Football · Austria Landesliga · 23/10, 18:00

Prediction: Simmeringer SC vs SV Gerasdorf Stammersdorf

Team pages: Simmeringer SC · SV Gerasdorf Stammersdorf

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.21Total

Simmeringer SC1.79

SV Gerasdorf Stammersdorf1.41

1X2

46% 24% 30%

Simmeringer SC Draw SV Gerasdorf Stammersdorf

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 60% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

Simmeringer SC 2-0-8 (W-D-L)

LLLLLLWLLW

SV Gerasdorf Stammersdorf 1-3-6 (W-D-L)

LLWLLLDDLD

Head-to-head

Simmeringer SC 3–1–2 SV Gerasdorf Stammersdorf (6 last)

SV Gerasdorf Stammersdorf2-1Simmeringer SC
Simmeringer SC2-1SV Gerasdorf Stammersdorf
SV Gerasdorf Stammersdorf2-1Simmeringer SC
SV Gerasdorf Stammersdorf1-3Simmeringer SC
Simmeringer SC1-0SV Gerasdorf Stammersdorf
SV Gerasdorf Stammersdorf1-1Simmeringer SC

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Simmeringer SC 1409 · SV Gerasdorf Stammersdorf 1432

	Simmeringer SC	Draw	SV Gerasdorf Stammersdorf
Our model	46%	25%	29%
Market	46%	24%	30%

Estimated total (ours) 3.21 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 59%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Simmeringer SC: 3-1-2.
Cards-heavy: 5.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Simmeringer SC	SV Gerasdorf Stammersdorf
Goals for / against (FT)	0.7 / 2.9	1.1 / 2.5
Goals for / against (HT)	0.2 / 1.6	0.4 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/20/70%	10/40/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.8 / 3.3	1.1 / 3.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3 / 0	2.7 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

11.95

X3.75

23.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)2.00

2 (+0.5)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 31.82

Under 31.98

Diff.: 0.6 · xG: 3.6

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 06:05

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.95 → 1.95	Bet365 1.95
X	3.75 → 3.75	Bet365 3.75
2	3.00 → 3.00	Bet365 3.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
05:56 +9’	1.95	3.75	3.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Simmeringer SC 3–1–2 SV Gerasdorf Stammersdorf

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Date	Home	Score	Away
08/05/26 Austria Landesliga	SV Gerasdorf Stammersdorf	2-1 HT 0-1	Simmeringer SC
18/10/25 Austria Landesliga	Simmeringer SC	2-1 HT 1-0	SV Gerasdorf Stammersdorf
01/10/24 Austria 2. Landesliga	SV Gerasdorf Stammersdorf	2-1 HT 1-1	Simmeringer SC
24/05/24 Austria Landesliga	SV Gerasdorf Stammersdorf	1-3 HT 0-2	Simmeringer SC
28/10/23 Austria Landesliga	Simmeringer SC	1-0 HT 0-0	SV Gerasdorf Stammersdorf
19/05/23 Austria Landesliga	SV Gerasdorf Stammersdorf	1-1 HT 0-1	Simmeringer SC

Standings · Austria Landesliga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Sportunion Mauer	9	7	2	0	26	5	23
2	LAC Inter	9	6	1	2	21	15	19
3	Red Star Penzing	9	6	1	2	18	12	19
4	TWL Elektra	9	6	1	2	19	14	19
5	Helfort 15	9	5	2	2	16	7	17
6	Floridsdorfer AC II	9	5	1	3	17	13	16
7	First Vienna II	9	4	1	4	21	19	13
8	SV Schwechat	9	4	0	5	14	14	12
9	WAF Brigittenau	9	3	2	4	13	15	11
10	FV Austria XIII	9	2	4	3	13	13	10
11	Slovan HAC	9	2	3	4	11	16	9
12	Hellas Kagran	9	2	2	5	15	19	8
13	FC 1980 Wien	9	2	2	5	10	23	8
14	SV Gerasdorf Stammersdorf	9	1	4	4	10	20	7
15	Simmeringer SC	9	2	0	7	5	25	6
16	Post SV	9	1	2	6	17	16	5

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Simmeringer SC	SV Gerasdorf Stammersdorf
Hellas Kagran	2-1 W	2-4 L
Sportunion Mauer	0-4 L	0-2 L
SV Schwechat	0-2 L	1-5 L
Post SV	1-0 W	2-1 W
Helfort 15	0-7 L	1-2 L
FV Austria XIII	2-4 L	1-1 D
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 4 L	1 W 1 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: SV Gerasdorf Stammersdorf (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Simmeringer SC

LLLLLLWLLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/10	Hellas Kagran Austria Landesliga	2-1	2-1	–	–	W
09/10	Sportunion Mauer Austria Landesliga	0-2	0-4	–	–	L
02/10	SV Schwechat Austria Landesliga	0-1	0-2	–	–	L
25/09	Post SV Austria Landesliga	0-0	1-0	3	1	W
20/09	WAF Brigittenau Austria Landesliga	0-0	0-2	2	4	L
11/09	Red Star Penzing Austria Landesliga	0-1	0-3	–	–	L
05/09	Floridsdorfer AC II Austria Landesliga	0-1	0-3	–	–	L
28/08	TWL Elektra Austria Landesliga	0-2	2-3	–	–	L
22/08	Helfort 15 Austria Landesliga	0-5	0-7	1	3	L
13/06	FV Austria XIII Austria Landesliga	0-3	2-4	7	4	L

SV Gerasdorf Stammersdorf

LLWLLLDDLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/10	Slovan HAC Austria Landesliga	0-0	0-0	2	3	D
09/10	First Vienna II Austria Landesliga	0-1	1-4	3	2	L
02/10	FC 1980 Wien Austria Landesliga	0-2	2-2	5	5	D
26/09	FV Austria XIII Austria Landesliga	1-0	1-1	–	–	D
23/09	Sportunion Mauer Austria Landesliga	0-0	0-2	2	3	L
19/09	Hellas Kagran Austria Landesliga	0-1	2-4	–	–	L
04/09	SV Schwechat Austria Landesliga	0-2	1-5	1	1	L
28/08	Post SV Austria Landesliga	1-1	2-1	–	–	W
12/06	SV Wienerberg Austria Landesliga	1-1	1-4	5	2	L
29/05	Helfort 15 Austria Landesliga	1-2	1-2	4	5	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Simmeringer SC vs SV Gerasdorf Stammersdorf?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Simmeringer SC win (46%). Probabilities: Simmeringer SC 46%, draw 24%, SV Gerasdorf Stammersdorf 30%.

How many goals are expected in Simmeringer SC vs SV Gerasdorf Stammersdorf?

The model expects 3.21 goals (Simmeringer SC 1.79 · SV Gerasdorf Stammersdorf 1.41), with a 52% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Simmeringer SC vs SV Gerasdorf Stammersdorf?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.