Football · Austria Landesliga · 21/08, 19:00

Prediction: SV Schwechat vs Sportunion Mauer

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.04Total

SV Schwechat1.43

Sportunion Mauer1.62

1X2

34% 24% 42%

SV Schwechat Draw Sportunion Mauer

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 64% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

SV Schwechat 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

LLDWWWLDWL

Sportunion Mauer 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

LDWLWWLWLL

Head-to-head

SV Schwechat 0–2–3 Sportunion Mauer (5 last)

Sportunion Mauer6-0SV Schwechat
SV Schwechat0-2Sportunion Mauer
SV Schwechat1-4Sportunion Mauer
SV Schwechat3-3Sportunion Mauer
Sportunion Mauer0-0SV Schwechat

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · SV Schwechat 1499 · Sportunion Mauer 1488

	SV Schwechat	Draw	Sportunion Mauer
Our model	33%	26%	41%
Market	35%	23%	43%

Estimated total (ours) 3.04 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 61%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Sportunion Mauer: 3-2-0.
Cards-heavy: 7.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	SV Schwechat	Sportunion Mauer
Goals for / against (FT)	1.6 / 1.2	1.6 / 1.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.5	0.9 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/30/30%	30/40/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.4 / 5.3	1.5 / 2.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.8 / 0.1	3.6 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.60

X4.00

22.10

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.88

2 (-0.25)1.93

Line ⓘ

Over 31.82

Under 31.98

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 3.1

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 17:19

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.60 → 2.60	Bet365 2.60
X	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00
2	2.10 → 2.10	Bet365 2.10

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.1%

Time*	1	X	2
16:44 +35’	2.60	4.00	2.10

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · SV Schwechat 0–2–3 Sportunion Mauer

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Date	Home	Score	Away
08/06/24 Austria Landesliga	Sportunion Mauer	6-0 HT 2-0	SV Schwechat
01/12/23 Austria Landesliga	SV Schwechat	0-2 HT 0-1	Sportunion Mauer
26/05/23 Austria Landesliga	SV Schwechat	1-4 HT 1-2	Sportunion Mauer
03/06/22 Austria Landesliga	SV Schwechat	3-3 HT 1-3	Sportunion Mauer
01/07/21 Austria Landesliga	Sportunion Mauer	0-0 HT 0-0	SV Schwechat

Standings · Austria Landesliga

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FV Austria XIII	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Floridsdorfer AC II	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	FC 1980 Wien	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Hellas Kagran	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	First Vienna II	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	LAC Inter	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Post SV	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Red Star Penzing	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Simmeringer SC	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Slovan HAC	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Helfort 15	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	SV Gerasdorf Stammersdorf	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	SV Schwechat	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Team Wiener Linien	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Sportunion Mauer	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	WAF Brigittenau	0	0	0	0	0	0

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

SV Schwechat

LLDWWWLDWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
12/06	LAC Inter Austria Landesliga	0-2	0-3	3	4	L
06/06	Simmeringer SC Austria Landesliga	1-0	2-1	4	6	W
29/05	FV Austria XIII Austria Landesliga	1-0	2-2	6	4	D
25/05	Helfort 15 Austria Landesliga	0-2	0-2	5	3	L
15/05	FC Stadlau Austria Landesliga	3-0	5-0	4	3	W
09/05	FC 1980 Wien Austria Landesliga	1-0	5-0	4	5	W
30/04	SV Gerasdorf Stammersdorf Austria Landesliga	0-0	1-0	9	2	W
25/04	Hellas Kagran Austria Landesliga	0-0	0-0	3	2	D
21/04	Red Star Penzing Austria Landesliga	0-1	0-2	5	6	L
17/04	Slovan HAC Austria Landesliga	0-0	1-2	10	4	L

Sportunion Mauer

LDWLWWLWLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
30/05	SC Retz Austria Regionalliga Ost	1-1	1-2	1	4	L
22/05	SV Gloggnitz Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-2	1-2	–	–	L
15/05	SV Leobendorf Austria Regionalliga Ost	1-0	1-0	3	4	W
08/05	Neusiedl Austria Regionalliga Ost	2-2	2-3	4	4	L
01/05	Oberwart Austria Regionalliga Ost	3-2	5-3	–	–	W
24/04	SV Donau Austria Regionalliga Ost	2-0	4-2	1	1	W
17/04	FC Marchfeld Donauauen Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-1	0-3	3	1	L
14/04	TWL Elektra Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-0	2-0	3	5	W
06/04	SV Horn Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-0	0-0	1	6	D
03/04	SR Fach-Donaufeld Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-1	0-3	4	4	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in SV Schwechat vs Sportunion Mauer?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Sportunion Mauer win (42%). Probabilities: SV Schwechat 34%, draw 24%, Sportunion Mauer 42%.

How many goals are expected in SV Schwechat vs Sportunion Mauer?

The model expects 3.04 goals (SV Schwechat 1.43 · Sportunion Mauer 1.62), with a 50% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in SV Schwechat vs Sportunion Mauer?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.