Prediction: HB Koge (W) vs ASA Aarhus (W)

Team pages: HB Koge (W) · ASA Aarhus (W)

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.13Total
HB Koge (W)2.43
ASA Aarhus (W)0.7
1X2
76% 16% 9%
HB Koge (W) Draw ASA Aarhus (W)
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 62% Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
2-0
Recent form · 10 last
HB Koge (W) 8-1-1 (W-D-L)
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ASA Aarhus (W) 6-3-1 (W-D-L)
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Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · HB Koge (W) 1598 · ASA Aarhus (W) 1562
HB Koge (W)DrawASA Aarhus (W)
Our model75%17%8%
Market76%14%9%
Estimated total (ours) 3.13 goals · Bet365 line 3.75 · -0.6

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 66%model estimate

Match keys

  • High corners: 13.2 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

HB Koge (W)ASA Aarhus (W)
Goals for / against (FT)2.2 / 0.52.3 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)1.4 / 0.11.3 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)67/22/11%50/33/17%
Corners (HT / FT)4 / 7.23 / 6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)1.4 / 0.12 / 0

Standings · Danish Womens Elitedivisionen

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Fortuna Hjørring (W) 1100 623
2 HB Koge (W) 1100 303
3 ASA Aarhus (W) 1100 313
4 Odense BK (W) 1100 103
5 Brondby (W) 1010 111
5 Midtjylland (W) 1010 111
7 FC Nordsjaelland (W) 1001 010
8 AGF (W) 1001 130
9 FC Copenhagen (W) 1001 030
10 Kolding IF (W) 1001 260

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentHB Koge (W)ASA Aarhus (W)
FC Copenhagen (W) 3-0 W 2-3 L
AGF (W) 3-0 W 3-1 W
Record vs common 2 W 0 D 0 L 1 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: HB Koge (W) (2 of 2 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

HB Koge (W)

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
28/07 FC Copenhagen (W)
Danish Womens Elitedivisionen
2-0 3-0 71 W
14/07 FC Copenhagen (W)
Women’s Friendly
3-1 W
13/06 Kolding IF (W)
Danish Womens Elitedivisionen
3-0 3-1 93 W
31/05 AGF (W)
Danish Womens Elitedivisionen
3-0 3-0 80 W
23/05 Fortuna Hjørring (W)
Danish Womens Elitedivisionen
0-0 1-0 103 W
16/05 FC Nordsjaelland (W)
Denmark Cup Women
2-0 4-1 00 W
09/05 Brondby (W)
Danish Womens Elitedivisionen
0-1 0-1 132 L
03/05 FC Nordsjaelland (W)
Danish Womens Elitedivisionen
0-0 1-1 54 D
24/04 Kolding IF (W)
Danish Womens Elitedivisionen
2-0 2-0 30 W
05/04 AGF (W)
Danish Womens Elitedivisionen
1-0 2-0 101 W

ASA Aarhus (W)

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
25/07 AGF (W)
Danish Womens Elitedivisionen
2-1 3-1 62 W
13/06 FC Thy-Thisted Q (W)
Denmark Play-Offs Women
2-0 2-1 W
30/05 Osterbro IF (W)
Denmark Play-Offs Women
4-1 5-1 W
23/05 Odense BK (W)
Denmark Play-Offs Women
0-1 2-2 D
09/05 FC Copenhagen (W)
Denmark Play-Offs Women
2-3 L
02/05 Midtjylland (W)
Denmark Play-Offs Women
1-1 D
25/04 FC Thy-Thisted Q (W)
Denmark Play-Offs Women
0-0 0-0 D
06/04 Osterbro IF (W)
Denmark Play-Offs Women
4-1 W
28/03 Odense BK (W)
Denmark Play-Offs Women
3-1 W
21/03 FC Copenhagen (W)
Denmark Play-Offs Women
0-0 1-0 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in HB Koge (W) vs ASA Aarhus (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is a HB Koge (W) win (76%). Probabilities: HB Koge (W) 76%, draw 16%, ASA Aarhus (W) 9%.

How many goals are expected in HB Koge (W) vs ASA Aarhus (W)?

The model expects 3.13 goals (HB Koge (W) 2.43 · ASA Aarhus (W) 0.7), with a 59% chance of under 3.75 goals.

Will both teams score in HB Koge (W) vs ASA Aarhus (W)?

The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.