Football · Austria Landesliga · 14/11, 14:00

Prediction: SV Gerasdorf Stammersdorf vs TWL Elektra

Team pages: SV Gerasdorf Stammersdorf

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.46Total

SV Gerasdorf Stammersdorf1.17

TWL Elektra2.29

1X2

18% 20% 62%

SV Gerasdorf Stammersdorf Draw TWL Elektra

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-2 10%

Recent form · 10 last

SV Gerasdorf Stammersdorf 0-3-7 (W-D-L)

LLLDDLDLLL

TWL Elektra 6-1-3 (W-D-L)

WWWLLDWWLW

Head-to-head

SV Gerasdorf Stammersdorf 1–1 TWL Elektra (2 last)

TWL Elektra3-0SV Gerasdorf Stammersdorf
SV Gerasdorf Stammersdorf3-2TWL Elektra

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · SV Gerasdorf Stammersdorf 1412 · TWL Elektra 1532

	SV Gerasdorf Stammersdorf	Draw	TWL Elektra
Our model	17%	21%	62%
Market	18%	20%	62%

Estimated total (ours) 3.46 goals · Bet365 line 3.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 61%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours TWL Elektra (rating 1412 vs 1532).
Cards-heavy: 8.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	SV Gerasdorf Stammersdorf	TWL Elektra
Goals for / against (FT)	0.9 / 2.3	2 / 1.7
Goals for / against (HT)	0.1 / 0.9	0.7 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/30/60%	40/40/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.1 / 3	2.2 / 5.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3 / 0.3	5.6 / 0.4

Odds Bet365

15.00

X4.50

21.44

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+1.25)1.90

2 (-1.25)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 3.51.98

Under 3.51.82

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 3.45

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 15:07

	Bet365	Best now
1	5.00 → 5.00	Bet365 5.00
X	4.50 → 4.50	Bet365 4.50
2	1.44 → 1.44	Bet365 1.44

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.5%

Time*	1	X	2
15:04 +4’	5.00	4.50	1.44

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · SV Gerasdorf Stammersdorf 1–0–1 TWL Elektra

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Date	Home	Score	Away
12/09/20 Austria Landesliga	TWL Elektra	3-0 HT 1-0	SV Gerasdorf Stammersdorf
06/09/19 Austria Landesliga	SV Gerasdorf Stammersdorf	3-2 HT 2-1	TWL Elektra

Standings · Austria Landesliga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Sportunion Mauer	12	9	3	0	31	8	30
2	Red Star Penzing	12	8	2	2	24	15	26
3	LAC Inter	12	8	1	3	26	19	25
4	TWL Elektra	12	8	1	3	25	19	25
5	Helfort 15	12	6	4	2	19	9	22
6	Floridsdorfer AC II	12	7	1	4	24	16	22
7	First Vienna II	12	5	1	6	22	22	16
8	FC 1980 Wien	12	4	3	5	19	30	15
9	FV Austria XIII	12	3	5	4	17	16	14
10	Slovan HAC	12	3	5	4	15	19	14
11	WAF Brigittenau	12	4	2	6	17	22	14
12	SV Schwechat	12	4	1	7	17	19	13
13	Hellas Kagran	12	2	3	7	16	22	9
14	Simmeringer SC	12	3	0	9	9	30	9
15	Post SV	12	2	2	8	23	25	8
16	SV Gerasdorf Stammersdorf	12	1	4	7	12	25	7

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	SV Gerasdorf Stammersdorf	TWL Elektra
Helfort 15	1-2 L	2-0 W
LAC Inter	0-1 L	3-1 W
FV Austria XIII	1-1 D	2-1 W
Sportunion Mauer	0-2 L	2-3 L
Hellas Kagran	2-4 L	1-0 W
SV Schwechat	1-5 L	3-2 W
Record vs common	0 W 1 D 5 L	5 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: TWL Elektra (6 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

SV Gerasdorf Stammersdorf

LLLDDLDLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
07/11	Helfort 15 Austria Landesliga	0-2	1-2	4	7	L
31/10	LAC Inter Austria Landesliga	0-1	0-1	4	3	L
23/10	Simmeringer SC Austria Landesliga	0-0	1-2	3	2	L
18/10	Slovan HAC Austria Landesliga	0-0	0-0	2	3	D
09/10	First Vienna II Austria Landesliga	0-1	1-4	3	2	L
02/10	FC 1980 Wien Austria Landesliga	0-2	2-2	5	5	D
26/09	FV Austria XIII Austria Landesliga	1-0	1-1	–	–	D
23/09	Sportunion Mauer Austria Landesliga	0-0	0-2	2	3	L
19/09	Hellas Kagran Austria Landesliga	0-1	2-4	–	–	L
04/09	SV Schwechat Austria Landesliga	0-2	1-5	1	1	L

TWL Elektra

WWWLLDWWLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
06/11	Hellas Kagran Austria Landesliga	0-0	1-0	–	–	W
31/10	Sportunion Mauer Austria Landesliga	0-2	2-3	–	–	L
23/10	SV Schwechat Austria Landesliga	1-1	3-2	–	–	W
17/10	Post SV Austria Landesliga	2-2	5-4	–	–	W
09/10	WAF Brigittenau Austria Landesliga	1-0	1-1	12	6	D
02/10	Red Star Penzing Austria Landesliga	0-1	0-3	2	7	L
25/09	Floridsdorfer AC II Austria Landesliga	1-0	1-2	6	4	L
18/09	FV Austria XIII Austria Landesliga	1-0	2-1	–	–	W
12/09	Helfort 15 Austria Landesliga	0-0	2-0	4	7	W
04/09	LAC Inter Austria Landesliga	1-0	3-1	2	6	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in SV Gerasdorf Stammersdorf vs TWL Elektra?

According to our model, the most likely result is an TWL Elektra win (62%). Probabilities: SV Gerasdorf Stammersdorf 18%, draw 20%, TWL Elektra 62%.

How many goals are expected in SV Gerasdorf Stammersdorf vs TWL Elektra?

The model expects 3.46 goals (SV Gerasdorf Stammersdorf 1.17 · TWL Elektra 2.29), with a 53% chance of under 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in SV Gerasdorf Stammersdorf vs TWL Elektra?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-2.