Football · Japan Football League · 14/11, 05:00
Prediction: Okinawa SV vs Yokogawa Musashino FC
Team pages: Okinawa SV · Yokogawa Musashino FC
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.79Total
Okinawa SV1.79
Yokogawa Musashino FC1.01
1X2
Okinawa SV
Draw
Yokogawa Musashino FC
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 53%
Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
1-1 12%
Recent form · 10 last
Okinawa SV
4-5-1 (W-D-L)
Yokogawa Musashino FC
2-2-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Okinawa SV
1–2–3
Yokogawa Musashino FC
(6 last)
- Yokogawa Musashino FC0-0Okinawa SV
- Okinawa SV0-1Yokogawa Musashino FC
- Okinawa SV4-0Yokogawa Musashino FC
- Yokogawa Musashino FC1-1Okinawa SV
- Yokogawa Musashino FC1-0Okinawa SV
- Okinawa SV0-3Yokogawa Musashino FC
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Okinawa SV 1541 · Yokogawa Musashino FC 1468
| Okinawa SV | Draw | Yokogawa Musashino FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 55% | 25% | 20% |
| Market | 55% | 24% | 21% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.79 goals · Bet365 line 2.75
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 54%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Okinawa SV (rating 1541 vs 1468).
- H2H favours Yokogawa Musashino FC: 3-2-1.
- High corners: 12.9 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Okinawa SV | Yokogawa Musashino FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.4 / 0.8 | 1.6 / 1.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.6 | 0.9 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/30/40% | 40/30/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.8 / 6.9 | 3.2 / 6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.2 / 0.2 | 2.1 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Okinawa SV 1–2–3 Yokogawa Musashino FC
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18/10/25 Japan Football League | Yokogawa Musashino FC | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Okinawa SV |
| 06/07/25 Japan Football League | Okinawa SV | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Yokogawa Musashino FC |
| 09/11/24 Japan Football League | Okinawa SV | 4-0 HT 3-0 | Yokogawa Musashino FC |
| 14/04/24 Japan Football League | Yokogawa Musashino FC | 1-1 | Okinawa SV |
| 26/11/23 Japan Football League | Yokogawa Musashino FC | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Okinawa SV |
| 25/06/23 Japan Football League | Okinawa SV | 0-3 HT 0-1 | Yokogawa Musashino FC |
Standings · Japan Football League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Criacao Shinjuku | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 8 | 23 |
| 2 | Honda FC | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 11 | 20 |
| 3 | Verspah Oita | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 14 | 11 | 18 |
| 3 | Vonds Ichihara | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 14 | 11 | 18 |
| 5 | Azul Claro Numazu | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 16 | 10 | 17 |
| 6 | Okinawa SV | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 15 | 10 | 17 |
| 7 | YSCC | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 20 | 20 | 17 |
| 8 | Reinmeer Aomori | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 12 | 17 |
| 9 | Briobecca Urayasu SC | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 16 | 16 | 16 |
| 10 | Veertien Mie | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 16 | 14 | 15 |
| 11 | Minebea Mitsumi | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 15 | 14 |
| 12 | J-Lease FC | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 15 | 12 |
| 13 | Grulla Morioka FC | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 11 | 14 | 11 |
| 14 | FC Tiamo Hirakata | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 20 | 9 |
| 15 | Yokogawa Musashino FC | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 16 | 17 | 8 |
| 16 | Maruyasu Okazaki | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 12 | 20 | 7 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Okinawa SV | Yokogawa Musashino FC |
|---|---|---|
| Veertien Mie | 1-1 D | 0-3 L |
| Vonds Ichihara | 1-1 D | 1-2 L |
| J-Lease FC | 0-0 D | 3-0 W |
| Briobecca Urayasu SC | 0-2 L | 2-3 L |
| FC Tiamo Hirakata | 2-1 W | 6-0 W |
| Reinmeer Aomori | 4-1 W | 0-1 L |
| Minebea Mitsumi | 1-1 D | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 2 W 4 D 1 L | 2 W 1 D 4 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Okinawa SV
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/11 | Grulla Morioka FC Japan Football League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 01/11 | Veertien Mie Japan Football League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 8 | 5 | D |
| 24/10 | Honda FC Japan Football League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 17/10 | Vonds Ichihara Japan Football League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 0 | D |
| 10/10 | J-Lease FC Japan Football League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 3 | D |
| 04/10 | Briobecca Urayasu SC Japan Football League |
0-2 | 0-2 | 11 | 5 | L |
| 27/09 | Criacao Shinjuku Japan Football League |
2-0 | 3-0 | 0 | 0 | W |
| 21/09 | FC Tiamo Hirakata Japan Football League |
0-1 | 2-1 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 12/09 | Reinmeer Aomori Japan Football League |
1-0 | 4-1 | – | – | W |
| 05/09 | Minebea Mitsumi Japan Football League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 10 | 3 | D |
Yokogawa Musashino FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/11 | Minebea Mitsumi Japan Football League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 2 | D |
| 04/11 | J-Lease FC Japan Football League |
2-0 | 3-0 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 31/10 | Verspah Oita Japan Football League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 25/10 | Vonds Ichihara Japan Football League |
0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 17/10 | Briobecca Urayasu SC Japan Football League |
1-0 | 2-3 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 11/10 | FC Tiamo Hirakata Japan Football League |
4-0 | 6-0 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 03/10 | Azul Claro Numazu Japan Football League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 9 | 3 | L |
| 27/09 | Reinmeer Aomori Japan Football League |
0-0 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 19/09 | Veertien Mie Japan Football League |
0-2 | 0-3 | 12 | 3 | L |
| 05/09 | YSCC Japan Football League |
1-1 | 2-3 | 5 | 1 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Okinawa SV vs Yokogawa Musashino FC?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Okinawa SV win (55%). Probabilities: Okinawa SV 55%, draw 25%, Yokogawa Musashino FC 20%.
How many goals are expected in Okinawa SV vs Yokogawa Musashino FC?
The model expects 2.79 goals (Okinawa SV 1.79 · Yokogawa Musashino FC 1.01), with a 52% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Okinawa SV vs Yokogawa Musashino FC?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.