Football · England National League · 23/10, 20:45
Prediction: Gateshead vs Tamworth
Team pages: Gateshead · Tamworth
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.04Total
Gateshead1.34
Tamworth1.7
1X2
Gateshead
Draw
Tamworth
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 64%
Both teams to score 56%
Most likely score
1-1 12%
Recent form · 10 last
Gateshead
0-1-9 (W-D-L)
Tamworth
4-1-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Gateshead
1–3
Tamworth
(4 last)
- Tamworth3-1Gateshead
- Gateshead2-1Tamworth
- Gateshead0-2Tamworth
- Tamworth2-1Gateshead
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 56%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Tamworth (rating 1372 vs 1480).
- H2H favours Tamworth: 3-0-1.
- Cards-heavy: 7.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Gateshead | Tamworth | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.5 / 2.6 | 1.6 / 2.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.2 / 1.2 | 0.4 / 1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/40/50% | 10/50/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 0.8 / 2.3 | 2.6 / 5.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.6 / 0.1 | 3.9 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Gateshead 1–0–3 Tamworth
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 03/01/26 England National League | Tamworth | 3-1 HT 1-0 | Gateshead |
| 23/08/25 England National League | Gateshead | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Tamworth |
| 22/03/25 England National League | Gateshead | 0-2 HT 0-0 | Tamworth |
| 08/10/24 England National League | Tamworth | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Gateshead |
Standings · England National League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Boreham Wood | 13 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 34 | 13 | 35 |
| 2 | Harrogate Town | 13 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 29 | 17 | 28 |
| 3 | Southend | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 31 | 19 | 27 |
| 4 | Yeovil | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 32 | 15 | 25 |
| 5 | Worthing | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 27 | 18 | 24 |
| 6 | Altrincham | 13 | 8 | 0 | 5 | 20 | 19 | 24 |
| 7 | AFC Fylde | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 24 | 18 | 23 |
| 8 | Barrow | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 22 | 16 | 21 |
| 9 | AFC Hornchurch | 13 | 7 | 0 | 6 | 15 | 19 | 21 |
| 10 | Halifax | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 22 | 15 | 20 |
| 11 | Kidderminster | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 15 | 12 | 20 |
| 12 | Aldershot | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 18 | 16 | 18 |
| 13 | Sutton Utd | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 18 | 18 |
| 14 | Carlisle | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 23 | 20 | 17 |
| 15 | Woking | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 20 | 20 | 15 |
| 16 | Forest Green | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 19 | 22 | 15 |
| 17 | Eastleigh | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 14 | 20 | 15 |
| 18 | Tamworth | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 21 | 30 | 14 |
| 19 | Wealdstone | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 17 | 24 | 12 |
| 20 | Hartlepool | 13 | 4 | 0 | 9 | 12 | 19 | 12 |
| 21 | Boston Utd | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 15 | 23 | 12 |
| 22 | Scunthorpe | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 15 | 21 | 10 |
| 23 | Solihull Moors | 13 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 13 | 35 | 7 |
| 24 | Gateshead | 13 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 8 | 31 | 4 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Gateshead | Tamworth |
|---|---|---|
| Worthing | 1-2 L | 3-2 W |
| Wealdstone | 0-4 L | 2-1 W |
| Southend | 1-6 L | 1-3 L |
| Harrogate Town | 1-2 L | 1-3 L |
| Sutton Utd | 0-1 L | 2-0 W |
| Record vs common | 0 W 0 D 5 L | 3 W 0 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Tamworth (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Gateshead
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/10 | Halifax England National League |
1-0 | 1-4 | 1 | 1 | L |
| 03/10 | Worthing England National League |
1-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 29/09 | Altrincham England National League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 26/09 | Wealdstone England National League |
0-2 | 0-4 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 19/09 | Southend England National League |
0-6 | 1-6 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 16/09 | Kidderminster England National League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 7 | L |
| 12/09 | Forest Green England National League |
0-1 | 0-4 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 05/09 | Solihull Moors England National League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 2 | D |
| 31/08 | Harrogate Town England National League |
0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | L |
| 28/08 | Sutton Utd England National League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 6 | L |
Tamworth
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/10 | Barrow England National League |
0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 03/10 | Hartlepool England National League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 0 | W |
| 30/09 | Sutton Utd England National League |
0-0 | 2-0 | 9 | 5 | W |
| 26/09 | Aldershot England National League |
0-4 | 1-5 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 19/09 | Wealdstone England National League |
0-1 | 2-1 | 8 | 6 | W |
| 15/09 | Southend England National League |
0-0 | 1-3 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 12/09 | Harrogate Town England National League |
1-2 | 1-3 | 6 | 7 | L |
| 05/09 | Boston Utd England National League |
1-1 | 2-2 | 7 | 5 | D |
| 31/08 | Yeovil England National League |
1-1 | 2-3 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 28/08 | Worthing England National League |
0-1 | 3-2 | 8 | 9 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Gateshead vs Tamworth?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Tamworth win (45%). Probabilities: Gateshead 29%, draw 26%, Tamworth 45%.
How many goals are expected in Gateshead vs Tamworth?
The model expects 3.04 goals (Gateshead 1.34 · Tamworth 1.7), with a 51% chance of under 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Gateshead vs Tamworth?
The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.