Football · Switzerland Division 1 Women · 14/11, 18:00
Prediction: St Gallen (W) vs FC Zurich (W)
Team pages: St Gallen (W) · FC Zurich (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.22Total
St Gallen (W)0.77
FC Zurich (W)2.45
1X2
St Gallen (W)
Draw
FC Zurich (W)
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 60%
Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
0-2 12%
Recent form · 10 last
St Gallen (W)
1-1-8 (W-D-L)
FC Zurich (W)
4-3-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
St Gallen (W)
1–2–3
FC Zurich (W)
(6 last)
- FC Zurich (W)3-1St Gallen (W)
- FC Zurich (W)0-0St Gallen (W)
- St Gallen (W)1-3FC Zurich (W)
- St Gallen (W)0-0FC Zurich (W)
- FC Zurich (W)3-1St Gallen (W)
- St Gallen (W)1-0FC Zurich (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · St Gallen (W) 1413 · FC Zurich (W) 1500
| St Gallen (W) | Draw | FC Zurich (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 9% | 17% | 74% |
| Market | 9% | 17% | 74% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.22 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 53%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FC Zurich (W) (rating 1413 vs 1500).
- H2H favours FC Zurich (W): 3-2-1.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| St Gallen (W) | FC Zurich (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.9 / 2.7 | 2.3 / 1.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.8 | 0.3 / 1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 25/25/50% | 14/43/43% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 0.8 / 2 | 1.7 / 3.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 1.8 / 0 | 2.1 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · St Gallen (W) 1–2–3 FC Zurich (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16/10/26 Switzerland Division 1 Women | FC Zurich (W) | 3-1 HT 0-1 | St Gallen (W) |
| 04/04/26 Switzerland Division 1 Women | FC Zurich (W) | 0-0 HT 0-0 | St Gallen (W) |
| 01/11/25 Switzerland Division 1 Women | St Gallen (W) | 1-3 | FC Zurich (W) |
| 19/04/25 Switzerland Division 1 Women | St Gallen (W) | 0-0 HT 0-0 | FC Zurich (W) |
| 12/04/25 Switzerland Women Play-Offs | FC Zurich (W) | 3-1 | St Gallen (W) |
| 02/03/25 Switzerland Division 1 Women | St Gallen (W) | 1-0 HT 0-0 | FC Zurich (W) |
Standings · Switzerland Division 1 Women
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Servette FC Chenois (W) | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 28 | 13 | 26 |
| 2 | Young Boys (W) | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 22 | 14 | 24 |
| 3 | Grasshopper (W) | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 33 | 14 | 23 |
| 4 | FC Zurich (W) | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 26 | 16 | 18 |
| 5 | FC Rapperswil-Jona (W) | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 24 | 24 | 15 |
| 6 | Basel (W) | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 16 | 17 | 15 |
| 7 | Lucerne (W) | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 14 | 21 | 11 |
| 8 | Aarau (W) | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 15 | 31 | 10 |
| 9 | Yverdon Sport FC (W) | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 17 | 24 | 8 |
| 10 | St Gallen (W) | 11 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 10 | 31 | 4 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | St Gallen (W) | FC Zurich (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Grasshopper (W) | 1-5 L | 1-4 L |
| Young Boys (W) | 1-2 L | 1-1 D |
| Servette FC Chenois (W) | 0-3 L | 1-3 L |
| Aarau (W) | 2-2 D | 8-0 W |
| Basel (W) | 0-1 L | 1-2 L |
| Lucerne (W) | 1-3 L | 3-2 W |
| Record vs common | 0 W 1 D 5 L | 2 W 1 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: FC Zurich (W) (5 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
St Gallen (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/11 | Grasshopper (W) Switzerland Division 1 Women |
– | 1-5 | – | – | L |
| 31/10 | Young Boys (W) Switzerland Division 1 Women |
– | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 16/10 | FC Zurich (W) Switzerland Division 1 Women |
1-0 | 1-3 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 04/10 | Servette FC Chenois (W) Switzerland Division 1 Women |
0-0 | 0-3 | 0 | 0 | L |
| 19/09 | Grasshopper (W) Switzerland Division 1 Women |
– | 1-4 | – | – | L |
| 13/09 | Young Boys (W) Switzerland Division 1 Women |
– | 1-4 | – | – | L |
| 09/09 | Aarau (W) Switzerland Division 1 Women |
– | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 04/09 | Basel (W) Switzerland Division 1 Women |
0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 28/08 | Lucerne (W) Switzerland Division 1 Women |
0-2 | 1-3 | 0 | 2 | L |
| 16/08 | Yverdon Sport FC (W) Switzerland Division 1 Women |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
FC Zurich (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/11 | Servette FC Chenois (W) Switzerland Division 1 Women |
– | 1-3 | – | – | L |
| 30/10 | Basel (W) Switzerland Division 1 Women |
0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 16/10 | St Gallen (W) Switzerland Division 1 Women |
0-1 | 3-1 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 02/10 | Grasshopper (W) Switzerland Division 1 Women |
0-4 | 1-4 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 18/09 | Servette FC Chenois (W) Switzerland Division 1 Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | D |
| 13/09 | Basel (W) Switzerland Division 1 Women |
0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 09/09 | Young Boys (W) Switzerland Division 1 Women |
1-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 05/09 | FC Rapperswil-Jona (W) Switzerland Division 1 Women |
– | 4-2 | – | – | W |
| 29/08 | Aarau (W) Switzerland Division 1 Women |
– | 8-0 | – | – | W |
| 16/08 | Lucerne (W) Switzerland Division 1 Women |
1-1 | 3-2 | 8 | 0 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in St Gallen (W) vs FC Zurich (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is an FC Zurich (W) win (74%). Probabilities: St Gallen (W) 9%, draw 17%, FC Zurich (W) 74%.
How many goals are expected in St Gallen (W) vs FC Zurich (W)?
The model expects 3.22 goals (St Gallen (W) 0.77 · FC Zurich (W) 2.45), with a 51% chance of over 3 goals.
Will both teams score in St Gallen (W) vs FC Zurich (W)?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-2.