Football · England National League · 03/10, 16:00

Prediction: Scunthorpe vs Forest Green

Team pages: Scunthorpe · Forest Green

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.25Total

Scunthorpe1.56

Forest Green1.69

1X2

35% 25% 40%

Scunthorpe Draw Forest Green

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 59% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

Scunthorpe 3-1-6 (W-D-L)

DLLWLLWLLW

Forest Green 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

WWLLLWWDLD

Head-to-head

Scunthorpe 1–1–4 Forest Green (6 last)

Scunthorpe3-2Forest Green
Forest Green1-1Scunthorpe
Forest Green1-0Scunthorpe
Scunthorpe0-2Forest Green
Forest Green3-2Scunthorpe
Scunthorpe1-4Forest Green

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Scunthorpe 1499 · Forest Green 1481

	Scunthorpe	Draw	Forest Green
Our model	35%	25%	40%
Market	35%	25%	40%

Estimated total (ours) 3.25 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 59%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Forest Green: 4-1-1.
High corners: 11.2 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 7.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Scunthorpe	Forest Green
Goals for / against (FT)	1.5 / 1.6	1.6 / 1.7
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.8	0.5 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/40/40%	30/40/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 4.8	3.4 / 6.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.5 / 0	4.4 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

12.63

X3.60

22.25

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.77

2 (-0.25)2.02

Line ⓘ

Over 31.90

Under 31.90

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 3.2

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 00:58

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.63 → 2.63	Bet365 2.63
X	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60
2	2.25 → 2.25	Bet365 2.25

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 10.3%

Time*	1	X	2
00:56 +1’	2.63	3.60	2.25

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Scunthorpe 1–1–4 Forest Green

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Date	Home	Score	Away
24/01/26 England National League	Scunthorpe	3-2 HT 1-1	Forest Green
13/09/25 England National League	Forest Green	1-1 HT 0-1	Scunthorpe
02/04/22 England League 2	Forest Green	1-0 HT 0-0	Scunthorpe
16/10/21 England League 2	Scunthorpe	0-2 HT 0-0	Forest Green
17/04/21 England League 2	Forest Green	3-2 HT 1-1	Scunthorpe
10/10/20 England League 2	Scunthorpe	1-4 HT 1-2	Forest Green

Standings · England National League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Boreham Wood	10	8	2	0	26	11	26
2	Southend	10	6	2	2	25	16	20
3	AFC Fylde	10	6	2	2	21	13	20
4	Harrogate Town	10	6	1	3	24	17	19
5	Aldershot	10	5	3	2	15	8	18
6	Yeovil	10	5	3	2	19	14	18
7	Kidderminster	10	5	3	2	13	8	18
8	Altrincham	10	6	0	4	15	15	18
9	Worthing	10	5	2	3	19	16	17
10	Sutton Utd	10	5	2	3	13	13	17
11	AFC Hornchurch	10	5	0	5	11	15	15
12	Forest Green	10	4	2	4	16	17	14
13	Eastleigh	10	4	2	4	12	14	14
14	Halifax	10	4	1	5	15	13	13
15	Barrow	10	3	3	4	15	14	12
15	Woking	10	3	3	4	15	14	12
17	Wealdstone	10	3	2	5	15	15	11
18	Boston Utd	10	3	2	5	13	14	11
19	Carlisle	10	2	4	4	18	19	10
20	Scunthorpe	10	3	1	6	15	16	10
21	Hartlepool	10	3	0	7	8	15	9
22	Tamworth	10	2	2	6	17	28	8
23	Solihull Moors	10	1	1	8	9	26	4
24	Gateshead	10	1	1	8	6	24	4

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Scunthorpe	Forest Green
AFC Hornchurch	0-1 L	1-0 W
Boreham Wood	1-2 L	0-3 L
Sutton Utd	2-0 W	3-3 D
Carlisle	2-4 L	1-1 D
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 3 L	1 W 2 D 1 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Scunthorpe

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/09	Hartlepool England National League	2-1	4-1	3	4	W
19/09	AFC Hornchurch England National League	0-0	0-1	7	2	L
16/09	Boreham Wood England National League	0-0	1-2	4	3	L
12/09	Sutton Utd England National League	1-0	2-0	5	4	W
05/09	Harrogate Town England National League	0-1	0-2	6	6	L
31/08	Carlisle England National League	1-3	2-4	5	4	L
28/08	Solihull Moors England National League	1-1	3-1	9	3	W
22/08	Eastleigh England National League	0-1	2-3	4	1	L
15/08	Southend England National League	0-1	0-1	1	5	L
08/08	Yeovil England National League	0-0	1-1	4	3	D

Forest Green

WWLLLWWDLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/09	Sutton Utd England National League	1-0	3-3	1	7	D
19/09	Boston Utd England National League	1-1	1-3	9	4	L
15/09	Carlisle England National League	1-1	1-1	9	6	D
12/09	Gateshead England National League	1-0	4-0	5	6	W
05/09	AFC Hornchurch England National League	1-0	1-0	3	4	W
31/08	Altrincham England National League	0-0	1-2	10	4	L
28/08	AFC Fylde England National League	0-0	0-2	6	4	L
22/08	Boreham Wood England National League	0-2	0-3	2	4	L
15/08	Worthing England National League	0-1	2-1	11	4	W
08/08	Halifax England National League	0-1	3-2	8	3	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Scunthorpe vs Forest Green?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Forest Green win (40%). Probabilities: Scunthorpe 35%, draw 25%, Forest Green 40%.

How many goals are expected in Scunthorpe vs Forest Green?

The model expects 3.25 goals (Scunthorpe 1.56 · Forest Green 1.69), with a 51% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Scunthorpe vs Forest Green?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.