Football · Danish Womens Elitedivisionen · 24/10, 13:00

Prediction: Kolding IF (W) vs HB Koge (W)

Team pages: Kolding IF (W) · HB Koge (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

4.01Total

Kolding IF (W)1

HB Koge (W)3

1X2

8% 13% 79%

Kolding IF (W) Draw HB Koge (W)

Markets

Under 4.5 goals 63% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-3 8%

Recent form · 10 last

Kolding IF (W) 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

WLWLLLWLWD

HB Koge (W) 7-2-1 (W-D-L)

WWWWLWWWDD

Head-to-head

Kolding IF (W) 0–1–5 HB Koge (W) (6 last)

HB Koge (W)4-1Kolding IF (W)
HB Koge (W)3-1Kolding IF (W)
Kolding IF (W)0-2HB Koge (W)
HB Koge (W)6-1Kolding IF (W)
Kolding IF (W)1-2HB Koge (W)
HB Koge (W)2-2Kolding IF (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Kolding IF (W) 1463 · HB Koge (W) 1597

	Kolding IF (W)	Draw	HB Koge (W)
Our model	9%	14%	77%
Market	7%	11%	81%

Estimated total (ours) 4.01 goals · Bet365 line 3.75 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 77%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours HB Koge (W) (rating 1463 vs 1597).
H2H favours HB Koge (W): 5-1-0.
High corners: 14.2 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Kolding IF (W)	HB Koge (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	1.8 / 2.3	2.8 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 1.2	1.4 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/30/50%	60/30/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.2 / 5.5	3.7 / 8.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	1.5 / 0.3	2.4 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

113.00

X8.00

21.13

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+2.5)1.85

2 (-2.5)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 3.751.98

Under 3.751.82

Diff.: 0.3 · xG: 4.05

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 12:15

	Bet365	Best now
1	13.00 → 13.00	Bet365 13.00
X	8.00 → 8.00	Pinn 8.82 ★
2	1.13 → 1.13	Bet365 1.13

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 9.1% Pinnacle margin 10.2%

Time*	1	X	2
12:12 +3’	13.00	8.00	1.13

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
13:59 +25’	10.77	8.82	1.12

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Kolding IF (W) 0–1–5 HB Koge (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
26/09/26 Danish Womens Elitedivisionen	HB Koge (W)	4-1 HT 1-0	Kolding IF (W)
13/06/26 Danish Womens Elitedivisionen	HB Koge (W)	3-1 HT 3-0	Kolding IF (W)
24/04/26 Danish Womens Elitedivisionen	Kolding IF (W)	0-2 HT 0-2	HB Koge (W)
01/11/25 Danish Womens Elitedivisionen	HB Koge (W)	6-1 HT 2-1	Kolding IF (W)
05/09/25 Danish Womens Elitedivisionen	Kolding IF (W)	1-2	HB Koge (W)
01/02/25 Women’s Friendly	HB Koge (W)	2-2 HT 1-2	Kolding IF (W)

Standings · Danish Womens Elitedivisionen

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	HB Koge (W)	11	8	2	1	31	12	26
2	FC Nordsjaelland (W)	11	6	4	1	32	12	22
3	Brondby (W)	11	6	3	2	26	9	21
4	Fortuna Hjørring (W)	11	5	3	3	23	12	18
5	Midtjylland (W)	11	5	3	3	15	13	18
6	ASA Aarhus (W)	11	5	1	5	15	20	16
7	Kolding IF (W)	11	4	1	6	20	29	13
8	Odense BK (W)	11	4	1	6	8	22	13
9	FC Copenhagen (W)	11	2	0	9	13	35	6
10	AGF (W)	11	1	0	10	8	27	3

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Kolding IF (W)	HB Koge (W)
Fortuna Hjørring (W)	0-0 D	2-1 W
AGF (W)	2-1 W	2-0 W
ASA Aarhus (W)	1-3 L	4-0 W
Brondby (W)	0-5 L	1-1 D
FC Nordsjaelland (W)	0-4 L	2-2 D
Odense BK (W)	3-1 W	3-0 W
Midtjylland (W)	1-3 L	4-0 W
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 4 L	5 W 2 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: HB Koge (W) (7 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Kolding IF (W)

WLWLLLWLWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/10	Fortuna Hjørring (W) Danish Womens Elitedivisionen	0-0	0-0	2	2	D
03/10	AGF (W) Danish Womens Elitedivisionen	0-0	2-1	9	1	W
26/09	HB Koge (W) Danish Womens Elitedivisionen	0-1	1-4	1	2	L
20/09	FC Copenhagen (W) Danish Womens Elitedivisionen	5-1	6-2	6	0	W
13/09	ASA Aarhus (W) Danish Womens Elitedivisionen	0-2	1-3	5	1	L
08/09	Brondby (W) Danish Womens Elitedivisionen	0-4	0-5	6	2	L
01/09	FC Nordsjaelland (W) Danish Womens Elitedivisionen	0-1	0-4	1	4	L
19/08	Odense BK (W) Danish Womens Elitedivisionen	2-1	3-1	8	2	W
15/08	Midtjylland (W) Danish Womens Elitedivisionen	0-2	1-3	7	2	L
02/08	AGF (W) Danish Womens Elitedivisionen	0-0	4-0	10	2	W

HB Koge (W)

WWWWLWWWDD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
20/10	Brondby (W) Danish Womens Elitedivisionen	0-1	1-1	13	2	D
04/10	FC Nordsjaelland (W) Danish Womens Elitedivisionen	1-1	2-2	1	4	D
26/09	Kolding IF (W) Danish Womens Elitedivisionen	1-0	4-1	7	2	W
19/09	Midtjylland (W) Danish Womens Elitedivisionen	2-0	4-0	9	1	W
12/09	Fortuna Hjørring (W) Danish Womens Elitedivisionen	1-1	2-1	6	1	W
05/09	FC Nordsjaelland (W) Danish Womens Elitedivisionen	2-2	4-6	6	7	L
29/08	AGF (W) Danish Womens Elitedivisionen	1-0	2-0	6	3	W
19/08	Brondby (W) Danish Womens Elitedivisionen	1-0	2-1	10	3	W
15/08	Odense BK (W) Danish Womens Elitedivisionen	2-0	3-0	6	2	W
01/08	ASA Aarhus (W) Danish Womens Elitedivisionen	3-0	4-0	23	0	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Kolding IF (W) vs HB Koge (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is an HB Koge (W) win (79%). Probabilities: Kolding IF (W) 8%, draw 13%, HB Koge (W) 79%.

How many goals are expected in Kolding IF (W) vs HB Koge (W)?

The model expects 4.01 goals (Kolding IF (W) 1 · HB Koge (W) 3), with a 50% chance of over 3.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Kolding IF (W) vs HB Koge (W)?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-3.