Football · Australia South Australia Federation Cup · 11/07, 08:30
Prediction: White City FK Beograd vs Cumberland United
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.87Total
White City FK Beograd1.88
Cumberland United0.99
1X2
White City FK Beograd
Draw
Cumberland United
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 55%
Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
White City FK Beograd
7-1-2 (W-D-L)
Cumberland United
7-0-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
White City FK Beograd
6–0
Cumberland United
(6 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · White City FK Beograd 1579 · Cumberland United 1528
| White City FK Beograd | Draw | Cumberland United | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 57% | 24% | 18% |
| Market | 59% | 21% | 20% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.87 goals · Bet365 line 3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 61%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours White City FK Beograd (rating 1579 vs 1528).
- H2H favours White City FK Beograd: 6-0-0.
- Cards-heavy: 7.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| White City FK Beograd | Cumberland United | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.1 / 0.8 | 2 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.2 / 0.5 | 1 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 60/20/20% | 30/50/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.8 / 4.3 | 2.4 / 3.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.5 / 0.2 | 2.7 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · White City FK Beograd 6–0–0 Cumberland United
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22/01/26 Australia Friendlies | Cumberland United | 0-1 HT 0-0 | White City FK Beograd |
| 25/06/22 Australia South Australia Premier League | Cumberland United | 0-3 HT 0-0 | White City FK Beograd |
| 26/03/22 Australia South Australia Premier League | White City FK Beograd | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Cumberland United |
| 27/07/19 Australia South Australia State League 1 | Cumberland United | 1-3 HT 1-3 | White City FK Beograd |
| 25/04/19 Australia South Australia State League 1 | White City FK Beograd | 3-1 HT 3-0 | Cumberland United |
| 30/01/19 Australia Friendlies | Cumberland United | 2-3 HT 1-2 | White City FK Beograd |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
White City FK Beograd
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07 | West Adelaide Australia South Australia Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 27/06 | Playford Australia South Australia Premier League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 20/06 | West Torrens Birkalla Australia South Australia Premier League |
2-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 17/06 | West Torrens Birkalla Australia Cup Qualifying |
2-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 13/06 | Para Hills Knights Australia South Australia Premier League |
2-0 | 5-1 | 9 | 1 | W |
| 06/06 | Metrostars Australia South Australia Premier League |
0-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 8 | L |
| 30/05 | Sturt Lions Australia South Australia Premier League |
1-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 23/05 | Adelaide City Australia South Australia Premier League |
1-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 9 | D |
| 16/05 | Campbelltown City Australia South Australia Premier League |
1-1 | 3-1 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 09/05 | Croydon FC Australia South Australia Premier League |
2-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 1 | W |
Cumberland United
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07 | Adelaide Croatia Raiders Australia South Australia State League 1 |
1-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 26/06 | Eastern United Australia South Australia State League 1 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 20/06 | South Adelaide Australia South Australia State League 1 |
4-1 | 5-1 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 13/06 | Adelaide Cobras Australia South Australia State League 1 |
0-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 10/06 | Adelaide Cobras Australia Cup Qualifying |
1-1 | 3-2 | 8 | 3 | W |
| 06/06 | Adelaide Atletico Australia South Australia State League 1 |
0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 30/05 | Salisbury United Australia South Australia State League 1 |
3-0 | 4-3 | 4 | 0 | W |
| 23/05 | Modbury Jets Australia South Australia State League 1 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 17/05 | Adelaide Olympic Australia South Australia State League 1 |
0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 12/05 | Adelaide City Australia Cup Qualifying |
1-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in White City FK Beograd vs Cumberland United?
According to our model, the most likely result is a White City FK Beograd win (58%). Probabilities: White City FK Beograd 58%, draw 23%, Cumberland United 19%.
How many goals are expected in White City FK Beograd vs Cumberland United?
The model expects 2.87 goals (White City FK Beograd 1.88 · Cumberland United 0.99), with a 54% chance of under 3 goals.
Will both teams score in White City FK Beograd vs Cumberland United?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.