Football · France Division 2 Women · 06/09, 15:00

Prediction: Lille (W) vs Auxerre (W)

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.68Total
Lille (W)1.36
Auxerre (W)1.32
1X2
37% 27% 35%
Lille (W) Draw Auxerre (W)
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Lille (W) 3-3-4 (W-D-L)
WWDLDLWLDL
Auxerre (W) 2-3-5 (W-D-L)
WLLLDDDLLW
Head-to-head
Lille (W) 0–2–1 Auxerre (W) (3 last)
  • Lille (W)0-0Auxerre (W)
  • Auxerre (W)2-0Lille (W)
  • Auxerre (W)1-1Lille (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Lille (W) 1489 · Auxerre (W) 1477
Lille (W)DrawAuxerre (W)
Our model37%28%35%
Market38%26%36%
Estimated total (ours) 2.68 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 55%model estimate

Match keys

  • Cards-heavy: 6.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Lille (W)Auxerre (W)
Goals for / against (FT)1.7 / 1.31.2 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)0.9 / 0.50.7 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)40/40/20%40/20/40%
Corners (HT / FT)2.6 / 4.12.4 / 5.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.8 / 0.32.5 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · Lille (W) 021 Auxerre (W)

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DateHomeScoreAway
29/03/26
France Division 2 Women
Lille (W)0-0
HT 0-0
Auxerre (W)
09/11/25
France Division 2 Women
Auxerre (W)2-0
HT 1-0
Lille (W)
15/12/24
France Cup Women
Auxerre (W)1-1
HT 1-0
Lille (W)

Standings · France Division 2 Women

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#Team PWL GFGAPts
1 Auxerre (W) 000 000
1 Cannes (W) 000 000
1 St Etienne (W) 000 000
1 Bourges Foot 18 (W) 000 000
1 Grenoble Claix (W) 000 000
1 Le Mans (W) 000 000
1 Lille (W) 000 000
1 Metz (W) 000 000
1 Nice (W) 000 000
1 RC Roubaix Wervicq (W) 000 000
1 Caen (W) 000 000
1 Thonon Evian FC (W) 000 000

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentLille (W)Auxerre (W)
Reims (W) 1-3 L 1-2 L
Saint Malo (W) 0-0 D 3-0 W
Guingamp (W) 4-0 W 3-1 W
Nice (W) 0-2 L 0-3 L
Le Mans (W) 1-2 L 2-2 D
Grenoble Claix (W) 1-1 D 0-0 D
Metz (W) 5-1 W 2-3 L
Rodez AF (W) 3-1 W 0-1 L
Record vs common 3 W 2 D 3 L 2 W 2 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Lille (W) (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Lille (W)

WWDLDLWLDL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
24/05 Reims (W)
France Division 2 Women
0-1 1-3 42 L
17/05 Saint Malo (W)
France Division 2 Women
0-0 0-0 76 D
03/05 Toulouse (W)
France Division 2 Women
1-1 2-3 L
26/04 Guingamp (W)
France Division 2 Women
3-0 4-0 43 W
05/04 Nice (W)
France Division 2 Women
0-1 0-2 55 L
29/03 Auxerre (W)
France Division 2 Women
0-0 0-0 45 D
22/03 Le Mans (W)
France Division 2 Women
1-0 1-2 25 L
15/03 Grenoble Claix (W)
France Division 2 Women
1-0 1-1 53 D
22/02 Metz (W)
France Division 2 Women
2-1 5-1 23 W
15/02 Rodez AF (W)
France Division 2 Women
1-1 3-1 W

Auxerre (W)

WLLLDDDLLW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
24/05 Guingamp (W)
France Division 2 Women
1-0 3-1 74 W
17/05 Nice (W)
France Division 2 Women
0-1 0-3 53 L
02/05 Metz (W)
France Division 2 Women
1-0 2-3 L
26/04 Le Mans (W)
France Division 2 Women
1-0 2-2 41 D
05/04 Grenoble Claix (W)
France Division 2 Women
0-0 0-0 61 D
29/03 Lille (W)
France Division 2 Women
0-0 0-0 45 D
21/03 Rodez AF (W)
France Division 2 Women
0-1 0-1 93 L
15/03 Thonon Evian FC (W)
France Division 2 Women
1-2 1-2 L
21/02 Reims (W)
France Division 2 Women
1-2 1-2 72 L
15/02 Saint Malo (W)
France Division 2 Women
2-0 3-0 31 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Lille (W) vs Auxerre (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Lille (W) win (37%). Probabilities: Lille (W) 37%, draw 27%, Auxerre (W) 35%.

How many goals are expected in Lille (W) vs Auxerre (W)?

The model expects 2.68 goals (Lille (W) 1.36 · Auxerre (W) 1.32), with a 51% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Lille (W) vs Auxerre (W)?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.