Football · Germany Regionalliga North · 06/09, 14:00

Prediction: Phonix Lubeck vs Werder Bremen II

Team pages: Phonix Lubeck · Werder Bremen II

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.54Total

Phonix Lubeck2.12

Werder Bremen II1.42

1X2

53% 23% 25%

Phonix Lubeck Draw Werder Bremen II

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 59%

Most likely score

1-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

Phonix Lubeck 7-2-1 (W-D-L)

WWWWLWDWDW

Werder Bremen II 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

WLWLLDLLWD

Head-to-head

Phonix Lubeck 3–2–1 Werder Bremen II (6 last)

Werder Bremen II2-2Phonix Lubeck
Phonix Lubeck2-0Werder Bremen II
Phonix Lubeck0-0Werder Bremen II
Werder Bremen II3-1Phonix Lubeck
Phonix Lubeck3-2Werder Bremen II
Werder Bremen II1-2Phonix Lubeck

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 60%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Phonix Lubeck (rating 1549 vs 1498).
H2H favours Phonix Lubeck: 3-2-1.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Phonix Lubeck	Werder Bremen II
Goals for / against (FT)	2.3 / 1	1.5 / 2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.4	0.5 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/30/20%	30/40/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	– / –	– / –
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	– / –	– / –

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.83

Under 3.251.95

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 3.4

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 03:02

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	1.55 → 1.55	Pinn 1.55
X	4.26 → 4.26	Pinn 4.26
2	4.68 → 4.68	Pinn 4.68

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 9.3%

Time*	1	X	2
02:01 +61’	1.55	4.26	4.68

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Phonix Lubeck 3–2–1 Werder Bremen II

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
05/12/25 Germany Regionalliga North	Werder Bremen II	2-2 HT 0-2	Phonix Lubeck
23/08/25 Germany Regionalliga North	Phonix Lubeck	2-0 HT 0-0	Werder Bremen II
26/03/25 Germany Regionalliga North	Phonix Lubeck	0-0 HT 0-0	Werder Bremen II
27/11/24 Germany Regionalliga North	Werder Bremen II	3-1 HT 1-0	Phonix Lubeck
27/05/23 Germany Regionalliga North	Phonix Lubeck	3-2 HT 1-1	Werder Bremen II
01/02/23 Germany Regionalliga North	Werder Bremen II	1-2 HT 0-1	Phonix Lubeck

Standings · Germany Regionalliga North

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	VfB Oldenburg	6	5	1	0	22	7	16
2	SC Weiche Flensburg 08	6	5	1	0	18	7	16
3	Hannover II	7	4	2	1	13	7	14
4	FSV Schoningen	6	4	2	0	12	6	14
5	SV Drochtersen-Assel	7	4	0	3	18	11	12
6	Phonix Lubeck	6	3	2	1	12	4	11
7	Eimsbutteler TV	7	3	0	4	15	24	9
8	Eintracht Norderstedt	6	2	2	2	13	13	8
9	SV Todesfelde	6	2	2	2	14	15	8
10	HSC Hannover	6	2	2	2	9	10	8
11	SV Atlas Delmenhorst	6	2	2	2	8	9	8
12	Hamburg SV II	7	2	1	4	11	15	7
13	Kickers Emden	6	1	3	2	15	19	6
14	Werder Bremen II	6	1	2	3	7	11	5
15	Bremer SV	6	1	2	3	4	9	5
16	St Pauli II	7	1	1	5	12	18	4
17	SSV Jeddeloh	7	1	1	5	7	16	4
18	Vfb Lubeck	6	0	2	4	5	14	2

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Phonix Lubeck	Werder Bremen II
HSC Hannover	3-0 W	1-1 D
St Pauli II	2-2 D	1-2 L
SSV Jeddeloh	2-0 W	4-0 W
SV Drochtersen-Assel	1-2 L	1-0 W
Hamburg SV II	1-0 W	2-1 W
Record vs common	3 W 1 D 1 L	3 W 1 D 1 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Phonix Lubeck

WWWWLWDWDW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
02/09	HSC Hannover Germany Regionalliga North	1-0	3-0	–	–	W
30/08	St Pauli II Germany Regionalliga North	1-0	2-2	–	–	D
15/08	Vfb Lubeck Germany Regionalliga North	1-0	4-0	–	–	W
12/08	Bremer SV Germany Regionalliga North	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
09/08	SSV Jeddeloh Germany Regionalliga North	1-0	2-0	–	–	W
31/07	SV Drochtersen-Assel Germany Regionalliga North	1-0	1-2	–	–	L
16/05	FSV Schoningen Germany Regionalliga North	1-2	5-3	–	–	W
10/05	Altona 93 Germany Regionalliga North	1-1	2-1	–	–	W
03/05	Hamburg SV II Germany Regionalliga North	0-0	1-0	–	–	W
25/04	SSV Jeddeloh Germany Regionalliga North	0-1	3-2	–	–	W

Werder Bremen II

WLWLLDLLWD

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
29/08	HSC Hannover Germany Regionalliga North	0-1	1-1	–	–	D
26/08	SV Drochtersen-Assel Germany Regionalliga North	0-0	1-0	–	–	W
19/08	SC Weiche Flensburg 08 Germany Regionalliga North	1-0	1-2	–	–	L
16/08	St Pauli II Germany Regionalliga North	0-2	1-2	–	–	L
09/08	SV Todesfelde Germany Regionalliga North	2-1	3-3	–	–	D
31/07	VfB Oldenburg Germany Regionalliga North	0-0	0-3	–	–	L
16/05	VfB Oldenburg Germany Regionalliga North	0-1	1-3	–	–	L
09/05	SSV Jeddeloh Germany Regionalliga North	1-0	4-0	–	–	W
02/05	Hannover II Germany Regionalliga North	1-1	1-5	–	–	L
26/04	Hamburg SV II Germany Regionalliga North	0-0	2-1	–	–	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Phonix Lubeck vs Werder Bremen II?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Phonix Lubeck win (53%). Probabilities: Phonix Lubeck 53%, draw 23%, Werder Bremen II 25%.

How many goals are expected in Phonix Lubeck vs Werder Bremen II?

The model expects 3.54 goals (Phonix Lubeck 2.12 · Werder Bremen II 1.42), with a 52% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Phonix Lubeck vs Werder Bremen II?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.