Football · Switzerland Division 1 Women · 14/08, 19:00
Prediction: Basel (W) vs Young Boys (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.8Total
Basel (W)1.43
Young Boys (W)1.36
1X2
Basel (W)
Draw
Young Boys (W)
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 53%
Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Basel (W)
7-2-1 (W-D-L)
Young Boys (W)
5-0-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Basel (W)
3–2–1
Young Boys (W)
(6 last)
- Young Boys (W)0-3Basel (W)
- Young Boys (W)1-1Basel (W)
- Basel (W)0-3Young Boys (W)
- Young Boys (W)1-1Basel (W)
- Basel (W)2-1Young Boys (W)
- Basel (W)1-0Young Boys (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Basel (W) 1571 · Young Boys (W) 1488
| Basel (W) | Draw | Young Boys (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 38% | 28% | 35% |
| Market | 39% | 25% | 36% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.8 goals · Bet365 line 2.75
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 56%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Basel (W) (rating 1571 vs 1488).
- H2H favours Basel (W): 3-2-1.
- Cards-heavy: 5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Basel (W) | Young Boys (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.9 / 0.6 | 1.6 / 1.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.3 | 0.5 / 1.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 33/67/0% | 25/25/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.7 / 4.7 | 1.7 / 3.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.3 / 0.3 | 2.7 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Basel (W) 3–2–1 Young Boys (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21/03/26 Switzerland Division 1 Women | Young Boys (W) | 0-3 | Basel (W) |
| 21/02/26 Switzerland Cup Women | Young Boys (W) | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Basel (W) |
| 19/10/25 Switzerland Division 1 Women | Basel (W) | 0-3 | Young Boys (W) |
| 02/11/24 Switzerland Division 1 Women | Young Boys (W) | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Basel (W) |
| 09/08/24 Switzerland Division 1 Women | Basel (W) | 2-1 | Young Boys (W) |
| 30/03/24 Switzerland Division 1 Women | Basel (W) | 1-0 | Young Boys (W) |
Standings · Switzerland Division 1 Women
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Grasshopper (W) | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 3 |
| 2 | FC Rapperswil-Jona (W) | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 3 |
| 3 | FC Zurich (W) | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | Basel (W) | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 5 | Young Boys (W) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | Servette FC Chenois (W) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 7 | Lucerne (W) | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 8 | St Gallen (W) | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 |
| 9 | Yverdon Sport FC (W) | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 | Aarau (W) | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 0 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Basel (W) | Young Boys (W) |
|---|---|---|
| FC Rapperswil-Jona (W) | 4-2 W | 4-1 W |
| St Gallen (W) | 0-1 L | 1-0 W |
| Servette FC Chenois (W) | 1-0 W | 0-2 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 0 D 1 L | 2 W 0 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Young Boys (W) (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Basel (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | Lucerne (W) Switzerland Division 1 Women |
– | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 17/05 | FC Rapperswil-Jona (W) Switzerland Division 1 Women |
– | 4-2 | – | – | W |
| 09/05 | FC Rapperswil-Jona (W) Switzerland Division 1 Women |
– | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 25/04 | St Gallen (W) Switzerland Women Play-Offs |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 04/04 | Servette FC Chenois (W) Switzerland Division 1 Women |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 21/03 | Young Boys (W) Switzerland Division 1 Women |
– | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 18/03 | St Gallen (W) Switzerland Division 1 Women |
1-0 | 3-0 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 14/03 | Lucerne (W) Switzerland Division 1 Women |
– | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 21/02 | Young Boys (W) Switzerland Cup Women |
1-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 14/02 | FC Zurich (W) Switzerland Division 1 Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | D |
Young Boys (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | SeaSters Odesa (W) UEFA Women's Champions League Qualifying |
0-0 | 1-3 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 05/08 | SKN St Polten (W) UEFA Women's Champions League Qualifying |
1-3 | 3-4 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 29/07 | Como (W) Women’s Friendly |
1-0 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 18/07 | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim (W) Women’s Friendly |
0-3 | 0-5 | 2 | 0 | L |
| 11/07 | FC Ostermundigen (W) Women’s Friendly |
1-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 29/05 | Servette FC Chenois (W) Switzerland Division 1 Women Play-Offs |
0-2 | 0-2 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 25/05 | Servette FC Chenois (W) Switzerland Division 1 Women Play-Offs |
0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 16/05 | St Gallen (W) Switzerland Women Play-Offs |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 08/05 | St Gallen (W) Switzerland Division 1 Women |
1-1 | 3-1 | 1 | 2 | W |
| 02/05 | FC Rapperswil-Jona (W) Switzerland Women Play-Offs |
– | 4-1 | – | – | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Basel (W) vs Young Boys (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Basel (W) win (38%). Probabilities: Basel (W) 38%, draw 26%, Young Boys (W) 35%.
How many goals are expected in Basel (W) vs Young Boys (W)?
The model expects 2.8 goals (Basel (W) 1.43 · Young Boys (W) 1.36), with a 52% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Basel (W) vs Young Boys (W)?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.