Football · India Durand Cup · 28/07, 13:30
Prediction: Trau FC vs Neroca FC
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.74Total
Trau FC1.72
Neroca FC1.02
1X2
Trau FC
Draw
Neroca FC
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 52%
Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Trau FC
3-4-3 (W-D-L)
Neroca FC
1-2-7 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Trau FC
0–2–4
Neroca FC
(6 last)
- Trau FC1-1Neroca FC
- Trau FC1-2Neroca FC
- Neroca FC1-1Trau FC
- Trau FC1-2Neroca FC
- Neroca FC1-0Trau FC
- Neroca FC3-1Trau FC
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Trau FC 1499 · Neroca FC 1434
| Trau FC | Draw | Neroca FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 53% | 26% | 21% |
| Market | 54% | 25% | 22% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.74 goals · Bet365 line 2.75
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 56%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Trau FC (rating 1499 vs 1434).
- H2H favours Neroca FC: 4-2-0.
- High corners: 12.6 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 7.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Trau FC | Neroca FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 1.1 | 1.2 / 2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.2 | 0.4 / 1.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/60/0% | 10/10/80% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.2 / 4.2 | 2.4 / 8.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.9 / 0.1 | 3.5 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Trau FC 0–2–4 Neroca FC
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30/07/25 India Durand Cup | Trau FC | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Neroca FC |
| 26/04/25 India I-League 2nd Division | Trau FC | 1-2 HT 0-0 | Neroca FC |
| 01/03/25 India I-League 2nd Division | Neroca FC | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Trau FC |
| 24/03/24 India I-League | Trau FC | 1-2 HT 0-0 | Neroca FC |
| 21/03/24 India I-League | Neroca FC | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Trau FC |
| 18/01/23 India I-League | Neroca FC | 3-1 HT 1-1 | Trau FC |
Standings · India Durand Cup · Durand Cup 2026, Group D
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Raengdai | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Indian Navy | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Neroca FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Trau FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Trau FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/05 | Chhaygaon FC India I-League 3 |
2-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 1 | D |
| 20/05 | KLASA India I-League 3 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 18/05 | Baghpat FC India I-League 3 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 16/05 | Sunrise Club Odisha India I-League 3 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 06/05 | Samaleswari SC India I-League 3 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 8 | W |
| 04/05 | Clube de Salgaocar India I-League 3 |
0-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 02/05 | Zinc Football Academy India I-League 3 |
2-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 28/04 | Mumbay India I-League 3 |
1-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 12/08 | Indian Navy India Durand Cup |
1-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 04/08 | Real Kashmir FC India Durand Cup |
1-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 8 | L |
Neroca FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/05 | Sudeva Delhi FC India I-League 2nd Division |
0-1 | 1-3 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 08/05 | Karbi Anglong Morning Star FC India I-League 2nd Division |
2-1 | 2-2 | 7 | 4 | D |
| 26/04 | United SC India I-League 2nd Division |
0-1 | 0-1 | 18 | 3 | L |
| 20/04 | SC Bengaluru India I-League 2nd Division |
2-3 | 5-3 | – | – | W |
| 15/04 | FC Bengaluru United India I-League 2nd Division |
0-2 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 09/04 | MYJ-GMSC India I-League 2nd Division |
0-1 | 1-2 | 9 | 2 | L |
| 03/04 | Sporting Clube de Goa India I-League 2nd Division |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 28/03 | Delhi FA India I-League 2nd Division |
0-1 | 1-1 | 12 | 2 | D |
| 19/11 | Sikkim Dragons India Regional Cup |
0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 10/08 | Real Kashmir FC India Durand Cup |
0-1 | 1-3 | 6 | 7 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Trau FC vs Neroca FC?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Trau FC win (53%). Probabilities: Trau FC 53%, draw 25%, Neroca FC 21%.
How many goals are expected in Trau FC vs Neroca FC?
The model expects 2.74 goals (Trau FC 1.72 · Neroca FC 1.02), with a 52% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Trau FC vs Neroca FC?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.