Football · Danish Womens Elitedivisionen · 24/10, 13:00

Prediction: Fortuna Hjørring (W) vs FC Copenhagen (W)

Team pages: Fortuna Hjørring (W) · FC Copenhagen (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.81Total

Fortuna Hjørring (W)2.78

FC Copenhagen (W)1.03

1X2

73% 16% 11%

Fortuna Hjørring (W) Draw FC Copenhagen (W)

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

2-1 9%

Recent form · 10 last

Fortuna Hjørring (W) 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

DWWLWLLDWD

FC Copenhagen (W) 2-0-8 (W-D-L)

LLLWWLLLLL

Head-to-head

Fortuna Hjørring (W) 1–1–0 FC Copenhagen (W) (2 last)

FC Copenhagen (W)1-4Fortuna Hjørring (W)
FC Copenhagen (W)1-1Fortuna Hjørring (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Fortuna Hjørring (W) 1537 · FC Copenhagen (W) 1437

	Fortuna Hjørring (W)	Draw	FC Copenhagen (W)
Our model	73%	16%	11%
Market	74%	15%	11%

Estimated total (ours) 3.81 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.6

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 79%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Fortuna Hjørring (W) (rating 1537 vs 1437).

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Fortuna Hjørring (W)	FC Copenhagen (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	1.7 / 1	1.3 / 3.2
Goals for / against (HT)	1.1 / 0.4	0.3 / 2.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/40/10%	10/10/80%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.9 / 5	1.8 / 5.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	1.4 / 0	2.3 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.22

X6.00

28.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-2)1.90

2 (+2)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.82

Under 3.251.98

Diff.: 0.35 · xG: 3.6

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 13:17

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.20 → 1.22▲	Bet365 1.22
X	6.00 → 6.00	Pinn 6.64 ★
2	9.00 → 8.00▼	Pinn 8.24

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 11% Pinnacle margin 10.9%

Time*	1	X	2
12:12 +3’	1.20	6.00	9.00
13:08 +9’	1.22▲	6.00	8.00▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
13:59 +25’	1.19	6.64	8.24

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Fortuna Hjørring (W) 1–1–0 FC Copenhagen (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
15/08/26 Danish Womens Elitedivisionen	FC Copenhagen (W)	1-4 HT 0-2	Fortuna Hjørring (W)
29/03/25 Denmark Cup Women	FC Copenhagen (W)	1-1 HT 1-0	Fortuna Hjørring (W)

Standings · Danish Womens Elitedivisionen

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	HB Koge (W)	11	8	2	1	31	12	26
2	FC Nordsjaelland (W)	11	6	4	1	32	12	22
3	Brondby (W)	11	6	3	2	26	9	21
4	Fortuna Hjørring (W)	11	5	3	3	23	12	18
5	Midtjylland (W)	11	5	3	3	15	13	18
6	ASA Aarhus (W)	11	5	1	5	15	20	16
7	Kolding IF (W)	11	4	1	6	20	29	13
8	Odense BK (W)	11	4	1	6	8	22	13
9	FC Copenhagen (W)	11	2	0	9	13	35	6
10	AGF (W)	11	1	0	10	8	27	3

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Fortuna Hjørring (W)	FC Copenhagen (W)
Kolding IF (W)	0-0 D	2-6 L
Odense BK (W)	3-0 W	1-2 L
FC Nordsjaelland (W)	1-1 D	1-9 L
Brondby (W)	0-4 L	1-2 L
ASA Aarhus (W)	1-2 L	1-0 W
AGF (W)	3-0 W	2-4 L
Midtjylland (W)	0-0 D	0-2 L
Record vs common	2 W 3 D 2 L	1 W 0 D 6 L

Better against common opponents: Fortuna Hjørring (W) (5 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Fortuna Hjørring (W)

DWWLWLLDWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/10	Kolding IF (W) Danish Womens Elitedivisionen	0-0	0-0	7	2	D
04/10	Odense BK (W) Danish Womens Elitedivisionen	2-0	3-0	6	1	W
26/09	FC Nordsjaelland (W) Danish Womens Elitedivisionen	0-0	1-1	4	1	D
19/09	Brondby (W) Danish Womens Elitedivisionen	0-3	0-4	3	2	L
12/09	HB Koge (W) Danish Womens Elitedivisionen	1-1	1-2	5	1	L
06/09	Odense BK (W) Danish Womens Elitedivisionen	3-0	4-0	6	1	W
29/08	ASA Aarhus (W) Danish Womens Elitedivisionen	1-0	1-2	6	3	L
19/08	AGF (W) Danish Womens Elitedivisionen	2-0	3-0	6	0	W
15/08	FC Copenhagen (W) Danish Womens Elitedivisionen	2-0	4-1	1	0	W
04/08	Midtjylland (W) Danish Womens Elitedivisionen	0-0	0-0	6	3	D

FC Copenhagen (W)

LLLWWLLLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/10	Odense BK (W) Danish Womens Elitedivisionen	0-1	1-2	10	4	L
03/10	Brondby (W) Danish Womens Elitedivisionen	0-1	1-2	4	4	L
27/09	Midtjylland (W) Danish Womens Elitedivisionen	0-2	0-2	3	3	L
20/09	Kolding IF (W) Danish Womens Elitedivisionen	1-5	2-6	2	0	L
12/09	AGF (W) Danish Womens Elitedivisionen	0-2	2-4	10	3	L
05/09	ASA Aarhus (W) Danish Womens Elitedivisionen	1-0	1-0	4	2	W
29/08	Brondby (W) Danish Womens Elitedivisionen	1-1	3-1	5	4	W
23/08	FC Nordsjaelland (W) Danish Womens Elitedivisionen	0-6	1-9	6	2	L
15/08	Fortuna Hjørring (W) Danish Womens Elitedivisionen	0-2	1-4	4	0	L
01/08	Odense BK (W) Danish Womens Elitedivisionen	0-1	1-2	5	1	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Fortuna Hjørring (W) vs FC Copenhagen (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Fortuna Hjørring (W) win (73%). Probabilities: Fortuna Hjørring (W) 73%, draw 16%, FC Copenhagen (W) 11%.

How many goals are expected in Fortuna Hjørring (W) vs FC Copenhagen (W)?

The model expects 3.81 goals (Fortuna Hjørring (W) 2.78 · FC Copenhagen (W) 1.03), with a 55% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Fortuna Hjørring (W) vs FC Copenhagen (W)?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.