Football · England National League South · 08/08, 16:00

Prediction: Slough vs Ebbsfleet United

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3Total

Slough1.55

Ebbsfleet United1.46

1X2

39% 26% 35%

Slough Draw Ebbsfleet United

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 58% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Slough 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

LLLWDLWDWL

Ebbsfleet United 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

LDLWWWLDWL

Head-to-head

Slough 2–1–3 Ebbsfleet United (6 last)

Ebbsfleet United2-1Slough
Slough2-0Ebbsfleet United
Slough2-0Ebbsfleet United
Ebbsfleet United2-2Slough
Slough0-1Ebbsfleet United
Ebbsfleet United2-0Slough

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 61%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Ebbsfleet United (rating 1471 vs 1513).
H2H favours Ebbsfleet United: 3-1-2.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Slough	Ebbsfleet United
Goals for / against (FT)	1.5 / 2.6	1.6 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 1.1	1 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/40/40%	40/40/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.6 / 3.7	2.8 / 6.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	1.9 / 0	1 / 0

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.85

Under 2.751.96

Diff.: 0.75 · xG: 3.5

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 17:01

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	4.50 → 4.50	Pinn 4.50
X	3.88 → 3.88	Pinn 3.88
2	1.67 → 1.67	Pinn 1.67

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 7.8%

Time*	1	X	2
17:00 +1’	4.50	3.88	1.67

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Slough 2–1–3 Ebbsfleet United

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Date	Home	Score	Away
28/03/26 England National League South	Ebbsfleet United	2-1 HT 0-0	Slough
23/08/25 England National League South	Slough	2-0 HT 1-0	Ebbsfleet United
17/10/23 England FA Cup Qualification	Slough	2-0 HT 2-0	Ebbsfleet United
14/10/23 England FA Cup Qualification	Ebbsfleet United	2-2 HT 0-1	Slough
25/03/23 England National League South	Slough	0-1 HT 0-0	Ebbsfleet United
03/12/22 England National League South	Ebbsfleet United	2-0 HT 0-0	Slough

Standings · England National League South

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	AFC Totton	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Billericay Town	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Braintree Town	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Chelmsford	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Chesham	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Dag & Red	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Dorking Wanderers	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Dover	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Ebbsfleet United	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Farnborough	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Farnham	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Folkestone Invicta	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Hampton & Richmond	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Hemel Hempstead	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Horsham	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Maidenhead Utd	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Maidstone Utd	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Salisbury FC	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Slough	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Tonbridge Angels	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Torquay	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Truro City	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Walton & Hersham	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Weston Super Mare	0	0	0	0	0	0

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Slough

LLLWDLWDWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
01/08	Wealdstone UK Friendlies	0-0	0-2	1	1	L
28/07	Oxford City UK Friendlies	1-0	2-1	2	0	W
21/07	Uxbridge Club Friendly List	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
18/07	Fleet Town Club Friendly List	1-1	2-1	–	–	W
14/07	Basingstoke UK Friendlies	0-1	2-4	8	1	L
04/07	Chatham Town UK Friendlies	1-2	2-2	–	–	D
25/04	Dag & Red England National League South	2-2	3-2	4	5	W
18/04	Enfield Town England National League South	1-0	2-5	5	2	L
11/04	Torquay England National League South	0-4	1-5	3	3	L
06/04	Chesham England National League South	0-1	1-4	3	1	L

Ebbsfleet United

LDLWWWLDWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/07	Gillingham UK Friendlies	1-1	1-2	7	2	L
28/07	Cray Valley Paper Mills Club Friendly List	1-1	3-2	–	–	W
24/07	Cardiff MU UK Friendlies	1-0	1-1	5	0	D
21/07	West Ham U21 UK Friendlies	1-2	1-2	8	0	L
18/07	Tottenham U21 Club Friendly List	2-1	2-1	–	–	W
17/07	Brentwood Town Club Friendly List	2-0	3-0	–	–	W
14/07	Aveley Club Friendly List	2-0	4-1	–	–	W
07/07	Dartford UK Friendlies	0-0	1-2	3	1	L
04/07	Canvey Island UK Friendlies	0-0	0-0	13	1	D
25/04	Worthing England National League South	0-1	0-2	4	2	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Slough vs Ebbsfleet United?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Slough win (39%). Probabilities: Slough 39%, draw 26%, Ebbsfleet United 35%.

How many goals are expected in Slough vs Ebbsfleet United?

The model expects 3 goals (Slough 1.55 · Ebbsfleet United 1.46), with a 52% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Slough vs Ebbsfleet United?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.