Football · Nigeria Cup · 11/07, 17:00

Prediction: El Kanemi Warriors vs Ikorodu City FC

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.53Total
El Kanemi Warriors0.91
Ikorodu City FC1.62
1X2
19% 28% 52%
El Kanemi Warriors Draw Ikorodu City FC
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
El Kanemi Warriors 1-4-5 (W-D-L)
DLDLWLLDLD
Ikorodu City FC 3-3-4 (W-D-L)
DWLWLWLLDD
Head-to-head
El Kanemi Warriors 1–2–1 Ikorodu City FC (4 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · El Kanemi Warriors 1456 · Ikorodu City FC 1476
El Kanemi WarriorsDrawIkorodu City FC
Our model20%27%53%
Market19%29%52%
Estimated total (ours) 2.53 goals · Bet365 line 2 · +0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 53%model estimate

Match keys

  • Cards-heavy: 9.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

El Kanemi WarriorsIkorodu City FC
Goals for / against (FT)0.7 / 1.81.9 / 2.1
Goals for / against (HT)0 / 21.3 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)0/0/100%50/38/13%
Corners (HT / FT)– / 01 / 2.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)5 / 04.1 / 0.1

Head-to-head (H2H) · El Kanemi Warriors 121 Ikorodu City FC

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DateHomeScoreAway
25/01/26
Nigeria Premier League
El Kanemi Warriors1-0Ikorodu City FC
31/08/25
Nigeria Premier League
Ikorodu City FC0-0
HT 0-0
El Kanemi Warriors
20/04/25
Nigeria Premier League
El Kanemi Warriors1-1Ikorodu City FC
27/11/24
Nigeria Premier League
Ikorodu City FC2-0El Kanemi Warriors

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentEl Kanemi WarriorsIkorodu City FC
Barau FC 0-3 L 2-2 D
Nasarawa United 1-0 W 1-1 D
Enugu Rangers 0-2 L 1-2 L
Katsina Utd 1-1 D 1-4 L
Record vs common 1 W 1 D 2 L 0 W 2 D 2 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

El Kanemi Warriors

DLDLWLLDLD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
06/06 Bendel Insurance
Nigeria Cup
0-3 3-3 D
24/05 Enyimba
Nigeria Premier League
0-2 0-3 05 L
10/05 Niger Tornadoes
Nigeria Premier League
0-0 D
03/05 Barau FC
Nigeria Premier League
0-1 0-3 L
19/04 Shooting Stars
Nigeria Premier League
1-2 L
14/04 Nasarawa United
Nigeria Premier League
1-0 W
05/04 Kwara United
Nigeria Premier League
0-2 0-3 L
29/03 Remo Stars
Nigeria Premier League
1-1 D
22/03 Enugu Rangers
Nigeria Premier League
0-2 L
15/03 Katsina Utd
Nigeria Premier League
1-1 D

Ikorodu City FC

DWLWLWLLDD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
17/06 Nasarawa United
Nigeria Cup
1-1 1-1 25 D
11/06 Barau FC
Nigeria Cup
1-0 2-2 24 D
24/05 Enugu Rangers
Nigeria Premier League
0-1 1-2 62 L
10/05 Katsina Utd
Nigeria Premier League
1-4 L
05/05 Wikki Tourists
Nigeria Premier League
3-0 3-1 W
19/04 Abia Warriors
Nigeria Premier League
1-2 L
12/04 Kano Pillars
Nigeria Premier League
1-0 3-0 01 W
06/04 Plateau United
Nigeria Premier League
0-0 1-4 22 L
29/03 Warri Wolves FC
Nigeria Premier League
3-1 4-3 35 W
22/03 Kun Khalifat FC
Nigeria Premier League
1-1 2-2 311 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in El Kanemi Warriors vs Ikorodu City FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Ikorodu City FC win (52%). Probabilities: El Kanemi Warriors 19%, draw 28%, Ikorodu City FC 52%.

How many goals are expected in El Kanemi Warriors vs Ikorodu City FC?

The model expects 2.53 goals (El Kanemi Warriors 0.91 · Ikorodu City FC 1.62), with a 55% chance of over 2 goals.

Will both teams score in El Kanemi Warriors vs Ikorodu City FC?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.