Football · Germany Regionalliga North · 26/09, 14:00

Prediction: St Pauli II vs Kickers Emden

Team pages: St Pauli II · Kickers Emden

Prediction summary

Expected goals

4.21Total

St Pauli II2.24

Kickers Emden1.97

1X2

44% 21% 34%

St Pauli II Draw Kickers Emden

Markets

Under 4.5 goals 59% Both teams to score 63%

Most likely score

2-1 7%

Recent form · 10 last

St Pauli II 3-1-6 (W-D-L)

LLLWLDLWWL

Kickers Emden 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

DWLLDDWWLW

Head-to-head

St Pauli II 4–1–1 Kickers Emden (6 last)

Kickers Emden0-1St Pauli II
St Pauli II1-1Kickers Emden
St Pauli II1-0Kickers Emden
Kickers Emden0-1St Pauli II
Kickers Emden0-3St Pauli II
St Pauli II2-3Kickers Emden

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 78%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours St Pauli II: 4-1-1.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	St Pauli II	Kickers Emden
Goals for / against (FT)	2 / 1.9	2.9 / 3
Goals for / against (HT)	1.1 / 0.7	1.4 / 1.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/30/30%	40/20/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	– / –	– / –
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	– / –	– / –

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 3.751.97

Under 3.751.79

Diff.: 1.15 · xG: 4.9

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 15:21

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	3.00 → 3.00	Pinn 3.00
X	3.87 → 3.87	Pinn 3.87
2	2.00 → 2.00	Pinn 2.00

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 9.2%

Time*	1	X	2
14:43 +38’	3.00	3.87	2.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · St Pauli II 4–1–1 Kickers Emden

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Date	Home	Score	Away
11/04/26 Germany Regionalliga North	Kickers Emden	0-1 HT 0-0	St Pauli II
01/10/25 Germany Regionalliga North	St Pauli II	1-1 HT 1-0	Kickers Emden
02/03/25 Germany Regionalliga North	St Pauli II	1-0 HT 0-0	Kickers Emden
30/08/24 Germany Regionalliga North	Kickers Emden	0-1 HT 0-1	St Pauli II
29/04/23 Germany Regionalliga North	Kickers Emden	0-3 HT 0-1	St Pauli II
23/10/22 Germany Regionalliga North	St Pauli II	2-3 HT 0-2	Kickers Emden

Standings · Germany Regionalliga North

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Phonix Lubeck	10	7	2	1	28	6	23
2	FSV Schoningen	10	7	2	1	16	12	23
3	SC Weiche Flensburg 08	10	7	1	2	30	12	22
4	VfB Oldenburg	10	7	1	2	31	14	22
5	SV Drochtersen-Assel	10	7	0	3	30	13	21
6	Hannover II	10	5	3	2	21	14	18
7	Kickers Emden	10	4	3	3	29	30	15
8	SV Atlas Delmenhorst	10	3	3	4	14	20	12
9	Werder Bremen II	10	3	2	5	16	18	11
10	St Pauli II	10	3	1	6	20	19	10
11	SSV Jeddeloh	10	3	1	6	16	21	10
12	Hamburg SV II	10	3	1	6	15	22	10
13	Eintracht Norderstedt	10	2	4	4	19	27	10
14	HSC Hannover	10	2	4	4	14	24	10
15	Eimsbutteler TV	10	3	1	6	19	32	10
16	Vfb Lubeck	10	1	5	4	11	19	8
17	Bremer SV	10	2	2	6	9	18	8
18	SV Todesfelde	10	2	2	6	17	34	8

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	St Pauli II	Kickers Emden
SV Drochtersen-Assel	0-1 L	2-8 L
Hamburg SV II	3-0 W	3-2 W
Eintracht Norderstedt	5-0 W	2-6 L
Hannover II	2-3 L	1-1 D
FSV Schoningen	2-3 L	5-0 W
SSV Jeddeloh	0-2 L	4-1 W
Bremer SV	0-1 L	3-2 W
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 5 L	4 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Kickers Emden (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

St Pauli II

LLLWLDLWWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
19/09	SV Drochtersen-Assel Germany Regionalliga North	0-0	0-1	–	–	L
16/09	Hamburg SV II Germany Regionalliga North	2-0	3-0	–	–	W
13/09	Eintracht Norderstedt Germany Regionalliga North	2-0	5-0	–	–	W
04/09	Hannover II Germany Regionalliga North	2-2	2-3	–	–	L
30/08	Phonix Lubeck Germany Regionalliga North	0-1	2-2	–	–	D
26/08	FSV Schoningen Germany Regionalliga North	2-1	2-3	–	–	L
16/08	Werder Bremen II Germany Regionalliga North	2-0	2-1	–	–	W
12/08	SSV Jeddeloh Germany Regionalliga North	0-1	0-2	–	–	L
09/08	Bremer SV Germany Regionalliga North	0-1	0-1	–	–	L
02/08	SV Todesfelde Germany Regionalliga North	1-1	4-6	–	–	L

Kickers Emden

DWLLDDWWLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
19/09	FSV Schoningen Germany Regionalliga North	3-0	5-0	–	–	W
15/09	SV Drochtersen-Assel Germany Regionalliga North	2-4	2-8	–	–	L
12/09	SSV Jeddeloh Germany Regionalliga North	3-1	4-1	–	–	W
06/09	Bremer SV Germany Regionalliga North	0-0	3-2	–	–	W
29/08	Hannover II Germany Regionalliga North	0-0	1-1	–	–	D
26/08	SV Atlas Delmenhorst Germany Regionalliga North	1-2	3-3	–	–	D
15/08	Eimsbutteler TV Germany Regionalliga North	2-1	2-3	–	–	L
12/08	Eintracht Norderstedt Germany Regionalliga North	0-2	2-6	–	–	L
07/08	Hamburg SV II Germany Regionalliga North	2-0	3-2	–	–	W
01/08	HSC Hannover Germany Regionalliga North	1-2	4-4	–	–	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in St Pauli II vs Kickers Emden?

According to our model, the most likely result is a St Pauli II win (44%). Probabilities: St Pauli II 44%, draw 21%, Kickers Emden 34%.

How many goals are expected in St Pauli II vs Kickers Emden?

The model expects 4.21 goals (St Pauli II 2.24 · Kickers Emden 1.97), with a 51% chance of over 3.75 goals.

Will both teams score in St Pauli II vs Kickers Emden?

The model gives a 63% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.