Football · Germany Regionalliga North · 16/09, 12:00

Prediction: Hamburg SV II vs St Pauli II

Team pages: Hamburg SV II · St Pauli II

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.71Total

Hamburg SV II2.1

St Pauli II1.61

1X2

48% 23% 29%

Hamburg SV II Draw St Pauli II

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 60%

Most likely score

1-1 9%

Recent form · 10 last

Hamburg SV II 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

DWLDLLWLWL

St Pauli II 2-2-6 (W-D-L)

DLLLLWLDLW

Head-to-head

Hamburg SV II 5–1–0 St Pauli II (6 last)

St Pauli II1-1Hamburg SV II
Hamburg SV II4-1St Pauli II
Hamburg SV II4-2St Pauli II
St Pauli II1-4Hamburg SV II
Hamburg SV II2-0St Pauli II
St Pauli II0-1Hamburg SV II

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 74%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Hamburg SV II: 5-1-0.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Hamburg SV II	St Pauli II
Goals for / against (FT)	1.7 / 2.1	2 / 2.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 1.2	1.1 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/40/40%	40/20/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	– / –	– / –
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	– / –	– / –

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.83

Under 3.251.95

Diff.: 0.8 · xG: 4.05

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 14:57

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	2.39 → 2.18▼	Pinn 2.18
X	3.58 → 3.58	Pinn 3.58
2	2.53 → 2.83▲	Pinn 2.83

See the full journey (2)

Pinnacle margin 9.1%

Time*	1	X	2
12:11 +77’	2.39	3.58	2.53
14:56 +1’	2.18▼	3.58	2.83▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Hamburg SV II 5–1–0 St Pauli II

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Date	Home	Score	Away
10/05/26 Germany Regionalliga North	St Pauli II	1-1 HT 1-0	Hamburg SV II
13/12/25 Germany Regionalliga North	Hamburg SV II	4-1 HT 2-0	St Pauli II
12/04/25 Germany Regionalliga North	Hamburg SV II	4-2 HT 1-1	St Pauli II
06/10/24 Germany Regionalliga North	St Pauli II	1-4 HT 1-1	Hamburg SV II
31/03/24 Germany Regionalliga North	Hamburg SV II	2-0 HT 0-0	St Pauli II
30/09/23 Germany Regionalliga North	St Pauli II	0-1 HT 0-0	Hamburg SV II

Standings · Germany Regionalliga North

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	SC Weiche Flensburg 08	8	7	1	0	28	8	22
2	FSV Schoningen	8	6	2	0	14	6	20
3	VfB Oldenburg	8	6	1	1	26	11	19
4	Phonix Lubeck	8	5	2	1	17	5	17
5	SV Drochtersen-Assel	8	5	0	3	21	11	15
6	Hannover II	8	4	2	2	16	11	14
7	Kickers Emden	8	3	3	2	22	22	12
8	SV Atlas Delmenhorst	8	3	2	3	13	14	11
9	Eintracht Norderstedt	8	2	3	3	14	19	9
10	HSC Hannover	8	2	3	3	11	17	9
11	Eimsbutteler TV	8	3	0	5	16	27	9
12	Bremer SV	8	2	2	4	8	12	8
13	SV Todesfelde	8	2	2	4	16	22	8
14	St Pauli II	8	2	1	5	17	18	7
15	Hamburg SV II	8	2	1	5	11	19	7
16	Werder Bremen II	8	1	2	5	7	14	5
17	Vfb Lubeck	8	0	4	4	7	16	4
18	SSV Jeddeloh	8	1	1	6	8	20	4

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Hamburg SV II	St Pauli II
SSV Jeddeloh	3-1 W	0-2 L
Eintracht Norderstedt	0-2 L	5-0 W
SV Todesfelde	2-2 D	4-6 L
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 1 L	1 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Hamburg SV II (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Hamburg SV II

DWLDLLWLWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
11/09	SC Weiche Flensburg 08 Germany Regionalliga North	0-2	0-4	–	–	L
05/09	SSV Jeddeloh Germany Regionalliga North	2-1	3-1	–	–	W
30/08	Eintracht Norderstedt Germany Regionalliga North	0-0	0-2	–	–	L
26/08	Vfb Lubeck Germany Regionalliga North	1-1	3-1	–	–	W
21/08	Eimsbutteler TV Germany Regionalliga North	0-0	0-2	–	–	L
16/08	SV Drochtersen-Assel Germany Regionalliga North	0-4	1-4	–	–	L
12/08	SV Todesfelde Germany Regionalliga North	1-1	2-2	–	–	D
07/08	Kickers Emden Germany Regionalliga North	0-2	2-3	–	–	L
16/05	TuS Blau-Weiss Lohne Germany Regionalliga North	4-0	5-1	–	–	W
10/05	St Pauli II Germany Regionalliga North	0-1	1-1	–	–	D

St Pauli II

DLLLLWLDLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
13/09	Eintracht Norderstedt Germany Regionalliga North	2-0	5-0	–	–	W
04/09	Hannover II Germany Regionalliga North	2-2	2-3	–	–	L
30/08	Phonix Lubeck Germany Regionalliga North	0-1	2-2	–	–	D
26/08	FSV Schoningen Germany Regionalliga North	2-1	2-3	–	–	L
16/08	Werder Bremen II Germany Regionalliga North	2-0	2-1	–	–	W
12/08	SSV Jeddeloh Germany Regionalliga North	0-1	0-2	–	–	L
09/08	Bremer SV Germany Regionalliga North	0-1	0-1	–	–	L
02/08	SV Todesfelde Germany Regionalliga North	1-1	4-6	–	–	L
16/05	SV Meppen Germany Regionalliga North	1-3	2-4	–	–	L
10/05	Hamburg SV II Germany Regionalliga North	1-0	1-1	–	–	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Hamburg SV II vs St Pauli II?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Hamburg SV II win (48%). Probabilities: Hamburg SV II 48%, draw 23%, St Pauli II 29%.

How many goals are expected in Hamburg SV II vs St Pauli II?

The model expects 3.71 goals (Hamburg SV II 2.1 · St Pauli II 1.61), with a 54% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Hamburg SV II vs St Pauli II?

The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.