Football · Australia SA Cup Women · 11/07, 06:00

Prediction: West Adelaide (W) vs West Torrens Birkalla (W)

Expected goals: 3.43 (West Adelaide (W) 2.62 · West Torrens Birkalla (W) 0.81). The model gives 76% home, 15% draw, 9% away. Under 4 goals (58%) and both teams to score (53%). Most likely score: 2-0.

On recent form, West Adelaide (W) is 9-0-1 (wins-draws-losses) over its last 10 matches and West Torrens Birkalla (W) 6-2-2 over its own. In the last 6 head-to-head meetings, West Adelaide (W) won 5 and West Torrens Birkalla (W) 0, with 1 draw.

76%1
76% 15% 9%
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · West Adelaide (W) 1611 · West Torrens Birkalla (W) 1552
West Adelaide (W)DrawWest Torrens Birkalla (W)
Our model75%16%9%
Market76%14%9%
Estimated total (ours) 3.43 goals · Bet365 line 4 · -0.6

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
Expected goals3.43West Adelaide (W) 2.62 · West Torrens Birkalla (W) 0.81
Over / Under 4Under 4 · 58%
BTTSYes · 53%
Most likely total3 goals
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 69%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours West Adelaide (W) (rating 1611 vs 1552).
  • H2H favours West Adelaide (W): 5-1-0.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

West Adelaide (W)West Torrens Birkalla (W)
Goals for / against (FT)3.5 / 0.41.5 / 0.8
Goals for / against (HT)1.5 / 0.20.8 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)70/10/20%40/40/20%
Corners (HT / FT)2.3 / 6.31.8 / 3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)1.1 / 01.4 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · West Adelaide (W) 510 West Torrens Birkalla (W)

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DateHomeScoreAway
01/05/26
Australia SA Premier League Women
West Adelaide (W)3-0
HT 2-0
West Torrens Birkalla (W)
20/06/25
Australia SA Premier League Women
West Adelaide (W)7-1
HT 3-0
West Torrens Birkalla (W)
22/03/25
Australia SA Premier League Women
West Torrens Birkalla (W)1-5
HT 1-1
West Adelaide (W)
28/06/24
Australia SA Premier League Women
West Adelaide (W)4-1
HT 0-1
West Torrens Birkalla (W)
06/04/24
Australia SA Premier League Women
West Torrens Birkalla (W)3-3
HT 1-2
West Adelaide (W)
05/08/23
Australia SA Premier League Women
West Adelaide (W)6-0
HT 5-0
West Torrens Birkalla (W)

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentWest Adelaide (W)West Torrens Birkalla (W)
Adelaide University (W) 3-0 W 3-0 W
Campbelltown City (W) 0-1 L 0-2 L
Salisbury Inter (W) 2-1 W 1-1 D
Adelaide Comets (W) 3-1 W 1-1 D
MetroStars (W) 5-1 W 2-0 W
Flinders United (W) 9-0 W 3-0 W
Ffsa Ntc Women 2-0 W 1-0 W
Modbury Vista (W) 4-0 W 3-1 W
Record vs common 7 W 0 D 1 L 5 W 2 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: West Adelaide (W) (7 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

West Adelaide (W)

WWWWWWWWLW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
03/07 Adelaide University (W)
Australia SA Premier League Women
2-0 3-0 90 W
27/06 Campbelltown City (W)
Australia SA Premier League Women
0-0 0-1 61 L
19/06 Salisbury Inter (W)
Australia SA Premier League Women
0-1 2-1 22 W
12/06 Adelaide Comets (W)
Australia SA Premier League Women
2-0 3-1 42 W
30/05 MetroStars (W)
Australia SA Premier League Women
0-1 5-1 51 W
22/05 Flinders United (W)
Australia SA Premier League Women
4-0 9-0 80 W
09/05 Ffsa Ntc Women
Australia SA Premier League Women
1-0 2-0 90 W
01/05 West Torrens Birkalla (W)
Australia SA Premier League Women
2-0 3-0 61 W
18/04 Modbury Vista (W)
Australia SA Premier League Women
2-0 4-0 71 W
10/04 Adelaide University (W)
Australia SA Premier League Women
2-0 4-0 73 W

West Torrens Birkalla (W)

WDLWWWLWDW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
04/07 MetroStars (W)
Australia SA Premier League Women
1-0 2-0 41 W
26/06 Adelaide Comets (W)
Australia SA Premier League Women
1-1 1-1 40 D
17/06 Flinders United (W)
Australia SA Premier League Women
2-0 3-0 71 W
13/06 Campbelltown City (W)
Australia SA Premier League Women
0-0 0-2 04 L
31/05 Ffsa Ntc Women
Australia SA Premier League Women
0-0 1-0 23 W
22/05 Modbury Vista (W)
Australia SA Premier League Women
2-0 3-1 00 W
09/05 Adelaide University (W)
Australia SA Premier League Women
2-0 3-0 72 W
01/05 West Adelaide (W)
Australia SA Premier League Women
0-2 0-3 11 L
17/04 Salisbury Inter (W)
Australia SA Premier League Women
0-1 1-1 30 D
10/04 MetroStars (W)
Australia SA Premier League Women
0-0 1-0 22 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in West Adelaide (W) vs West Torrens Birkalla (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is a West Adelaide (W) win (76%). Probabilities: West Adelaide (W) 76%, draw 15%, West Torrens Birkalla (W) 9%.

How many goals are expected in West Adelaide (W) vs West Torrens Birkalla (W)?

The model expects 3.43 goals (West Adelaide (W) 2.62 · West Torrens Birkalla (W) 0.81), with a 58% chance of under 4 goals.

Will both teams score in West Adelaide (W) vs West Torrens Birkalla (W)?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.