Football · Austria Landesliga · 21/08, 18:00

Prediction: Red Star Penzing vs FC 1980 Wien

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.23Total

Red Star Penzing1.64

FC 1980 Wien1.6

1X2

39% 25% 37%

Red Star Penzing Draw FC 1980 Wien

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 60% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Red Star Penzing 7-0-3 (W-D-L)

WWLLWWWWLW

FC 1980 Wien 2-2-6 (W-D-L)

DWWLLLLLDL

Head-to-head

Red Star Penzing 2–1 FC 1980 Wien (3 last)

FC 1980 Wien1-2Red Star Penzing
Red Star Penzing1-3FC 1980 Wien
Red Star Penzing2-1FC 1980 Wien

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Red Star Penzing 1553 · FC 1980 Wien 1438

	Red Star Penzing	Draw	FC 1980 Wien
Our model	38%	25%	37%
Market	39%	24%	37%

Estimated total (ours) 3.23 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 63%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Red Star Penzing (rating 1553 vs 1438).
H2H favours Red Star Penzing: 2-0-1.
Cards-heavy: 8.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Red Star Penzing	FC 1980 Wien
Goals for / against (FT)	2 / 1.3	1 / 1.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.8	0.5 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/40/30%	30/30/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.6 / 4.3	3 / 5.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.1 / 0	5.3 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.30

X3.75

22.40

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.85

2 (0)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 31.85

Under 31.95

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 3.1

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 01:40

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.30 → 2.30	Bet365 2.30
X	3.75 → 3.75	Bet365 3.75
2	2.40 → 2.40	Bet365 2.40

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.8%

Time*	1	X	2
01:34 +6’	2.30	3.75	2.40

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Red Star Penzing 2–0–1 FC 1980 Wien

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Date	Home	Score	Away
14/03/26 Austria Landesliga	FC 1980 Wien	1-2 HT 1-0	Red Star Penzing
29/08/25 Austria Landesliga	Red Star Penzing	1-3 HT 1-2	FC 1980 Wien
09/03/24 Austria Landesliga	Red Star Penzing	2-1 HT 0-1	FC 1980 Wien

Standings · Austria Landesliga

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FV Austria XIII	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Floridsdorfer AC II	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	FC 1980 Wien	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Hellas Kagran	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	First Vienna II	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	LAC Inter	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Post SV	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Red Star Penzing	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Simmeringer SC	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Slovan HAC	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Helfort 15	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	SV Gerasdorf Stammersdorf	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	SV Schwechat	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Team Wiener Linien	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Sportunion Mauer	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	WAF Brigittenau	0	0	0	0	0	0

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Red Star Penzing	FC 1980 Wien
FV Austria XIII	4-3 W	3-0 W
SV Wienerberg	1-4 L	0-3 L
Helfort 15	0-2 L	2-2 D
SV Schwechat	2-0 W	0-5 L
LAC Inter	1-0 W	1-2 L
Record vs common	3 W 0 D 2 L	1 W 1 D 3 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Red Star Penzing

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
21/07	Langenrohr Europe Friendlies	0-2	4-2	3	1	W
12/06	First Vienna II Austria Landesliga	0-0	0-1	7	3	L
06/06	FV Austria XIII Austria Landesliga	2-2	4-3	–	–	W
29/05	WAF Brigittenau Austria Landesliga	1-0	3-0	5	4	W
22/05	Slovan HAC Austria Landesliga	1-0	3-0	2	4	W
17/05	Floridsdorfer AC II Austria Landesliga	1-1	2-1	4	4	W
08/05	SV Wienerberg Austria Landesliga	1-2	1-4	6	3	L
24/04	Helfort 15 Austria Landesliga	0-1	0-2	5	0	L
21/04	SV Schwechat Austria Landesliga	1-0	2-0	2	6	W
18/04	LAC Inter Austria Landesliga	0-0	1-0	–	–	W

FC 1980 Wien

DWWLLLLLDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
15/07	SC Wiener Viktoria Europe Friendlies	0-2	1-3	2	2	L
06/06	Helfort 15 Austria Landesliga	1-1	2-2	5	5	D
30/05	LAC Inter Austria Landesliga	1-0	1-2	8	8	L
22/05	SV Wienerberg Austria Landesliga	0-0	0-3	–	–	L
20/05	SV Wienerberg Austria Amateur Cup	0-1	0-1	4	6	L
16/05	Simmeringer SC Austria Landesliga	0-1	0-1	7	3	L
09/05	SV Schwechat Austria Landesliga	0-1	0-5	7	5	L
01/05	FC Stadlau Austria Landesliga	0-0	1-0	6	7	W
25/04	FV Austria XIII Austria Landesliga	2-0	3-0	6	6	W
18/04	SV Gerasdorf Stammersdorf Austria Landesliga	1-0	2-2	–	–	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Red Star Penzing vs FC 1980 Wien?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Red Star Penzing win (39%). Probabilities: Red Star Penzing 39%, draw 25%, FC 1980 Wien 37%.

How many goals are expected in Red Star Penzing vs FC 1980 Wien?

The model expects 3.23 goals (Red Star Penzing 1.64 · FC 1980 Wien 1.6), with a 52% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Red Star Penzing vs FC 1980 Wien?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.