Prediction: Sidama Bunna vs Welwalo Adigrat
Expected goals: 2.19 (Sidama Bunna 1.41 · Welwalo Adigrat 0.78). The model gives 50% home, 30% draw, 19% away. Over 1.75 goals (55%) and not both to score (51%). Most likely score: 1-0.
Over its last 10 matches, Sidama Bunna sits at 4-2-4 (W-D-L), while Welwalo Adigrat arrives on a 2-6-2 run. In the last 6 head-to-head meetings, Sidama Bunna won 4 and Welwalo Adigrat 0, with 2 draws.
| Sidama Bunna | Draw | Welwalo Adigrat | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 51% | 30% | 20% |
| Market | 50% | 31% | 19% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- H2H favours Sidama Bunna: 4-2-0.
- Cards-heavy: 8.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Sidama Bunna | Welwalo Adigrat | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 0.8 | 0.6 / 0.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.3 | 0.5 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/50/10% | 10/80/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.9 / 3.8 | 1 / 3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.9 / 0.1 | 4 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Sidama Bunna 4–2–0 Welwalo Adigrat
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22/02/26 Ethiopia Premier League | Sidama Bunna | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Welwalo Adigrat |
| 18/10/25 Ethiopia Premier League | Welwalo Adigrat | 1-4 HT 1-0 | Sidama Bunna |
| 28/02/25 Ethiopia Premier League | Sidama Bunna | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Welwalo Adigrat |
| 03/10/24 Ethiopia Premier League | Welwalo Adigrat | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Sidama Bunna |
| 30/01/20 Ethiopia Premier League | Sidama Bunna | 5-0 HT 1-0 | Welwalo Adigrat |
| 07/07/19 Ethiopia Premier League | Sidama Bunna | 3-0 HT 1-0 | Welwalo Adigrat |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Sidama Bunna | Welwalo Adigrat |
|---|---|---|
| Ethio Electric FC | 0-1 L | 2-1 W |
| Bahir Dar Kenema FC | 1-0 W | 0-0 D |
| Negelle Arsi | 1-1 D | 1-2 L |
| Adama City | 1-0 W | 0-0 D |
| Ethiopian Insurance FC | 2-2 D | 1-1 D |
| Arba Minch | 3-0 W | 1-0 W |
| Hadiya Hossana | 0-1 L | 0-1 L |
| Shaggar City | 0-1 L | 0-0 D |
| Record vs common | 3 W 2 D 3 L | 2 W 4 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Sidama Bunna (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sidama Bunna
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/07 | Ethio Electric FC Ethiopia Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 28/06 | Bahir Dar Kenema FC Ethiopia Premier League |
1-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 20/06 | Negelle Arsi Ethiopia Premier League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 7 | D |
| 14/06 | Ethiopian Coffee Ethiopia Premier League |
1-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 30/05 | Adama City Ethiopia Premier League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 26/05 | Ethiopian Insurance FC Ethiopia Cup |
1-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 21/05 | Arba Minch Ethiopia Premier League |
2-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 14/05 | Hadiya Hossana Ethiopia Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 9 | L |
| 10/05 | Shaggar City Ethiopia Premier League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 7 | L |
| 06/05 | Ethiopian Insurance FC Ethiopia Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 5 | L |
Welwalo Adigrat
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/07 | Kedus Giorgis Ethiopia Premier League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 26/06 | Arba Minch Ethiopia Premier League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 2 | W |
| 22/06 | Hadiya Hossana Ethiopia Premier League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 8 | 9 | L |
| 16/06 | Shaggar City Ethiopia Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 30/05 | Ethiopian Insurance FC Ethiopia Premier League |
1-1 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 25/05 | Mekelle 70 Enderta FC Ethiopia Cup |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 21/05 | Adama City Ethiopia Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 16/05 | Ethio Electric FC Ethiopia Premier League |
1-1 | 2-1 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 10/05 | Bahir Dar Kenema FC Ethiopia Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | D |
| 06/05 | Negelle Arsi Ethiopia Premier League |
1-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 7 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sidama Bunna vs Welwalo Adigrat?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Sidama Bunna win (50%). Probabilities: Sidama Bunna 50%, draw 30%, Welwalo Adigrat 19%.
How many goals are expected in Sidama Bunna vs Welwalo Adigrat?
The model expects 2.19 goals (Sidama Bunna 1.41 · Welwalo Adigrat 0.78), with a 55% chance of over 1.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Sidama Bunna vs Welwalo Adigrat?
The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.