
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 67%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Defensor Sporting: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 10.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Defensor Sporting | Cerro | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.7 / 1.2 | 0.7 / 1.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.2 / 0.6 | 0.4 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 0/60/40% | 10/50/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.8 / 4.5 | 1.4 / 2.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.7 / 0.5 | 5 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Defensor Sporting 3–1–2 Cerro
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 05/04/26 Uruguay Apertura | Cerro | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Defensor Sporting |
| 12/10/25 Uruguay Clausura | Cerro | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Defensor Sporting |
| 23/06/25 Uruguay Torneo Intermedio | Defensor Sporting | 2-1 HT 0-0 | Cerro |
| 14/04/25 Uruguay Apertura | Defensor Sporting | 3-2 HT 2-1 | Cerro |
| 07/09/24 Uruguay Clausura | Cerro | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Defensor Sporting |
| 25/02/24 Uruguay Apertura | Defensor Sporting | 5-0 HT 1-0 | Cerro |
Standings · Uruguay Torneo Intermedio · Primera Division 2026, Torneo Intermedio, Group A
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Penarol | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 3 | 13 |
| 2 | Cerro Largo | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 8 |
| 3 | Central Espanol | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 8 |
| 4 | Racing Club de Montevideo | 5 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 7 |
| 5 | Cerro | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 6 |
| 6 | Liverpool Montevideo | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
| 7 | Boston River | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 5 |
| 8 | Defensor Sporting | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 3 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Defensor Sporting | Cerro |
|---|---|---|
| Cerro Largo | 1-1 D | 0-2 L |
| Boston River | 1-1 D | 1-4 L |
| Penarol | 0-2 L | 0-1 L |
| Central Espanol | 1-2 L | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 0 W 2 D 2 L | 1 W 0 D 3 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Defensor Sporting
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/07 | Cerro Largo Uruguay Torneo Intermedio |
1-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 4 | D |
| 04/07 | Cruzeiro America Friendlies |
0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 07/06 | Boston River Uruguay Torneo Intermedio |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 6 | D |
| 30/05 | Racing Club de Montevideo Uruguay Torneo Intermedio |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | D |
| 24/05 | Penarol Uruguay Torneo Intermedio |
0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 7 | L |
| 17/05 | Central Espanol Uruguay Torneo Intermedio |
1-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 7 | L |
| 10/05 | Juventud De Las Piedras Uruguay Apertura |
0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 10 | L |
| 05/05 | Penarol Uruguay Apertura |
0-1 | 1-1 | 8 | 9 | D |
| 28/04 | Club Atletico Progreso Uruguay Apertura |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 11 | W |
| 18/04 | Racing Club de Montevideo Uruguay Apertura |
0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 5 | D |
Cerro
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/07 | Liverpool Montevideo Uruguay Torneo Intermedio |
1-1 | 2-1 | 2 | 6 | W |
| 07/06 | Penarol Uruguay Torneo Intermedio |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 30/05 | Cerro Largo Uruguay Torneo Intermedio |
0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 24/05 | Central Espanol Uruguay Torneo Intermedio |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 16/05 | Boston River Uruguay Torneo Intermedio |
1-2 | 1-4 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 11/05 | Nacional De Football Uruguay Apertura |
0-2 | 0-4 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 02/05 | Deportivo Maldonado Uruguay Apertura |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 6 | L |
| 26/04 | Central Espanol Uruguay Apertura |
1-2 | 1-3 | 1 | 9 | L |
| 19/04 | Torque Uruguay Apertura |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 6 | D |
| 11/04 | Cerro Largo Uruguay Apertura |
0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 6 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Defensor Sporting vs Cerro?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Defensor Sporting win (39%). Probabilities: Defensor Sporting 39%, draw 34%, Cerro 27%.
How many goals are expected in Defensor Sporting vs Cerro?
The model expects 1.9 goals (Defensor Sporting 1.07 · Cerro 0.83), with a 53% chance of under 2 goals.
Will both teams score in Defensor Sporting vs Cerro?
The model gives a 53% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.