Football · Austria Landesliga · 22/08, 17:00

Prediction: Helfort 15 vs Simmeringer SC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.48Total

Helfort 152.44

Simmeringer SC1.04

1X2

68% 18% 14%

Helfort 15 Draw Simmeringer SC

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

2-1

Recent form · 10 last

Helfort 15 8-2-0 (W-D-L)

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Simmeringer SC 1-3-6 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Helfort 15 5–1–0 Simmeringer SC (6 last)

Simmeringer SC0-3Helfort 15
Helfort 153-1Simmeringer SC
Simmeringer SC1-1Helfort 15
Helfort 152-1Simmeringer SC
Helfort 152-1Simmeringer SC
Simmeringer SC2-4Helfort 15

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Helfort 15 1604 · Simmeringer SC 1407

	Helfort 15	Draw	Simmeringer SC
Our model	67%	19%	14%
Market	68%	17%	15%

Estimated total (ours) 3.48 goals · Bet365 line 3.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 72%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Helfort 15 (rating 1604 vs 1407).
H2H favours Helfort 15: 5-1-0.
High corners: 10.8 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 7.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Helfort 15	Simmeringer SC
Goals for / against (FT)	2.3 / 0.8	0.7 / 1.8
Goals for / against (HT)	1.4 / 0.5	0.3 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	70/20/10%	20/50/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.1 / 6.1	1.9 / 4.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.8 / 0	4.1 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.33

X5.25

26.25

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-2)1.93

2 (+2)1.88

Line ⓘ

Over 3.51.85

Under 3.51.95

Diff.: 0.7 · xG: 2.8

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 11:04

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.17 → 1.33▲	Bet365 1.33
X	7.00 → 5.25▼	Pinn 5.73 ★
2	9.00 → 6.25▼	Pinn 6.32

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 10.1% Pinnacle margin 12.6%

Time*	1	X	2
15:53 +13’	1.17	7.00	9.00
10:58 +6’	1.33▲	5.25▼	6.25▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
09:35 +3’	1.26	5.73	6.32

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Helfort 15 5–1–0 Simmeringer SC

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Date	Home	Score	Away
28/02/26 Austria Landesliga	Simmeringer SC	0-3 HT 0-1	Helfort 15
16/08/25 Austria Landesliga	Helfort 15	3-1 HT 2-0	Simmeringer SC
01/04/25 Austria Amateur Cup	Simmeringer SC	1-1 HT 0-1	Helfort 15
17/09/24 Austria Landesliga	Helfort 15	2-1 HT 2-1	Simmeringer SC
08/06/24 Austria Landesliga	Helfort 15	2-1 HT 2-0	Simmeringer SC
11/11/23 Austria Landesliga	Simmeringer SC	2-4 HT 1-2	Helfort 15

Standings · Austria Landesliga

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Team Wiener Linien	1	1	0	2	0	3
2	Red Star Penzing	1	1	0	3	2	3
3	Sportunion Mauer	1	1	0	2	1	3
4	FV Austria XIII	0	0	0	0	0	0
4	Floridsdorfer AC II	0	0	0	0	0	0
4	Hellas Kagran	0	0	0	0	0	0
4	First Vienna II	0	0	0	0	0	0
4	LAC Inter	0	0	0	0	0	0
4	Post SV	0	0	0	0	0	0
4	Simmeringer SC	0	0	0	0	0	0
4	Helfort 15	0	0	0	0	0	0
4	SV Gerasdorf Stammersdorf	0	0	0	0	0	0
4	WAF Brigittenau	0	0	0	0	0	0
14	FC 1980 Wien	1	0	1	2	3	0
15	SV Schwechat	1	0	1	1	2	0
16	Slovan HAC	1	0	1	0	2	0

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Helfort 15	Simmeringer SC
FC Stadlau	5-3 W	0-0 D
FC 1980 Wien	2-2 D	1-0 W
SV Gerasdorf Stammersdorf	2-1 W	1-2 L
SV Schwechat	2-0 W	1-2 L
Hellas Kagran	1-1 D	1-4 L
Slovan HAC	1-0 W	0-4 L
First Vienna II	2-0 W	0-0 D
Red Star Penzing	2-0 W	0-0 D
Record vs common	6 W 2 D 0 L	1 W 3 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Helfort 15 (7 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Helfort 15

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
13/06	FC Stadlau Austria Landesliga	2-2	5-3	–	–	W
06/06	FC 1980 Wien Austria Landesliga	1-1	2-2	6	5	D
29/05	SV Gerasdorf Stammersdorf Austria Landesliga	2-1	2-1	7	5	W
25/05	SV Schwechat Austria Landesliga	2-0	2-0	2	3	W
16/05	Hellas Kagran Austria Landesliga	0-1	1-1	–	–	D
10/05	Slovan HAC Austria Landesliga	1-0	1-0	4	3	W
02/05	First Vienna II Austria Landesliga	1-0	2-0	14	8	W
24/04	Red Star Penzing Austria Landesliga	1-0	2-0	5	0	W
18/04	WAF Brigittenau Austria Landesliga	2-0	2-0	5	4	W
11/04	Floridsdorfer AC II Austria Landesliga	2-0	4-1	6	2	W

Simmeringer SC

DDLLLWLDLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
13/06	FV Austria XIII Austria Landesliga	0-3	2-4	7	4	L
06/06	SV Schwechat Austria Landesliga	0-1	1-2	5	6	L
29/05	FC Stadlau Austria Landesliga	0-0	0-0	0	1	D
22/05	LAC Inter Austria Landesliga	0-0	1-2	–	–	L
16/05	FC 1980 Wien Austria Landesliga	1-0	1-0	5	3	W
08/05	SV Gerasdorf Stammersdorf Austria Landesliga	1-0	1-2	4	4	L
02/05	Hellas Kagran Austria Landesliga	1-1	1-4	5	7	L
26/04	Slovan HAC Austria Landesliga	0-3	0-4	6	2	L
18/04	First Vienna II Austria Landesliga	0-0	0-0	9	5	D
10/04	Red Star Penzing Austria Landesliga	0-0	0-0	1	5	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Helfort 15 vs Simmeringer SC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Helfort 15 win (68%). Probabilities: Helfort 15 68%, draw 18%, Simmeringer SC 14%.

How many goals are expected in Helfort 15 vs Simmeringer SC?

The model expects 3.48 goals (Helfort 15 2.44 · Simmeringer SC 1.04), with a 51% chance of under 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Helfort 15 vs Simmeringer SC?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.