Football · England National League South · 24/10, 16:00

Prediction: Weston Super Mare vs Billericay Town

Team pages: Weston Super Mare · Billericay Town

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.17Total

Weston Super Mare1.65

Billericay Town1.52

1X2

40% 26% 34%

Weston Super Mare Draw Billericay Town

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 61% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Weston Super Mare 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

DLWDLWWLDL

Billericay Town 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

LWDLDWDWWW

Head-to-head

Weston Super Mare 0–2 Billericay Town (2 last)

Weston Super Mare2-3Billericay Town
Billericay Town4-2Weston Super Mare

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Weston Super Mare 1502 · Billericay Town 1527

	Weston Super Mare	Draw	Billericay Town
Our model	40%	26%	34%
Market	40%	26%	34%

Estimated total (ours) 3.17 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 63%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Billericay Town: 2-0-0.
Cards-heavy: 6.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Weston Super Mare	Billericay Town
Goals for / against (FT)	1.4 / 1.7	2.3 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 1	1.6 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/50/40%	60/40/0%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.4 / 4.9	2.6 / 5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.5 / 0.3	3.3 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.25

X3.50

22.63

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.77

2 (0)2.02

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.82

Under 2.751.98

Diff.: 0.65 · xG: 3.4

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 13:20

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.25 → 2.25	Bet365 2.25
X	3.50 → 3.50	Bet365 3.50
2	2.63 → 2.63	Bet365 2.63

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.1%

Time*	1	X	2
13:09 +10’	2.25	3.50	2.63

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Weston Super Mare 0–0–2 Billericay Town

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Date	Home	Score	Away
05/01/19 England National League South	Weston Super Mare	2-3 HT 1-2	Billericay Town
18/08/18 England National League South	Billericay Town	4-2 HT 1-0	Weston Super Mare

Standings · England National League South

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Maidstone Utd	12	8	1	3	22	13	25
2	Ebbsfleet United	10	6	4	0	22	6	22
3	Salisbury FC	11	6	3	2	20	8	21
4	Billericay Town	11	6	3	2	25	14	21
5	Truro City	11	6	3	2	17	8	21
6	Tonbridge Angels	12	6	2	4	21	11	20
7	Dag & Red	12	6	2	4	10	9	20
8	Weston Super Mare	12	5	3	4	20	17	18
9	Dover	11	5	3	3	18	17	18
10	Dorking Wanderers	11	4	5	2	23	17	17
11	Farnham	11	5	2	4	17	16	17
12	Folkestone Invicta	12	4	4	4	18	14	16
13	Torquay	11	4	4	3	18	15	16
14	Horsham	12	3	6	3	14	15	15
15	Chelmsford	10	2	8	0	14	8	14
16	Hemel Hempstead	12	3	5	4	10	11	14
17	Farnborough	11	4	2	5	10	17	14
18	Maidenhead Utd	12	3	4	5	13	14	13
19	Chesham	11	3	1	7	16	24	10
20	Braintree Town	11	3	1	7	18	27	10
21	AFC Totton	12	3	1	8	9	23	10
22	Hampton & Richmond	11	2	2	7	11	26	8
23	Walton & Hersham	11	2	2	7	10	27	8
24	Slough	12	1	1	10	12	31	4

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Weston Super Mare	Billericay Town
Farnham	2-3 L	4-2 W
AFC Totton	3-1 W	0-1 L
Torquay	0-0 D	3-0 W
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 1 L	2 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Billericay Town (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Weston Super Mare

DLWDLWWLDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/10	Ebbsfleet United England National League South	0-4	1-6	3	5	L
10/10	Folkestone Invicta England National League South	0-1	1-1	9	1	D
26/09	Farnham England National League South	1-3	2-3	5	3	L
12/09	Dag & Red England National League South	0-0	1-0	3	7	W
08/09	AFC Totton England National League South	2-0	3-1	9	4	W
05/09	Maidstone Utd England National League South	0-0	0-1	3	4	L
31/08	Chelmsford England National League South	0-0	1-1	1	3	D
29/08	Hemel Hempstead England National League South	0-1	3-1	4	3	W
22/08	Dover England National League South	1-1	2-3	10	1	L
18/08	Torquay England National League South	0-0	0-0	2	7	D

Billericay Town

LWDLDWDWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/10	Farnborough England National League South	2-0	4-0	6	2	W
26/09	Torquay England National League South	2-0	3-0	3	2	W
15/09	Braintree Town England National League South	2-0	3-2	9	3	W
12/09	Maidenhead Utd England National League South	1-1	2-2	6	2	D
08/09	Chesham England National League South	2-0	2-1	6	3	W
05/09	Dorking Wanderers England National League South	2-2	3-3	6	4	D
31/08	Salisbury FC England National League South	0-0	0-1	3	4	L
29/08	Tonbridge Angels England National League South	2-1	2-2	4	6	D
22/08	Farnham England National League South	3-1	4-2	2	2	W
15/08	AFC Totton England National League South	0-0	0-1	5	5	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Weston Super Mare vs Billericay Town?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Weston Super Mare win (40%). Probabilities: Weston Super Mare 40%, draw 26%, Billericay Town 34%.

How many goals are expected in Weston Super Mare vs Billericay Town?

The model expects 3.17 goals (Weston Super Mare 1.65 · Billericay Town 1.52), with a 54% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Weston Super Mare vs Billericay Town?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.