Football · Switzerland Division 1 Women · 30/10, 19:00
Prediction: Basel (W) vs FC Zurich (W)
Team pages: Basel (W) · FC Zurich (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.14Total
Basel (W)1.52
FC Zurich (W)1.61
1X2
Basel (W)
Draw
FC Zurich (W)
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 62%
Both teams to score 57%
Most likely score
1-1 12%
Recent form · 10 last
Basel (W)
4-3-3 (W-D-L)
FC Zurich (W)
5-4-1 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Basel (W)
1–2–3
FC Zurich (W)
(6 last)
- FC Zurich (W)1-1Basel (W)
- FC Zurich (W)0-0Basel (W)
- Basel (W)2-1FC Zurich (W)
- Basel (W)0-1FC Zurich (W)
- FC Zurich (W)1-0Basel (W)
- Basel (W)1-2FC Zurich (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Basel (W) 1506 · FC Zurich (W) 1529
| Basel (W) | Draw | FC Zurich (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 35% | 26% | 39% |
| Market | 36% | 24% | 40% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.14 goals · Bet365 line 3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 55%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours FC Zurich (W): 3-2-1.
- Cards-heavy: 5.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Basel (W) | FC Zurich (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.7 / 1.5 | 2.4 / 1.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.3 | 0.4 / 0.9 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 33/50/17% | 25/38/38% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.3 / 5.8 | 2.1 / 4.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.8 / 0 | 2.9 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Basel (W) 1–2–3 FC Zurich (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13/09/26 Switzerland Division 1 Women | FC Zurich (W) | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Basel (W) |
| 14/02/26 Switzerland Division 1 Women | FC Zurich (W) | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Basel (W) |
| 24/09/25 Switzerland Division 1 Women | Basel (W) | 2-1 | FC Zurich (W) |
| 29/03/25 Switzerland Cup Women | Basel (W) | 0-1 HT 0-0 | FC Zurich (W) |
| 08/02/25 Switzerland Division 1 Women | FC Zurich (W) | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Basel (W) |
| 13/09/24 Switzerland Division 1 Women | Basel (W) | 1-2 | FC Zurich (W) |
Standings · Switzerland Division 1 Women
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Servette FC Chenois (W) | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 22 | 9 | 22 |
| 2 | FC Zurich (W) | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 24 | 11 | 18 |
| 3 | Young Boys (W) | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 17 | 12 | 18 |
| 4 | Grasshopper (W) | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 25 | 11 | 17 |
| 5 | Basel (W) | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 13 | 12 |
| 6 | Lucerne (W) | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 14 | 15 | 11 |
| 7 | FC Rapperswil-Jona (W) | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 17 | 21 | 11 |
| 8 | Yverdon Sport FC (W) | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 15 | 18 | 8 |
| 9 | St Gallen (W) | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 24 | 4 |
| 10 | Aarau (W) | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 10 | 31 | 4 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Basel (W) | FC Zurich (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Aarau (W) | 1-3 L | 8-0 W |
| Yverdon Sport FC (W) | 2-3 L | 3-0 W |
| FC Rapperswil-Jona (W) | 2-2 D | 4-2 W |
| Grasshopper (W) | 1-1 D | 1-4 L |
| St Gallen (W) | 1-0 W | 3-1 W |
| Servette FC Chenois (W) | 1-2 L | 0-0 D |
| Young Boys (W) | 2-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Lucerne (W) | 2-1 W | 3-2 W |
| Record vs common | 3 W 2 D 3 L | 5 W 2 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: FC Zurich (W) (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Basel (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/10 | Aarau (W) Switzerland Division 1 Women |
– | 1-3 | – | – | L |
| 03/10 | Yverdon Sport FC (W) Switzerland Division 1 Women |
0-1 | 2-3 | 11 | 3 | L |
| 19/09 | FC Rapperswil-Jona (W) Switzerland Division 1 Women |
– | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 13/09 | FC Zurich (W) Switzerland Division 1 Women |
1-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 09/09 | Grasshopper (W) Switzerland Division 1 Women |
1-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 2 | D |
| 04/09 | St Gallen (W) Switzerland Division 1 Women |
1-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 29/08 | Servette FC Chenois (W) Switzerland Division 1 Women |
0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 14/08 | Young Boys (W) Switzerland Division 1 Women |
0-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 08/08 | Lucerne (W) Switzerland Division 1 Women |
– | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 17/05 | FC Rapperswil-Jona (W) Switzerland Division 1 Women |
– | 4-2 | – | – | W |
FC Zurich (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/10 | St Gallen (W) Switzerland Division 1 Women |
0-1 | 3-1 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 02/10 | Grasshopper (W) Switzerland Division 1 Women |
0-4 | 1-4 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 18/09 | Servette FC Chenois (W) Switzerland Division 1 Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | D |
| 13/09 | Basel (W) Switzerland Division 1 Women |
0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 09/09 | Young Boys (W) Switzerland Division 1 Women |
1-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 05/09 | FC Rapperswil-Jona (W) Switzerland Division 1 Women |
– | 4-2 | – | – | W |
| 29/08 | Aarau (W) Switzerland Division 1 Women |
– | 8-0 | – | – | W |
| 16/08 | Lucerne (W) Switzerland Division 1 Women |
1-1 | 3-2 | 8 | 0 | W |
| 07/08 | Yverdon Sport FC (W) Switzerland Division 1 Women |
1-0 | 3-0 | 8 | 6 | W |
| 01/05 | Grasshopper (W) Switzerland Division 1 Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Basel (W) vs FC Zurich (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is an FC Zurich (W) win (40%). Probabilities: Basel (W) 36%, draw 25%, FC Zurich (W) 40%.
How many goals are expected in Basel (W) vs FC Zurich (W)?
The model expects 3.14 goals (Basel (W) 1.52 · FC Zurich (W) 1.61), with a 50% chance of over 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Basel (W) vs FC Zurich (W)?
The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.