Football · Germany Regionalliga Bayern · 13/10, 18:30

Prediction: TSV Aubstadt vs FV Illertissen

Team pages: TSV Aubstadt · FV Illertissen

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.9Total

TSV Aubstadt1.33

FV Illertissen1.56

1X2

31% 27% 42%

TSV Aubstadt Draw FV Illertissen

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

TSV Aubstadt 1-2-7 (W-D-L)

DLLWLLLLLD

FV Illertissen 3-4-3 (W-D-L)

DWDLLWWLDD

Head-to-head

TSV Aubstadt 0–6 FV Illertissen (6 last)

FV Illertissen1-0TSV Aubstadt
TSV Aubstadt3-5FV Illertissen
TSV Aubstadt1-3FV Illertissen
FV Illertissen3-1TSV Aubstadt
TSV Aubstadt0-2FV Illertissen
FV Illertissen1-0TSV Aubstadt

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 51%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FV Illertissen (rating 1415 vs 1505).
H2H favours FV Illertissen: 6-0-0.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	TSV Aubstadt	FV Illertissen
Goals for / against (FT)	0.9 / 1.9	1.6 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 0.9	0.5 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/30/60%	30/30/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	– / –	– / –
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	– / –	– / –

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.90

Under 2.751.88

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 3

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 19:08

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	3.06 → 3.06	Pinn 3.06
X	3.33 → 3.33	Pinn 3.33
2	2.16 → 2.16	Pinn 2.16

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 9%

Time*	1	X	2
19:01 +6’	3.06	3.33	2.16

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · TSV Aubstadt 0–0–6 FV Illertissen

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Date	Home	Score	Away
06/04/26 Germany Regionalliga Bayern	FV Illertissen	1-0 HT 0-0	TSV Aubstadt
23/09/25 Germany Regionalliga Bayern	TSV Aubstadt	3-5 HT 2-1	FV Illertissen
16/11/24 Germany Regionalliga Bayern	TSV Aubstadt	1-3 HT 1-2	FV Illertissen
02/08/24 Germany Regionalliga Bayern	FV Illertissen	3-1 HT 1-0	TSV Aubstadt
20/04/24 Germany Regionalliga Bayern	TSV Aubstadt	0-2 HT 0-2	FV Illertissen
03/10/23 Germany Regionalliga Bayern	FV Illertissen	1-0 HT 1-0	TSV Aubstadt

Standings · Germany Regionalliga Bayern

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Buchbach	13	8	4	1	26	12	28
2	Memmingen	13	8	3	2	15	7	27
3	1860 Munich	12	5	6	1	25	14	21
4	Unterhaching	12	5	6	1	16	11	21
5	VfB Eichstätt	13	6	3	4	15	16	21
6	SpVgg Bayreuth	13	6	1	6	25	18	19
7	FV Illertissen	12	5	4	3	21	16	19
8	Wacker Burghausen	13	5	3	5	30	23	18
9	DJK Vilzing	12	4	5	3	19	19	17
10	Nurnberg II	12	5	1	6	22	17	16
11	Bayern Munich II	12	4	4	4	15	13	16
12	SC Eltersdorf	12	4	4	4	18	17	16
13	Augsburg II	12	4	3	5	18	26	15
14	Schweinfurt 05	12	3	4	5	17	25	13
15	Greuther Furth II	12	3	3	6	18	21	12
16	TSV Schwaben Augsburg	13	3	3	7	14	26	12
17	Ansbach	12	3	1	8	10	26	10
18	TSV Aubstadt	12	2	3	7	16	22	9
19	TSV Landsberg	12	1	5	6	12	23	8

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	TSV Aubstadt	FV Illertissen
TSV Landsberg	2-2 D	2-2 D
Memmingen	0-1 L	0-2 L
Bayern Munich II	0-2 L	0-2 L
SpVgg Bayreuth	0-1 L	2-2 D
Unterhaching	2-3 L	3-0 W
1860 Munich	2-3 L	1-1 D
Record vs common	0 W 1 D 5 L	1 W 3 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: FV Illertissen (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

TSV Aubstadt

DLLWLLLLLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/10	TSV Landsberg Germany Regionalliga Bayern	1-2	2-2	–	–	D
03/10	Memmingen Germany Regionalliga Bayern	0-0	0-1	–	–	L
26/09	Augsburg II Germany Regionalliga Bayern	0-1	0-3	–	–	L
18/09	Bayern Munich II Germany Regionalliga Bayern	0-1	0-2	–	–	L
15/09	SpVgg Bayreuth Germany Regionalliga Bayern	0-0	0-1	–	–	L
11/09	Unterhaching Germany Regionalliga Bayern	1-1	2-3	–	–	L
04/09	Ansbach Germany Regionalliga Bayern	1-0	2-0	–	–	W
29/08	VfB Eichstätt Germany Regionalliga Bayern	0-1	0-3	–	–	L
18/08	1860 Munich Germany Regionalliga Bayern	0-2	2-3	–	–	L
14/08	Buchbach Germany Regionalliga Bayern	0-1	1-1	–	–	D

FV Illertissen

DWDLLWWLDD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/10	1860 Munich Germany Regionalliga Bayern	0-0	1-1	–	–	D
26/09	DJK Vilzing Germany Regionalliga Bayern	0-2	3-3	–	–	D
19/09	Memmingen Germany Regionalliga Bayern	0-0	0-2	–	–	L
15/09	Schweinfurt 05 Germany Regionalliga Bayern	2-0	3-0	–	–	W
11/09	Nurnberg II Germany Regionalliga Bayern	0-0	2-1	–	–	W
04/09	SC Eltersdorf Germany Regionalliga Bayern	0-1	0-3	–	–	L
29/08	Bayern Munich II Germany Regionalliga Bayern	0-1	0-2	–	–	L
21/08	SpVgg Bayreuth Germany Regionalliga Bayern	0-1	2-2	–	–	D
14/08	Unterhaching Germany Regionalliga Bayern	2-0	3-0	–	–	W
07/08	TSV Landsberg Germany Regionalliga Bayern	1-0	2-2	–	–	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in TSV Aubstadt vs FV Illertissen?

According to our model, the most likely result is an FV Illertissen win (42%). Probabilities: TSV Aubstadt 31%, draw 27%, FV Illertissen 42%.

How many goals are expected in TSV Aubstadt vs FV Illertissen?

The model expects 2.9 goals (TSV Aubstadt 1.33 · FV Illertissen 1.56), with a 51% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in TSV Aubstadt vs FV Illertissen?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.