Football · Colombia Primera B · 10/08, 21:00
Prediction: Tigres FC vs Envigado FC
Team pages: Tigres FC · Envigado FC
Prediction summary
Expected goals
1.76Total
Tigres FC0.73
Envigado FC1.03
1X2
Tigres FC
Draw
Envigado FC
Markets
Over 1.5 goals 54%
Not both to score 54%
Most likely score
0-0
Recent form · 10 last
Tigres FC
1-2-7 (W-D-L)
Envigado FC
4-4-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Tigres FC
0–4–2
Envigado FC
(6 last)
- Tigres FC1-2Envigado FC
- Envigado FC2-0Tigres FC
- Envigado FC0-0Tigres FC
- Envigado FC0-0Tigres FC
- Tigres FC1-1Envigado FC
- Tigres FC0-0Envigado FC
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Tigres FC 1442 · Envigado FC 1522
| Tigres FC | Draw | Envigado FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 24% | 35% | 41% |
| Market | 26% | 31% | 43% |
Estimated total (ours)
1.76 goals · Bet365 line 2 · -0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 67%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Envigado FC (rating 1442 vs 1522).
- H2H favours Envigado FC: 2-4-0.
- Cards-heavy: 8.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Tigres FC | Envigado FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.4 / 1.3 | 0.9 / 1.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.2 / 0.9 | 0.3 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 0/50/50% | 10/60/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.2 / 3.5 | 2.8 / 3.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4 / 0.4 | 4.6 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Tigres FC 0–4–2 Envigado FC
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15/05/26 Colombia Primera B | Tigres FC | 1-2 HT 1-1 | Envigado FC |
| 29/04/26 Colombia Primera B | Envigado FC | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Tigres FC |
| 09/02/26 Colombia Primera B | Envigado FC | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Tigres FC |
| 29/03/23 Colombia Cup | Envigado FC | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Tigres FC |
| 15/03/23 Colombia Cup | Tigres FC | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Envigado FC |
| 05/11/17 Colombia Primera A | Tigres FC | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Envigado FC |
Standings · Colombia Primera B · Clausura
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Independiente Yumbo | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 7 |
| 2 | Itagui Leones | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 7 |
| 3 | Real Cartagena | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 4 |
| 4 | Patriotas FC | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 4 |
| 5 | Real Soacha Cundinamarca | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 4 |
| 6 | Envigado FC | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| 7 | Orsomarso | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
| 8 | Bogota FC | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
| 9 | Boca Juniors De Cali | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
| 10 | Deportes Quindio | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 |
| 11 | Atletico Cali FC | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 2 |
| 12 | Internacional FC de Palmira | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 2 |
| 13 | Real San Andres | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 9 | 2 |
| 14 | Barranquilla FC | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 |
| 15 | Tigres FC | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| 15 | Union Magdalena | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Tigres FC | Envigado FC |
|---|---|---|
| Internacional FC de Palmira | 2-2 D | 0-0 D |
| Deportes Quindio | 0-1 L | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 0 W 1 D 1 L | 1 W 1 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Envigado FC (1 of 2 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Tigres FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/08 | Boca Juniors De Cali Colombia Primera B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | D |
| 29/07 | Atletico Nacional Medellin Colombia Cup |
0-2 | 0-2 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 25/07 | Itagui Leones Colombia Primera B |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 9 | L |
| 21/07 | Atletico Nacional Medellin Colombia Cup |
0-2 | 0-2 | 0 | 3 | L |
| 19/05 | Internacional FC de Palmira Colombia Primera B |
1-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 6 | D |
| 15/05 | Envigado FC Colombia Primera B |
1-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 10/05 | Deportes Quindio Colombia Primera B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 7 | L |
| 05/05 | Deportes Quindio Colombia Primera B |
0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 29/04 | Envigado FC Colombia Primera B |
0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 25/04 | Internacional FC de Palmira Colombia Primera B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
Envigado FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/08 | Independiente Yumbo Colombia Primera B |
0-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 5 | D |
| 30/07 | Once Caldas Colombia Cup |
0-2 | 0-3 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 27/07 | Real Soacha Cundinamarca Colombia Primera B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 22/07 | Once Caldas Colombia Cup |
0-2 | 0-3 | 6 | 1 | L |
| 29/05 | Real Cartagena Colombia Primera B |
1-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 5 | D |
| 26/05 | Real Cartagena Colombia Primera B |
1-1 | 3-2 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 18/05 | Deportes Quindio Colombia Primera B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 8 | W |
| 15/05 | Tigres FC Colombia Primera B |
1-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 11/05 | Internacional FC de Palmira Colombia Primera B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 04/05 | Internacional FC de Palmira Colombia Primera B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Tigres FC vs Envigado FC?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Envigado FC win (42%). Probabilities: Tigres FC 25%, draw 33%, Envigado FC 42%.
How many goals are expected in Tigres FC vs Envigado FC?
The model expects 1.76 goals (Tigres FC 0.73 · Envigado FC 1.03), with a 56% chance of under 2 goals.
Will both teams score in Tigres FC vs Envigado FC?
The model gives a 54% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.