Football · Japan Football League · 13/09, 09:00
Prediction: Criacao Shinjuku vs Maruyasu Okazaki
Team pages: Criacao Shinjuku · Maruyasu Okazaki
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.53Total
Criacao Shinjuku1.3
Maruyasu Okazaki1.23
1X2
Criacao Shinjuku
Draw
Maruyasu Okazaki
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 54%
Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Criacao Shinjuku
4-4-2 (W-D-L)
Maruyasu Okazaki
3-2-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Criacao Shinjuku
2–1–3
Maruyasu Okazaki
(6 last)
- Maruyasu Okazaki1-0Criacao Shinjuku
- Criacao Shinjuku2-0Maruyasu Okazaki
- Maruyasu Okazaki1-2Criacao Shinjuku
- Criacao Shinjuku1-1Maruyasu Okazaki
- Criacao Shinjuku1-2Maruyasu Okazaki
- Maruyasu Okazaki2-1Criacao Shinjuku
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Criacao Shinjuku 1477 · Maruyasu Okazaki 1509
| Criacao Shinjuku | Draw | Maruyasu Okazaki | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 37% | 29% | 34% |
| Market | 37% | 29% | 34% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.53 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 53%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Maruyasu Okazaki: 3-1-2.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Criacao Shinjuku | Maruyasu Okazaki | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.3 / 1.2 | 1.2 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.5 | 0.6 / 1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/20/30% | 10/50/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 0.9 / 3.8 | 1.9 / 4.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.2 / 0 | 2 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Criacao Shinjuku 2–1–3 Maruyasu Okazaki
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13/07/25 Japan Football League | Maruyasu Okazaki | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Criacao Shinjuku |
| 09/03/25 Japan Football League | Criacao Shinjuku | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Maruyasu Okazaki |
| 27/10/24 Japan Football League | Maruyasu Okazaki | 1-2 HT 1-1 | Criacao Shinjuku |
| 29/06/24 Japan Football League | Criacao Shinjuku | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Maruyasu Okazaki |
| 29/04/23 Japan Football League | Criacao Shinjuku | 1-2 HT 0-1 | Maruyasu Okazaki |
| 06/11/22 Japan Football League | Maruyasu Okazaki | 2-1 HT 0-0 | Criacao Shinjuku |
Standings · Japan Football League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Verspah Oita | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 6 |
| 2 | Azul Claro Numazu | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 6 |
| 2 | YSCC | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 6 |
| 4 | Honda FC | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 6 |
| 5 | Criacao Shinjuku | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 |
| 6 | Minebea Mitsumi | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4 |
| 7 | Reinmeer Aomori | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| 8 | Maruyasu Okazaki | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 3 |
| 9 | Vonds Ichihara | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| 10 | Okinawa SV | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 |
| 11 | Grulla Morioka FC | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 |
| 12 | Briobecca Urayasu SC | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 | J-Lease FC | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 | Yokogawa Musashino FC | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 | FC Tiamo Hirakata | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 | Veertien Mie | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 0 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Criacao Shinjuku | Maruyasu Okazaki |
|---|---|---|
| Yokogawa Musashino FC | 1-0 W | 0-1 L |
| Asuka FC | 0-2 L | 1-1 D |
| Reilac Shiga | 2-2 D | 1-1 D |
| Minebea Mitsumi | 1-1 D | 3-2 W |
| Honda FC | 0-2 L | 1-2 L |
| Verspah Oita | 2-1 W | 1-2 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 2 D 2 L | 1 W 2 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Maruyasu Okazaki (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Criacao Shinjuku
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/09 | Vonds Ichihara Japan Football League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 30/08 | Yokogawa Musashino FC Japan Football League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 23/11 | Asuka FC Japan Football League |
0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 1 | L |
| 16/11 | Grulla Morioka FC Japan Football League |
1-0 | 3-1 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 09/11 | Veertien Mie Japan Football League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 01/11 | Reilac Shiga Japan Football League |
1-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 25/10 | Minebea Mitsumi Japan Football League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 3 | D |
| 18/10 | Honda FC Japan Football League |
0-2 | 0-2 | 1 | 1 | L |
| 11/10 | YSCC Japan Football League |
0-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 28/09 | Verspah Oita Japan Football League |
2-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 1 | W |
Maruyasu Okazaki
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/09 | FC Tiamo Hirakata Japan Football League |
3-0 | 3-1 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 29/08 | Verspah Oita Japan Football League |
1-1 | 1-2 | 8 | 0 | L |
| 23/11 | Minebea Mitsumi Japan Football League |
0-2 | 3-2 | 5 | 0 | W |
| 15/11 | Asuka FC Japan Football League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 08/11 | Reilac Shiga Japan Football League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | D |
| 01/11 | Yokogawa Musashino FC Japan Football League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 10 | 2 | L |
| 26/10 | Honda FC Japan Football League |
0-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 19/10 | Briobecca Urayasu SC Japan Football League |
0-2 | 0-2 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 13/10 | Verspah Oita Japan Football League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | L |
| 27/09 | FC Tiamo Hirakata Japan Football League |
0-1 | 2-1 | 6 | 4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Criacao Shinjuku vs Maruyasu Okazaki?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Criacao Shinjuku win (37%). Probabilities: Criacao Shinjuku 37%, draw 29%, Maruyasu Okazaki 34%.
How many goals are expected in Criacao Shinjuku vs Maruyasu Okazaki?
The model expects 2.53 goals (Criacao Shinjuku 1.3 · Maruyasu Okazaki 1.23), with a 51% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Criacao Shinjuku vs Maruyasu Okazaki?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.