Football · Germany Regionalliga North · 07/11, 18:00

Prediction: VfB Oldenburg vs St Pauli II

Team pages: VfB Oldenburg · St Pauli II

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.72Total

VfB Oldenburg2.31

St Pauli II1.41

1X2

57% 21% 22%

VfB Oldenburg Draw St Pauli II

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 59%

Most likely score

2-1 9%

Recent form · 10 last

VfB Oldenburg 6-1-3 (W-D-L)

WLWWLLWWWD

St Pauli II 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

DLWWLLLLWD

Head-to-head

VfB Oldenburg 4–2–0 St Pauli II (6 last)

VfB Oldenburg4-1St Pauli II
St Pauli II1-1VfB Oldenburg
St Pauli II2-2VfB Oldenburg
VfB Oldenburg4-0St Pauli II
VfB Oldenburg2-0St Pauli II
St Pauli II0-1VfB Oldenburg

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 68%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours VfB Oldenburg (rating 1553 vs 1472).
H2H favours VfB Oldenburg: 4-2-0.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	VfB Oldenburg	St Pauli II
Goals for / against (FT)	2.7 / 1.6	2 / 1.7
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.8	0.9 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/30/30%	30/30/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	– / –	– / –
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	– / –	– / –

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 3.52.00

Under 3.51.79

Diff.: 0.5 · xG: 4

Market movement

Match winner · 3 moves · last 11:59

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	1.45 → 1.50▲	Pinn 1.50
X	5.64 → 5.38▼	Pinn 5.38
2	4.57 → 4.28▼	Pinn 4.28

See the full journey (3)

Pinnacle margin 8.5%

Time*	1	X	2
20:46 +41’	1.45	5.64	4.57
22:59 +23’	1.46▲	5.57▼	4.55▼
11:42 +17’	1.50▲	5.38▼	4.28▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Other markets

Over/Under 3.5

Go premium to see every market's movement

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · VfB Oldenburg 4–2–0 St Pauli II

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Date	Home	Score	Away
19/04/26 Germany Regionalliga North	VfB Oldenburg	4-1 HT 2-0	St Pauli II
02/12/25 Germany Regionalliga North	St Pauli II	1-1 HT 0-1	VfB Oldenburg
14/03/25 Germany Regionalliga North	St Pauli II	2-2 HT 2-1	VfB Oldenburg
14/09/24 Germany Regionalliga North	VfB Oldenburg	4-0 HT 1-0	St Pauli II
10/05/24 Germany Regionalliga North	VfB Oldenburg	2-0 HT 1-0	St Pauli II
10/11/23 Germany Regionalliga North	St Pauli II	0-1 HT 0-1	VfB Oldenburg

Standings · Germany Regionalliga North

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	SC Weiche Flensburg 08	16	11	2	3	44	18	35
2	Hannover II	16	10	3	3	38	25	33
3	SV Drochtersen-Assel	16	10	2	4	49	23	32
4	VfB Oldenburg	15	10	2	3	42	20	32
5	Phonix Lubeck	15	9	4	2	41	14	31
6	FSV Schoningen	15	7	3	5	22	27	24
7	SV Atlas Delmenhorst	15	5	6	4	22	23	21
8	Kickers Emden	17	5	6	6	38	43	21
9	Vfb Lubeck	16	4	7	5	23	29	19
10	Hamburg SV II	16	6	1	9	28	35	19
11	Werder Bremen II	16	5	3	8	27	31	18
12	HSC Hannover	16	4	6	6	24	33	18
13	Eimsbutteler TV	15	4	4	7	23	37	16
14	SSV Jeddeloh	16	4	3	9	23	37	15
15	SV Todesfelde	16	4	3	9	27	50	15
16	St Pauli II	15	4	2	9	28	30	14
17	Eintracht Norderstedt	14	3	4	7	29	39	13
18	Bremer SV	15	3	3	9	13	27	12

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	VfB Oldenburg	St Pauli II
HSC Hannover	2-1 W	3-4 L
Hamburg SV II	2-1 W	3-0 W
Kickers Emden	4-0 W	0-2 L
SC Weiche Flensburg 08	2-3 L	3-0 W
Hannover II	4-3 W	2-3 L
Eimsbutteler TV	7-3 W	1-1 D
Record vs common	5 W 0 D 1 L	2 W 1 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: VfB Oldenburg (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

VfB Oldenburg

WLWWLLWWWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
30/10	SV Atlas Delmenhorst Germany Regionalliga North	0-0	1-1	–	–	D
24/10	HSC Hannover Germany Regionalliga North	2-1	2-1	–	–	W
18/10	Hamburg SV II Germany Regionalliga North	0-0	2-1	–	–	W
11/10	Kickers Emden Germany Regionalliga North	1-0	4-0	–	–	W
03/10	SC Weiche Flensburg 08 Germany Regionalliga North	1-1	2-3	–	–	L
19/09	SSV Jeddeloh Germany Regionalliga North	0-2	1-3	–	–	L
16/09	Bremer SV Germany Regionalliga North	2-0	4-0	–	–	W
11/09	Hannover II Germany Regionalliga North	0-2	4-3	–	–	W
06/09	FSV Schoningen Germany Regionalliga North	0-1	0-1	–	–	L
29/08	Eimsbutteler TV Germany Regionalliga North	2-1	7-3	–	–	W

St Pauli II

DLWWLLLLWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
01/11	Eimsbutteler TV Germany Regionalliga North	0-1	1-1	–	–	D
25/10	SC Weiche Flensburg 08 Germany Regionalliga North	2-0	3-0	–	–	W
17/10	Vfb Lubeck Germany Regionalliga North	0-1	1-4	–	–	L
11/10	HSC Hannover Germany Regionalliga North	1-1	3-4	–	–	L
26/09	Kickers Emden Germany Regionalliga North	0-1	0-2	–	–	L
19/09	SV Drochtersen-Assel Germany Regionalliga North	0-0	0-1	–	–	L
16/09	Hamburg SV II Germany Regionalliga North	2-0	3-0	–	–	W
13/09	Eintracht Norderstedt Germany Regionalliga North	2-0	5-0	–	–	W
04/09	Hannover II Germany Regionalliga North	2-2	2-3	–	–	L
30/08	Phonix Lubeck Germany Regionalliga North	0-1	2-2	–	–	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in VfB Oldenburg vs St Pauli II?

According to our model, the most likely result is a VfB Oldenburg win (57%). Probabilities: VfB Oldenburg 57%, draw 21%, St Pauli II 22%.

How many goals are expected in VfB Oldenburg vs St Pauli II?

The model expects 3.72 goals (VfB Oldenburg 2.31 · St Pauli II 1.41), with a 51% chance of under 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in VfB Oldenburg vs St Pauli II?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.