Football · Panama LPF · 11/10, 23:00

Prediction: Union Cocle vs Herrera FC

Team pages: Union Cocle · Herrera FC

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.69Total
Union Cocle1.64
Herrera FC1.05
1X2
50% 27% 23%
Union Cocle Draw Herrera FC
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Union Cocle 1-2-7 (W-D-L)
WLDLDLLLLL
Herrera FC 1-2-7 (W-D-L)
DLDLLLLLLW
Head-to-head
Union Cocle 2–1 Herrera FC (3 last)
  • Herrera FC1-0Union Cocle
  • Union Cocle4-0Herrera FC
  • Herrera FC0-1Union Cocle
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Union Cocle 1429 · Herrera FC 1411
Union CocleDrawHerrera FC
Our model50%27%23%
Market50%27%23%
Estimated total (ours) 2.69 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 58%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours Union Cocle: 2-0-1.
  • Cards-heavy: 11.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Union CocleHerrera FC
Goals for / against (FT)0.8 / 20.8 / 2.4
Goals for / against (HT)0.4 / 0.80.5 / 1.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)20/30/50%10/30/60%
Corners (HT / FT)1.6 / 3.12.4 / 4.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)5.6 / 0.15.6 / 0.4

Head-to-head (H2H) · Union Cocle 2–0–1 Herrera FC

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DateHomeScoreAway
26/07/26
Panama LPF
Herrera FC1-0
HT 1-0
Union Cocle
02/05/26
Panama LPF
Union Cocle4-0
HT 2-0
Herrera FC
12/02/26
Panama LPF
Herrera FC0-1
HT 0-0
Union Cocle

Standings · Panama LPF · Apertura, West

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 San Francisco FC 11623 221420
2 Veraguas CD 11461 171518
3 CA Independiente de la Chorrera 11254 151711
4 CD Universitario 11254 101211
5 Herrera FC 11227 9248
6 Union Cocle 11128 8215

Common opponents 10 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentUnion CocleHerrera FC
Sporting San Miguelito 1-3 L 1-3 L
Plaza Amador 1-2 L 1-4 L
UMECIT 0-1 L 1-3 L
CD Arabe Unido 1-4 L 1-2 L
Tauro FC 0-2 L 0-6 L
Alianza FC Panama 2-2 D 1-0 W
CA Independiente de la Chorrera 0-3 L 0-0 D
CD Universitario 1-1 D 0-1 L
Veraguas CD 0-1 L 2-2 D
San Francisco FC 2-1 W 1-3 L
Record vs common 1 W 2 D 7 L 1 W 2 D 7 L

Better against common opponents: Union Cocle (5 of 10 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Union Cocle

WLDLDLLLLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
06/10 Sporting San Miguelito
Panama LPF
1-3 1-3 26 L
27/09 Plaza Amador
Panama LPF
0-1 1-2 04 L
22/09 UMECIT
Panama LPF
0-0 0-1 46 L
12/09 CD Arabe Unido
Panama LPF
0-1 1-4 24 L
06/09 Tauro FC
Panama LPF
0-1 0-2 412 L
30/08 Alianza FC Panama
Panama LPF
1-0 2-2 56 D
23/08 CA Independiente de la Chorrera
Panama LPF
0-1 0-3 15 L
16/08 CD Universitario
Panama LPF
0-0 1-1 –– D
09/08 Veraguas CD
Panama LPF
0-0 0-1 85 L
02/08 San Francisco FC
Panama LPF
2-1 2-1 23 W

Herrera FC

DLDLLLLLLW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
04/10 Alianza FC Panama
Panama LPF
1-0 1-0 210 W
26/09 CD Arabe Unido
Panama LPF
0-1 1-2 16 L
20/09 Tauro FC
Panama LPF
0-2 0-6 97 L
13/09 UMECIT
Panama LPF
1-3 1-3 45 L
06/09 Plaza Amador
Panama LPF
1-2 1-4 13 L
31/08 Sporting San Miguelito
Panama LPF
0-2 1-3 47 L
23/08 CD Universitario
Panama LPF
0-0 0-1 47 L
16/08 Veraguas CD
Panama LPF
2-2 2-2 56 D
08/08 San Francisco FC
Panama LPF
0-2 1-3 36 L
04/08 CA Independiente de la Chorrera
Panama LPF
0-0 0-0 83 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Union Cocle vs Herrera FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Union Cocle win (50%). Probabilities: Union Cocle 50%, draw 27%, Herrera FC 23%.

How many goals are expected in Union Cocle vs Herrera FC?

The model expects 2.69 goals (Union Cocle 1.64 · Herrera FC 1.05), with a 51% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Union Cocle vs Herrera FC?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.