Football · Austria Landesliga · 14/11, 14:00

Prediction: Post SV vs FV Austria XIII

Team pages: Post SV · FV Austria XIII

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.4Total

Post SV1.75

FV Austria XIII1.65

1X2

40% 23% 36%

Post SV Draw FV Austria XIII

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 59%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

Post SV 2-1-7 (W-D-L)

WLDLLLLLLW

FV Austria XIII 3-4-3 (W-D-L)

DWLDLDWWLD

Head-to-head

Post SV 2–1–1 FV Austria XIII (4 last)

FV Austria XIII1-0Post SV
Post SV1-1FV Austria XIII
Post SV3-0FV Austria XIII
Post SV2-1FV Austria XIII

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Post SV 1449 · FV Austria XIII 1508

	Post SV	Draw	FV Austria XIII
Our model	40%	25%	36%
Market	41%	22%	37%

Estimated total (ours) 3.4 goals · Bet365 line 3.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 68%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FV Austria XIII (rating 1449 vs 1508).
H2H favours Post SV: 2-1-1.
Cards-heavy: 7.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Post SV	FV Austria XIII
Goals for / against (FT)	2 / 2.1	1.6 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.9 / 1.1	0.7 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/30/50%	30/30/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.1 / 4.1	2.2 / 5.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.1 / 0	3.2 / 0.4

Odds Bet365

12.20

X4.00

22.45

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.82

2 (0)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.90

Under 3.251.90

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 3.5

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 17:07

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.20 → 2.20	Bet365 2.20
X	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00
2	2.45 → 2.45	Bet365 2.45

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
16:50 +17’	2.20	4.00	2.45

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Post SV 2–1–1 FV Austria XIII

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Date	Home	Score	Away
04/03/23 Austria Landesliga	FV Austria XIII	1-0 HT 0-0	Post SV
21/08/21 Austria Landesliga	Post SV	1-1 HT 0-1	FV Austria XIII
15/06/19 Austria Landesliga	Post SV	3-0 HT 0-0	FV Austria XIII
08/10/16 Austria Landesliga	Post SV	2-1	FV Austria XIII

Standings · Austria Landesliga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Sportunion Mauer	12	9	3	0	31	8	30
2	Red Star Penzing	12	8	2	2	24	15	26
3	LAC Inter	12	8	1	3	26	19	25
4	TWL Elektra	12	8	1	3	25	19	25
5	Helfort 15	12	6	4	2	19	9	22
6	Floridsdorfer AC II	12	7	1	4	24	16	22
7	First Vienna II	12	5	1	6	22	22	16
8	FC 1980 Wien	12	4	3	5	19	30	15
9	FV Austria XIII	12	3	5	4	17	16	14
10	Slovan HAC	12	3	5	4	15	19	14
11	WAF Brigittenau	12	4	2	6	17	22	14
12	SV Schwechat	12	4	1	7	17	19	13
13	Hellas Kagran	12	2	3	7	16	22	9
14	Simmeringer SC	12	3	0	9	9	30	9
15	Post SV	12	2	2	8	23	25	8
16	SV Gerasdorf Stammersdorf	12	1	4	7	12	25	7

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Post SV	FV Austria XIII
WAF Brigittenau	4-1 W	1-2 L
Red Star Penzing	2-4 L	2-0 W
Floridsdorfer AC II	0-4 L	1-2 L
TWL Elektra	4-5 L	1-2 L
Helfort 15	0-1 L	2-2 D
Slovan HAC	1-1 D	1-1 D
First Vienna II	2-3 L	2-0 W
FC 1980 Wien	7-0 W	3-3 D
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 5 L	2 W 3 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: FV Austria XIII (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Post SV

WLDLLLLLLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/11	WAF Brigittenau Austria Landesliga	2-0	4-1	5	4	W
31/10	Red Star Penzing Austria Landesliga	1-3	2-4	–	–	L
24/10	Floridsdorfer AC II Austria Landesliga	0-2	0-4	3	5	L
17/10	TWL Elektra Austria Landesliga	2-2	4-5	–	–	L
10/10	Helfort 15 Austria Landesliga	0-1	0-1	5	4	L
03/10	LAC Inter Austria Landesliga	0-1	0-1	5	6	L
25/09	Simmeringer SC Austria Landesliga	0-0	0-1	2	1	L
19/09	Slovan HAC Austria Landesliga	0-0	1-1	2	4	D
12/09	First Vienna II Austria Landesliga	1-2	2-3	7	5	L
05/09	FC 1980 Wien Austria Landesliga	3-0	7-0	–	–	W

FV Austria XIII

DWLDLDWWLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
07/11	Slovan HAC Austria Landesliga	1-1	1-1	–	–	D
01/11	WAF Brigittenau Austria Landesliga	0-1	1-2	4	2	L
24/10	First Vienna II Austria Landesliga	0-0	2-0	5	4	W
16/10	Red Star Penzing Austria Landesliga	1-0	2-0	5	2	W
10/10	FC 1980 Wien Austria Landesliga	3-0	3-3	6	4	D
03/10	Floridsdorfer AC II Austria Landesliga	0-0	1-2	7	6	L
26/09	SV Gerasdorf Stammersdorf Austria Landesliga	0-1	1-1	–	–	D
18/09	TWL Elektra Austria Landesliga	0-1	1-2	–	–	L
11/09	Hellas Kagran Austria Landesliga	1-0	2-0	–	–	W
05/09	Helfort 15 Austria Landesliga	1-2	2-2	–	–	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Post SV vs FV Austria XIII?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Post SV win (40%). Probabilities: Post SV 40%, draw 23%, FV Austria XIII 36%.

How many goals are expected in Post SV vs FV Austria XIII?

The model expects 3.4 goals (Post SV 1.75 · FV Austria XIII 1.65), with a 50% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Post SV vs FV Austria XIII?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.