Football · Panama LPF · 13/10, 03:30

Prediction: Sporting San Miguelito vs Tauro FC

Team pages: Sporting San Miguelito · Tauro FC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.2Total

Sporting San Miguelito1.08

Tauro FC1.12

1X2

34% 30% 36%

Sporting San Miguelito Draw Tauro FC

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 62% Both teams to score 50%

Most likely score

1-1 15%

Recent form · 10 last

Sporting San Miguelito 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

LDWLWDLLDW

Tauro FC 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

DLLLWWWWLL

Head-to-head

Sporting San Miguelito 4–2–0 Tauro FC (6 last)

Tauro FC0-0Sporting San Miguelito
Sporting San Miguelito2-0Tauro FC
Tauro FC0-0Sporting San Miguelito
Tauro FC0-1Sporting San Miguelito
Sporting San Miguelito2-0Tauro FC
Tauro FC0-1Sporting San Miguelito

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Sporting San Miguelito 1503 · Tauro FC 1477

	Sporting San Miguelito	Draw	Tauro FC
Our model	33%	32%	35%
Market	35%	28%	37%

Estimated total (ours) 2.2 goals · Bet365 line 2.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 54%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Sporting San Miguelito: 4-2-0.
Cards-heavy: 12 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Sporting San Miguelito	Tauro FC
Goals for / against (FT)	1.2 / 1.3	1.6 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.6	0.7 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/20/40%	40/0/60%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.8 / 4.4	2.5 / 5.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4 / 0.1	8 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

12.55

X3.20

22.40

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.98

2 (0)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.85

Under 2.251.95

Diff.: 0.45 · xG: 2.7

Market movement

Match winner · 3 moves · last 12:08

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.30 → 2.55▲	Pinn 2.76 ★
X	3.20 → 3.20	Bet365 3.20
2	2.70 → 2.40▼	Pinn 2.45

See the full journey (3)

Bet365 margin 12.1% Pinnacle margin 9%

Time*	1	X	2
23:54 +5’	2.30	3.20	2.70
21:06 +8’	2.45▲	3.20	2.50▼
11:58 +10’	2.55▲	3.20	2.40▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
21:40 +139’	2.85	2.96	2.48
19:56 +79’	2.81▼	2.96	2.52▲
02:11 +1’	2.76▼	3.13▲	2.45▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Sporting San Miguelito 4–2–0 Tauro FC

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
28/07/26 Panama LPF	Tauro FC	0-0 HT 0-0	Sporting San Miguelito
26/04/26 Panama LPF	Sporting San Miguelito	2-0 HT 1-0	Tauro FC
26/01/26 Panama LPF	Tauro FC	0-0 HT 0-0	Sporting San Miguelito
02/11/25 Panama LPF	Tauro FC	0-1 HT 0-1	Sporting San Miguelito
04/08/25 Panama LPF	Sporting San Miguelito	2-0 HT 1-0	Tauro FC
07/04/25 Panama LPF	Tauro FC	0-1 HT 0-0	Sporting San Miguelito

Standings · Panama LPF · Apertura, East

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Plaza Amador	11	7	3	1	26	16	24
2	CD Arabe Unido	11	6	4	1	16	8	22
3	UMECIT	11	4	4	3	10	9	16
4	Tauro FC	11	4	2	5	16	13	14
5	Alianza FC Panama	11	3	5	3	11	10	14
6	Sporting San Miguelito	11	3	4	4	12	13	13

Common opponents 10 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Sporting San Miguelito	Tauro FC
Union Cocle	3-1 W	2-0 W
Veraguas CD	1-1 D	1-2 L
CA Independiente de la Chorrera	3-4 L	2-1 W
San Francisco FC	0-2 L	1-3 L
CD Universitario	1-1 D	1-0 W
Herrera FC	3-1 W	6-0 W
CD Arabe Unido	0-1 L	0-1 L
UMECIT	1-0 W	1-1 D
Alianza FC Panama	0-0 D	0-2 L
Plaza Amador	0-2 L	2-3 L
Record vs common	3 W 3 D 4 L	4 W 1 D 5 L

Better against common opponents: Tauro FC (4 of 10 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Sporting San Miguelito

LDWLWDLLDW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
06/10	Union Cocle Panama LPF	3-1	3-1	2	6	W
28/09	Veraguas CD Panama LPF	1-0	1-1	–	–	D
21/09	CA Independiente de la Chorrera Panama LPF	0-2	3-4	3	4	L
15/09	San Francisco FC Panama LPF	0-1	0-2	4	1	L
06/09	CD Universitario Panama LPF	1-0	1-1	6	5	D
31/08	Herrera FC Panama LPF	2-0	3-1	3	7	W
22/08	CD Arabe Unido Panama LPF	0-1	0-1	6	6	L
16/08	UMECIT Panama LPF	0-0	1-0	–	–	W
10/08	Alianza FC Panama Panama LPF	0-0	0-0	8	4	D
02/08	Plaza Amador Panama LPF	0-1	0-2	3	0	L

Tauro FC

DLLLWWWWLL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
04/10	Veraguas CD Panama LPF	0-2	1-2	3	13	L
27/09	San Francisco FC Panama LPF	1-2	1-3	9	4	L
20/09	Herrera FC Panama LPF	2-0	6-0	4	7	W
13/09	CD Universitario Panama LPF	1-0	1-0	3	8	W
06/09	Union Cocle Panama LPF	1-0	2-0	4	12	W
29/08	CA Independiente de la Chorrera Panama LPF	1-0	2-1	9	10	W
25/08	Alianza FC Panama Panama LPF	0-1	0-2	2	6	L
18/08	CD Arabe Unido Panama LPF	0-1	0-1	6	8	L
09/08	Plaza Amador Panama LPF	1-2	2-3	6	6	L
02/08	UMECIT Panama LPF	0-1	1-1	5	9	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Sporting San Miguelito vs Tauro FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Tauro FC win (36%). Probabilities: Sporting San Miguelito 34%, draw 30%, Tauro FC 36%.

How many goals are expected in Sporting San Miguelito vs Tauro FC?

The model expects 2.2 goals (Sporting San Miguelito 1.08 · Tauro FC 1.12), with a 51% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Sporting San Miguelito vs Tauro FC?

The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.